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UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
Form 10-K
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(Mark One)
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ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004 |
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TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 |
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For the transition period
from to |
Commission file number 0-22342
Triad Guaranty Inc.
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
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DELAWARE
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization) |
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56-1838519
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.) |
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101 South Stratford Road
Winston-Salem, North Carolina
(Address of principal executive offices)
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27104
(Zip Code) |
Registrants telephone number, including area code:
(336) 723-1282
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) of the
Act:
None
Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(g) of the
Act:
Title of Each Class
Common Stock, par value $.01 per share
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed
all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding
12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant
was required to file such reports), and (2) has been
subject to such filing requirements for the past
90 days. Yes þ No o
Indicate by check mark if disclosure of delinquent filers
pursuant to Item 405 of Regulation S-K is not
contained herein, and will not be contained, to the best of
registrants knowledge, in definitive proxy or information
statements incorporated by reference in Part III of this
Form 10-K or any amendment to this
Form 10-K. o
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an accelerated
filer (as defined in Exchange Act
Rule 12b-2). Yes þ No o
State the aggregate market value of the voting and non-voting
common equity held by non-affiliates of the registrant, computed
by reference to the price at which the common equity was last
sold, or the average bid and asked price of such common equity,
as of the last business day of the registrants most
recently completed second fiscal quarter: $508,291,271 as of
June 30, 2004, which amount excludes the value of all
shares beneficially owned (as defined in Rule 13d-3 under
the Securities Exchange Act of 1934) by officers and directors
of the registrant (however this does not constitute a
representation or acknowledgment that any such individual is an
affiliate of the registrant).
The number of shares of the registrants common stock, par
value $.01 per share, outstanding as of February 14,
2005, was 14,678,418.
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Portions of the following documents are incorporated by |
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Part of this Form 10-K into which the document |
reference into this Form 10-K: |
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is incorporated by reference |
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Triad Guaranty Inc.
Proxy Statement for 2005 Annual Meeting
of Stockholders |
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Part III |
TABLE OF CONTENTS
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Page | |
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PART I |
Item 1.
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Business |
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2 |
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Item 2.
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Properties |
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Item 3.
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Legal Proceedings |
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23 |
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Item 4.
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Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security Holders |
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PART II |
Item 5.
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Market for the Registrants Common Stock and Related
Stockholder Matters |
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Item 6.
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Selected Financial Data |
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Item 7.
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Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations |
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Item 7a.
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Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures about Market Risks |
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48 |
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Item 8.
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Financial Statements and Supplementary Data |
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48 |
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Item 9.
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Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on Accounting and
Financial Disclosure |
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Item 9a.
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Controls and Procedures |
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PART III |
Item 10.
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Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant |
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51 |
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Item 11.
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Executive Compensation |
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51 |
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Item 12.
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Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and Management |
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51 |
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Item 13.
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Certain Relationships and Related Transactions |
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51 |
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Item 14.
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Principal Accountant Fees and Services |
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51 |
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PART IV |
Item 15.
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Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules and Reports on Form 8-K |
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51 |
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Signatures |
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52 |
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Index to Consolidated Financial Statements and Financial
Statement Schedules |
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54 |
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PART I
Triad Guaranty Inc. is a holding company which, through its
whollyowned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance
Corporation (Triad), provides private mortgage
insurance (MI) coverage in the United States to
residential mortgage lenders and investors. Triad Guaranty Inc.
and its subsidiaries are collectively referred to as the
Company. The Company when used within
this document refers to the holding company and/or one or more
of its subsidiaries, as appropriate.
Private mortgage insurance, also known as mortgage guaranty
insurance, is issued in many home purchases and refinancings
involving conventional residential first mortgage loans to
borrowers with equity of less than 20%. If the homeowner
defaults on the mortgage, private mortgage insurance reduces,
and in some instances eliminates, the loss to the insured
lender. Private mortgage insurance also facilitates the sale of
low down payment mortgage loans in the secondary mortgage
market, principally to the Federal National Mortgage Association
(Fannie Mae) and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage
Corporation (Freddie Mac). Under riskbased
capital regulations applicable to most financial institutions,
private mortgage insurance also reduces the capital requirement
for such lenders on residential mortgage loans not sold that
have equity of less than 20%. Mortgage insurance is also
purchased by investors and lenders who seek additional default
protection or capital relief on loans with equity of greater
than 20%.
Private mortgage insurance has traditionally involved
underwriting and insuring an individual loan. This type of
mortgage insurance is known as flow mortgage
insurance and will be referred to as such throughout this
document. Additionally, the Company participates in structured
bulk transactions that involve underwriting and insuring a group
of loans. This type of mortgage insurance is known as
structured bulk or bulk mortgage
insurance and will be referred to as such throughout this
document.
Triad was formed in 1987 as a whollyowned subsidiary of
Primerica Corporation and began writing private mortgage
insurance in 1988. In September 1989, Triad was acquired by
Collateral Mortgage, Ltd. (CML), a mortgage banking
and real estate lending firm located in Birmingham, Alabama. In
1990, CML contributed the outstanding stock of Triad to its
affiliate, Collateral Investment Corp. (CIC), an
insurance holding company.
The Company was incorporated by CIC in Delaware in August 1993,
for the purpose of holding all the outstanding stock of Triad
and to undertake the initial public offering of the
Companys Common Stock, which was completed in November
1993. CIC currently owns 17.6% and CML owns 17.6% of the
outstanding Common Stock of the Company.
The principal executive offices of the Company are located at
101 South Stratford Road, WinstonSalem, North Carolina
27104. Its telephone number is (336) 7231282.
Types of Mortgage Insurance Products
Primary insurance provides mortgage default protection to
lenders on individual loans and covers a percentage of unpaid
loan principal, delinquent interest, and certain expenses
associated with the default and subsequent foreclosure
(collectively, the claim amount). The claim amount,
to which the appropriate coverage percentage is applied,
generally ranges from 110% to 115% of the unpaid principal
balance of the loan. The Companys obligation to an insured
lender with respect to a claim is determined by applying the
appropriate coverage percentage to the claim amount. Under its
master policy, the Company has the option of paying the entire
claim amount and taking title to the mortgaged property or
paying the coverage percentage in full satisfaction of its
obligations under the insurance written. Insurance
written is defined as the entire loan balance for which a
lender has requested mortgage insurance and is generally
utilized as a term to measure sales success. Primary insurance
can be placed on many types of loan instruments and generally
applies to loans secured by mortgages on owner occupied homes.
2
The Company offers primary coverage generally from 6% to 45% of
the loan amount, with most coverage from 12% to 37% as of
December 31, 2004. The coverage percentage provided by the
Company is selected by the insured lender, subject to the
Companys underwriting approval, usually in order to comply
with investors requirements to reduce investor loss
exposure on loans they purchase.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are the ultimate purchasers of a
large percentage of the loans insured by the Company. Generally
they require a coverage percentage that will reduce their loss
exposure on loans they purchase to 75% or less of the
propertys value at the time the loan is originated. Since
1999, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have accepted lower coverage
percentages for certain categories of mortgages when the loan is
approved by their automated underwriting services. The reduced
coverage percentages limit loss exposure to 80% or less of the
propertys value at the time the loan is originated.
The Companys premium rates vary depending upon various
factors including the loantovalue (LTV) ratio, loan
type, mortgage term, coverage amount, documentation required,
credit score and use of property, which all affect the perceived
risk of default on the insured mortgage loan. Usually, premium
rates cannot be changed after issuance of coverage. Consistent
with industry practice, the Company generally utilizes a
nationally based, rather than a regional or local, premium rate
structure for its flow business, although special risk rates are
utilized as well.
Premiums on flow mortgage insurance are paid by either the
borrower (borrower-paid) or the lender (lender-paid). Under the
Companys borrower-paid plan, mortgage insurance premiums
are charged to the mortgage lender or servicer that collects the
premium from the borrower and, in turn, remits the premiums to
the Company. Under the Companys lenderpaid plan,
mortgage insurance premiums are charged to the mortgage lender
or loan servicer that pays the premium to the Company. The
lender may recover the premium through an increase in the
borrowers interest rate. Approximately 77% and 69% of the
Companys flow insurance was written under its
borrower-paid plan during 2004 and 2003, respectively. The
remainder was written under its lender-paid plan (23% and 31% of
flow insurance during 2004 and 2003, respectively). The
Companys lender-paid volume is concentrated among larger
mortgage lender customers.
Premiums may be remitted to the Company monthly, annually, or in
one single payment. The monthly premium payment plan involves
the payment of one or two months premium at the mortgage
loan closing. Thereafter, level monthly premiums are collected
by the loan servicer for monthly remittance to the Company. The
Company also offers a plan under which the first monthly
mortgage insurance payment is deferred until the first loan
payment is remitted to the Company. This deferred monthly
premium product decreases the amount of cash required from the
borrower at closing, thereby making home ownership more
affordable. Monthly premium plans represented approximately 92%
and 76% of flow insurance written in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The annual premium payment plan requires a firstyear
premium paid at mortgage loan closing with annual renewal
payments. With respect to the Companys borrower-paid
plans, renewal payments are collected monthly from the borrower
and held in escrow by the mortgage lender or servicer for annual
remittance to the Company in advance of each renewal year.
Annual premium plans represented approximately 8% and 23% of
flow insurance written in 2004 and 2003, respectively.
The single premium payment plan requires a single payment paid
at loan closing. The single premium payment can be financed by
the borrower by adding it to the principal amount of the
mortgage or can be paid in cash at closing by the borrower.
Single premium plans represented less than 1% of flow insurance
written in 2004 and 2003.
Pool insurance generally has been offered by private mortgage
insurers to lenders as an additional credit enhancement for
certain mortgagebacked securities and provides coverage
for the full amount of the net loss on each individual loan
included in the pool, subject to an aggregate stop loss limit
and/or a deductible. The Company does not offer this traditional
form of pool insurance.
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Structured Bulk Transactions |
The Company participates in structured bulk transactions, which
involve insuring a group of loans with individual coverage for
each loan. Structured bulk transactions are typically initiated
by secondary mortgage market participants, including
underwriters of mortgage-backed securities, mortgage lenders,
and mortgage investors such as Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, where
mortgage insurance is used as a credit enhancement. Insurance
issued in structured bulk transactions is generally either
primary, supplemental if the policy already has primary
coverage, or a combination of both. Coverage on structured bulk
transactions is determined at the individual loan level,
sufficient to reduce the insureds exposure on any loan in
the transaction down to a stated percentage of the loan balance
(down-to coverage). The Company is provided
loan-level information on the group of loans and, based on the
risk characteristics of the entire group of loans and the
requirements of the secondary mortgage market participant, the
Company submits a price for insuring the entire group of loans.
The Company competes against other mortgage insurers as well as
other forms of credit enhancement provided by capital markets
for these transactions. During 2004, insurance written related
to structured bulk transactions represented 39% of the total
insurance written compared to 19% in 2003.
Structured bulk transactions frequently include an aggregate
stop-loss limit applied to the entire group of insured loans.
Additionally, 81% of the structured bulk transactions entered
into in 2004 and 60% in 2003 included deductibles putting the
Company in a second loss position. Through December 31,
2004, insurance written through the structured bulk channel has
not been subject to captive mortgage reinsurance or other
risk-sharing arrangements.
The Company offers mortgage insurance arrangements designed to
allow lenders to share in the risks of mortgage insurance. One
such arrangement is the captive reinsurance program. Under the
captive reinsurance program, a reinsurance company, generally an
affiliate of the lender, assumes a portion of the risk
associated with the lenders insured book of business in
exchange for a percentage of the premium. Typically, the
reinsurance program is an excess-of-loss arrangement with
defined aggregate layers of coverage and a maximum exposure
limit for the captive reinsurance company. Captive reinsurance
programs may also take the form of a quota share arrangement,
although the Company had no quota share arrangements in force as
of December 31, 2004. Under its excess-of-loss programs,
with respect to a given book year of business, Triad retains the
first loss position on the first aggregate layer of risk and
reinsures a second defined aggregate layer with the reinsurer.
Triad generally retains the remaining risk above the layer
reinsured. Of the reinsurance agreements in place at
December 31, 2004, the first layer retained by Triad ranged
from the first 3.0% to 6.5% of risk in force and the second
layer ceded to reinsurers ranged from the next 4.0% to 10.0%.
Ceded premiums, net of ceded commissions, under these
arrangements ranged from 20.0% to 40.0% of premiums.
Trust accounts are established with the counterparties to all of
our reinsurance agreements to support the reinsurers
obligations under the reinsurance agreements. The captive
reinsurer is the grantor of the trust and Triad is the
beneficiary of the trust. The trust agreement includes covenants
regarding minimum and ongoing capitalization, required reserves,
authorized investments, and withdrawal of assets and is funded
by ceded premium and investment earnings on trust assets as well
as capital contributions by the reinsurer.
The ultimate impact on the Companys financial performance
of an excess-of-loss captive structure is primarily dependent on
the total level of losses and the persistency rates during the
life of a given book year of business. We define persistency as
the percentage of insurance in force remaining from twelve
months prior. The Company believes that its excess-of-loss
captive reinsurance programs provide valuable reinsurance
protection by limiting the aggregate level of losses, and under
normal operating environments, potentially reduce the degree of
volatility in the Companys earnings from the development
of such losses over time. At December 31, 2004 and 2003,
43% and 44% of insurance in force was subject to captive
reinsurance programs.
Cancellation of Insurance
Mortgage insurance coverage cannot be canceled by the Company
except for nonpayment of premium or certain material violations
of the master policy and remains renewable at the option of the
insured lender.
4
Generally, mortgage insurance is renewable at a rate determined
when the insurance on the loan was initially issued.
Insured lenders may cancel insurance at any time at their
option. Pursuant to the Homeowners Protection Act, lenders are
required to automatically cancel the borrower paid private
mortgage insurance on most loans made on or after July 29,
1999, when the outstanding loan amount is 78% or less of the
propertys original purchase price and certain other
conditions are met. A borrower may request that a loan servicer
cancel borrower-paid mortgage insurance on a mortgage loan when
the loan balance is less than 80% of the propertys current
value, but loan servicers are generally restricted in their
ability to grant such requests by secondary market requirements
and by certain other regulatory restrictions.
Mortgage insurance coverage can also be cancelled when an
insured loan is refinanced. If the Company provides insurance on
the refinanced mortgage, the policy on the refinanced home loan
is considered new insurance written. Therefore, continuation of
the Companys coverage from a refinanced loan to a new loan
results in both a cancellation of insurance and new insurance
written.
The percentage of the Companys insurance in
force, defined as the present loan balance outstanding of
active policies remaining at any specific point in time, for
which the lender had requested coverages at the end of the
previous year that was canceled during 2004 and 2003 was 32% and
49%, respectively. The high cancellation level in 2003 was due
to significant refinance activity, as mortgage rates dropped to
historic lows. During periods of high refinance activity, the
Companys earnings and risk profile are more subject to
fluctuations. See Managements Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations for further
discussion on the effect of the cancellation levels.
Customers
Residential mortgage lenders such as mortgage bankers, mortgage
brokers, commercial banks, and savings institutions are the
principal customers of flow insurance written by the Company.
To obtain insurance from the Company written on a flow basis, a
mortgage lender must first apply for and receive a master policy
from the Company. The Companys approval of a lender as a
master policyholder is based upon evaluation of the
lenders financial position and demonstrated adherence to
sound lending practices as well as other factors.
The master policy sets forth the terms and conditions of the
Companys mortgage insurance policy. The master policy does
not obligate the lender to obtain insurance from the Company,
nor does it obligate the Company to issue insurance on a
particular loan. The master policy provides that the lender must
submit individual loans for insurance to the Company, and each
loan, subject to certain underwriting criteria, must be approved
by the Company to effect coverage (except in the case of
delegated underwriting or when the originator has the authority
to approve coverage within certain guidelines).
Consolidation within the mortgage origination industry has
resulted in a greater percentage of production volume being
concentrated among a smaller customer base. The top 30 lenders
in the United States, as ranked by mortgage origination volume,
accounted for approximately 84% of originated mortgage volume in
2004 compared to 79% in 2003. Many of these top 30 lenders are
customers of the Company. In 2004, production from the
Companys top 10 lenders accounted for approximately 71% of
the Companys flow insurance written compared to 74% in
2003. The loss of one or more of the Companys significant
customers could have an adverse effect on its business.
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Premium revenue for the Company is comprised of premium from
business originated in the current year plus renewal premiums
from insurance originated in prior years. Those customers whose
revenue comprised more than 10% of the Companys
consolidated revenue are listed below:
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Percent of | |
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Revenues For | |
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the Year | |
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Ended | |
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December 31 | |
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Customer |
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2004 | |
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2003 | |
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Wells Fargo Home Mortgage, Inc.
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16 |
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13 |
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Countrywide Credit Industries, Inc
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14 |
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14 |
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See further discussion regarding significant customers in
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations.
Sales and Marketing
The Company currently markets its insurance products through a
dedicated sales force, including sales management, of
approximately 40 professionals and an exclusive commissioned
general agency serving a specific geographic market. The Company
is licensed to do business in all 50 states and the
District of Columbia.
The Executive Vice President of Sales and Marketing oversees all
of the Companys sales and marketing activities and reports
directly to the Chief Operating Officer of the Company. The
Senior Vice President and National Sales Manager oversees all of
the Companys sales activities and reports to the Executive
Vice President of Sales and Marketing. Division managers serve
key regional accounts through area sales directors and account
executives and report to the Senior Vice President and National
Sales Manager. Also reporting to the Senior Vice President and
National Sales Manager are the national account executives who
are responsible for the Companys sales efforts toward the
larger national mortgage originators. This reporting structure
allows the senior vice president in charge of all sales
activities to coordinate all sales efforts and focus time on
large, national accounts while maintaining responsibility for
all other sales activities.
The marketing departments mission is to develop and
implement programs in support of the Companys sales
objectives and to promote the Companys image. A variety of
tools are used to achieve these goals including public
relations, marketing materials, internal/external publications,
convention trade shows, and the Internet. A national advertising
and public relations campaign designed to raise corporate
visibility to lenders and investors is also part of the
Companys integrated marketing approach.
Contract Underwriting
The Company provides feebased contract underwriting
services that enable customers to improve the efficiency of
their operations by outsourcing all or part of their mortgage
loan underwriting. The fee charged is intended to cover the cost
of providing the services. Contract underwriting involves
examining a prospective borrowers information contained in
a lenders mortgage application file and making a
determination whether the borrower is approved for a mortgage
loan subject to the lenders underwriting guidelines. In
addition, the Company offers Fannie Maes Desktop
Originator® and Desktop Underwriter® and Freddie
Macs Loan Prospector® as a service to its contract
underwriting customers. These products, which are designed to
streamline and reduce costs in the mortgage origination process,
supply the Companys customers with fast and accurate
service regarding compliance with underwriting standards and
Fannie Maes or Freddie Macs decision for loan
purchase or securitization. The Company provides contract
underwriting services through its own employees as well as
independent contractors, and these services are provided for
loans that require mortgage insurance as well as loans that do
not require mortgage insurance. In the event that Triad fails to
properly underwrite a loan subject to the lenders
underwriting guidelines, Triad may be required to provide
monetary or other remedies to the lender customer. The potential
remedies are not significant to the Company.
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Competition and Market Share
The Company and other private mortgage insurers compete directly
with federal and state governmental and quasigovernmental
agencies, principally the Federal Housing Administration
(FHA). These agencies sponsor governmentbacked
mortgage insurance programs under which approximately 33% of
high LTV loans were insured in 2004 compared to 36% in 2003. In
addition to competition from federal agencies, the Company and
other private mortgage insurers face competition from
statesupported mortgage insurance funds, some of which are
either independent agencies or affiliates of state housing
agencies. Indirectly, the Company also competes with certain
mortgage lenders that forego private mortgage insurance to
selfinsure against the risk of loss from defaults on all
or a portion of their low down payment mortgage loans.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have the ability to modify the
required level of mortgage insurance coverage that should be
maintained by lenders on loans that they purchase. Both Fannie
Mae and Freddie Mac have programs that reduce the required
amount of private mortgage insurance in exchange for an upfront
delivery fee from the lender. The Companys financial
condition and results of operations could be adversely affected
as a result of these programs or if Fannie Mae and/or Freddie
Mac adopt private mortgage insurance substitutes.
Various proposals are periodically discussed by Congress and
certain federal agencies to reform or modify the FHA. Management
is unable to predict the scope and content of such proposals, or
whether any such proposals will be enacted into law, and if
enacted, what effect they may have on the Company.
The private mortgage insurance industry consists of seven major
mortgage insurance companies including Triad, Mortgage Guaranty
Insurance Corporation, PMI Mortgage Insurance Co., United
Guaranty Corporation, Radian Guaranty Inc., Genworth Financial,
Inc. and Republic Mortgage Insurance Company. Triad is the
smallest private mortgage insurer based on 2004 market share
and, according to estimated industry data, had a 6.0% share of
total net new primary insurance written in 2004 compared to 4.9%
in 2003.
Management believes the Company competes with other private
mortgage insurers principally on the basis of personalized and
professional service, a strong management and sales team,
responsive and versatile technology, and innovative products in
the flow market. The Company competes in competitive bid
transactions in the structured bulk market with both the other
private mortgage insurers and providers of other forms of credit
enhancements.
Underwriting Practices
The Company considers effective risk management to be critical
to its longterm financial stability. Market analysis,
prudent underwriting, the use of automated risk evaluation
models, auditing, and customer service are all important
elements of the Companys risk management process.
The Companys Senior Vice President of Underwriting is
responsible for the centralized underwriting department for flow
business in the home office as well as the Companys
regional offices in Arizona, California, Georgia, Illinois,
Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Texas. He has been in his position since
shortly after the Company was formed. The Companys Senior
Vice President of Risk Management is responsible for assessing
the risk factors used by the Company in its underwriting
procedures. He has been with the Company since 2001 and has more
than 20 years of industry experience.
The Company employed an underwriting staff of approximately 35
at December 31, 2004. The Companys field underwriters
and underwriting managers are limited in their authority to
approve programs for certain mortgage loans. The authority
levels are tied to underwriting position, knowledge, and
experience and relate primarily to loan amounts and property
type. All loans insured by the Company are subject to quality
control reviews.
7
The Company evaluates risk based on historical performance of
risk factors and utilizes automated underwriting systems in the
risk selection process to assist the underwriter with
decision-making. This process evaluates the following categories
of risk:
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Mortgage Lender. The Company reviews each lenders
financial statements and management experience before issuing a
master policy. The Company also tracks the historical risk
performance, including loan level risk characteristics, of all
significant customers that hold a master policy. This
information is factored into determining the loan programs the
Company approves for various lenders. The Company assigns
delegated underwriting authority only to lenders with
substantial financial resources and established records of
originating good quality loans. |
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Purpose and Type of Loan. The Company analyzes five
general characteristics of a loan to evaluate its level of risk:
(i) LTV ratio; (ii) purpose of the loan;
(iii) type of loan instrument; (iv) level of
documentation; and, (v) type of property. Generally, the
Company seeks loan types with proven track records for which an
assessment of risk can be readily made and the premium received
sufficiently offsets that risk. Loan types that do not have a
proven track record are charged a higher premium, as are other
loans which have been shown to carry higher risks, such as
adjustable rate mortgages (ARMs), loans with limited
or no documentation, and loans having higher LTV ratios. Certain
categories of loans are not actively pursued by the Company
because such loans have a disproportionate amount of risk,
including scheduled negatively amortizing ARMs and investment
properties. |
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Individual Loan and Borrower. Individual insurance
applications are evaluated based on analysis of the
borrowers ability and willingness to repay the mortgage
loan and the characteristics and value of the mortgaged
property. The analysis of the borrower includes reviewing the
borrowers housing and total debt ratios as well as the
borrowers Fair, Isaac and Co., Inc. (FICO)
credit score, as reported by credit rating agencies. In addition
to the borrowers willingness and ability to repay the
loan, the Company believes that mortgage default risk is
affected by a variety of other factors, including the
borrowers employment status. Insured mortgage loans made
to selfemployed borrowers are perceived by the Company to
have higher risk of claim, all other factors being equal, than
loans to borrowers employed by third parties. Individual
insurance applications are reviewed by Triads underwriting
personnel except for loans originated by lenders under delegated
underwriting authority or through automated underwriting
services provided by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. In the case of
delegated underwriting, compliance with program parameters is
monitored by periodic audits of delegated business. Through the
automated underwriting services provided by Fannie Mae and
Freddie Mac, lenders are able to obtain approval for mortgage
guaranty insurance with any participating mortgage insurer.
Triad works with both enterprises in offering insurance services
through their systems while monitoring the risk quality of loans
insured through such systems. |
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Geographic Selection of Risk. The Company places
significant emphasis on the condition of the regional housing
markets in determining marketing and underwriting policies.
Using both internal and external data, the Companys risk
management department continually monitors the economic
conditions in the Companys active and potential markets.
The Company may choose not to insure new loans in geographic
areas where it believes it has a heavy concentration or a higher
risk of loss. |
|
|
|
Risk Dispersion. In the early years of the Company, only
certain high quality loans with limited risk were accepted. As
the Company developed expertise beyond that limited spectrum on
the risk curve and with the advent of delegated underwriting,
the Company gradually expanded the breadth of risk it viewed as
acceptable. An example of this extension of acceptable risk was
the initial expansion into the structured bulk marketplace in
2001 in the prime jumbo loan segment. In 2003 and 2004, the
Companys primary focus for structured bulk transactions
has been the Alt-A segment. The Company has defined Alt-A in its
flow business as individual loans having high credit quality
(FICO scores greater than 620) and that have been underwritten
with reduced or no documentation. For structured bulk
transactions, Alt-A classification is based on the transaction
as a whole rather than on an individual loan-by-loan
characterization. Structured bulk transactions that the Company
has defined as |
8
|
|
|
|
|
Alt-A have high credit quality, but may include loans that vary
from guidelines typical for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac regarding
one or more of the following characteristics: loan amount,
documentation level, loan purpose, employment status, or
occupancy. The loans in this category typically have higher
risk; however, the Company has structured most of the bulk
transactions entered into in the last two years with deductibles
that put it in the second loss position to mitigate the risk
associated with these loans. The marketplace has changed and
many lenders are initiating programs that have reduced or no
documentation requirements or other nonconforming loan
characteristics. We have participated in certain of these
programs through the flow channel. |
|
|
|
Underwriting Process for Flow Business |
The Company accepts applications for insurance under three basic
programs: a fullydocumented program, a creditscore
driven reduced documentation program, and a delegated
underwriting program which allows a lenders underwriters
to commit insurance to a loan based on strict, agreed upon
underwriting guidelines. The Company also accepts loans approved
through Freddie Macs or Fannie Maes automated
underwriting systems.
The Company generally utilizes nationwide underwriting
guidelines to evaluate the potential risk of default on mortgage
loans submitted for insurance coverage. These guidelines have
evolved over time and take into account the loss experience of
the entire private mortgage insurance industry. They also are
largely influenced by the underwriting guidelines of Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac. Specific underwriting guidelines applicable to
a given local, state, or regional market are utilized to address
concerns resulting from the Companys review of regional
economies and housing patterns.
Subject to the Companys underwriting guidelines and
exception approval procedures, the Company expects its internal
underwriters and contract underwriters to utilize their
experience and business judgment in evaluating each loan on its
own merits. Accordingly, the Companys underwriting staff
has discretionary authority to insure loans that deviate in
certain minor respects from the Companys underwriting
guidelines. More significant exceptions are subject to
management approval. In all such cases, other compensating
factors must be identified. The predominant deviations involve
instances where the borrowers debttoincome
ratio exceeds the Companys guidelines. To compensate for
exceptions, the Companys underwriters give favorable
consideration to factors such as excellent borrower credit
history, the availability of satisfactory cash reserves after
closing, and borrower employment stability.
The Company also allows lenders to submit insurance applications
with reduced documentation through automated and non-automated
underwriting programs. Under the automated underwriting program,
Triad issues a commitment of insurance based on the
borrowers FICO credit score or the approval of the loan
through either Fannie Maes or Freddie Macs automated
underwriting system. The Company issues a commitment of
insurance without the standard underwriting process if certain
program parameters are met and the borrower has a credit score
above established thresholds. The Company audits lenders
files on loans submitted under the automated underwriting
program randomly and through specific identification of selected
risk factors. Documentation submission requirements for
nonautomated underwritten loans vary depending on the
borrowers credit score.
The Company utilizes a delegated underwriting program to serve
many of the larger, wellestablished mortgage originators.
Under this program, standards for type of loan, property type,
and credit history of the borrower are established consistent
with the Companys risk strategy, and the lenders
underwriters are able to commit insurance to a loan based on
these standards. Extensive practices including reunderwriting,
reappraisal, and similar procedures are utilized following
issuance of the policy to ensure quality control. The
Companys delegated underwriting program accounted for 41%
of flow applications received in 2004 compared to 59% in 2003.
To date, the performance of loans insured under the delegated
underwriting program has been comparable to the Companys
nondelegated business. The use of Fannie Maes or
Freddie Macs automated underwriting programs or the
Companys delegated underwriting programs with selected
lenders could lead to loss development patterns different than
those experienced when the Company controlled the entire
underwriting process.
9
|
|
|
Underwriting Structured Bulk Transactions |
The Company analyzes structured bulk transactions during the bid
process to identify the individual loans that pose the greatest
risk of nonperformance. High-risk loans are identified based on
an analysis of multiple risk factors including, but not limited
to, credit score, loan-to-value ratio, documentation type, loan
purpose, and loan amount. The pertinent risk characteristics of
each loan are evaluated to determine the impact on the
transactions frequency and severity of loss and
persistency. The Company may utilize an outside due diligence
firm in this process as well as mortgage risk analysis models
such as Standard & Poors Levels. The
Companys pricing for structured bulk transactions is
commensurate with a transactions overall risk profile
based upon its individual loan-by-loan analysis. The risk review
may result in a request by the Company to remove certain loans
from the transaction before the Company submits a competitive
bid. The Company considers a transactions loan level risk
profile and any associated stop loss level or deductible amount
in submitting a bid for insurance. The Company does not bid on
all structured bulk transactions it receives.
As discussed earlier, the Company has expanded the risk
characteristics that it is pursuing in both the flow and
structured bulk marketplaces. That change has been overseen by
the Companys Credit Risk Committee, which is composed of
all members of senior management. The Credit Risk Committee must
approve all new product offerings and changes in types of risk
that the Company is willing to assume. This includes approval of
the expansion of credit characteristics and review of the
overall underwriting guidelines utilized.
Additionally, the Committee approves all structured bulk
transactions before a bid is submitted. The Committee reviews
the summary analysis of the transaction and challenges the
conclusions reached concerning the pricing of a given structure
based upon the estimated frequency and severity of projected
losses and persistency. After all of these points are
considered, the Committee decides whether or not to submit the
bid on the transaction.
The Company employs a comprehensive internal audit plan to
determine whether underwriting decisions being made are
consistent with the policies, procedures, and expectations for
quality set forth by management. All areas of business activity
that involve an underwriting decision are examined, with
emphasis on new products, new procedures, contract underwritten
loans, delegated loans, new employees, new master policyholders,
and new branches of an existing master policyholder. The process
used to identify categories of loans selected for audit begins
with identification and evaluation of certain defined and
verifiable risk elements. Each loan is then tested against these
elements to identify loans that fail to meet prescribed policies
or an identified norm. The procedure allows the Companys
management to identify concerns that may exist within individual
loans as well as concerns that may exist within a given category
of business.
Financial Strength Rating
Credit ratings generally are considered an important element in
a mortgage insurers ability to compete for new business,
indicating the insurers present financial strength and
capacity to pay future claims. Certain national mortgage lenders
and a large segment of the mortgage securitization market,
including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, generally will not
purchase high LTV mortgages or mortgagebacked securities
unless the insurer issuing private mortgage insurance coverage
has a financial strength rating of at least AA
by either Standard & Poors Ratings Services
(S&P) or Fitch Ratings (Fitch) or a
rating of at least Aa3 from Moodys Investors
Service (Moodys). Triad is rated
AA by both S&P and Fitch and Aa3 by
Moodys. Private mortgage insurers are not rated by any
other independent nationallyrecognized insurance industry
rating organization or agency (such as the A.M. Best Company).
When assigning a financial strength rating, S&P, Fitch, and
Moodys generally consider: (i) the specific risks
associated with the mortgage insurance industry, such as
regulatory climate, market demand, growth, and competition;
(ii) management depth, corporate strategy, and
effectiveness of operations; (iii) historical operating
results and expectations of current and future performance of
the insurers specific portfolio; and
(iv) longterm capital structure, the ratio of debt to
equity, the ratio of risk to capital, nearterm liquidity,
and
10
cash flow levels, as well as any reinsurance relationships and
the financial strength ratings of such reinsurers. Ratings are
based on factors relevant to policyholders. Such ratings are not
directed to the protection of investors and do not apply to any
securities issued by the Company.
Some rating agencies issue financial strength ratings based, in
part, upon a companys performance sensitivity to various
economic depression scenarios. In determining capital levels
required to maintain a companys rating, the rating
agencies allow the use of different forms of capital including
statutory capital, reinsurance, and debt. In January 1998, the
Company completed a $35 million private offering of notes
due January 15, 2028. The notes, which are rated
A by S&P and A+ by Fitch, were
issued to provide additional capital considered in the rating
agencys depression models.
S&P, Fitch, and Moodys will periodically review
Triads rating as they do with all rated insurers. Ratings
can be withdrawn or changed at any time by a rating agency. A
reduction in the Companys rating by S&P, Fitch, or
Moodys, while not anticipated, could materially impact the
ability of the Company to write new business.
Reinsurance
Triads product offerings include captive mortgage
reinsurance programs whereby an affiliate of a lender reinsures
a portion of the insured risk on loans originated or purchased
by the lender. These programs are designed to allow the lenders
to share in the risk of the business. See further discussion of
these programs under the Risk-sharing Products section above.
Pursuant to deeper coverage requirements imposed by Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac, certain loans eligible for sale to such
enterprises with a loantovalue ratio over 90%
require insurance with a coverage percentage of 30% or more.
Certain states limit the amount of risk a mortgage insurer may
retain with respect to coverage of an insured loan to 25% of the
claim amount, and, as a result, the deeper coverage portion of
such insurance must be reinsured. To minimize reliance on
third-party reinsurers and to permit the Company to retain the
premiums and related risk on deeper coverage business, Triad
reinsures this deeper coverage business with its
whollyowned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Assurance
Corporation (TGAC). As of December 31, 2004 and
2003, TGAC assumed approximately $73 million and
$59 million in risk from Triad, respectively.
The Company continues to maintain excess of loss reinsurance
arrangements designed to protect the Company in the event of a
catastrophic level of losses. The Company currently maintains
$125 million of excess of loss reinsurance through
non-affiliated reinsurers that have financial strength ratings
of AA or better from Standard & Poors.
The use of reinsurance as a source of capital and as a risk
management tool is well established within the mortgage
insurance industry. Reinsurance does not legally discharge an
insurer from its primary liability for the full amount of the
risk it insures, although it does make the reinsurer liable to
the primary insurer. There can be no assurance that the
Companys reinsurers will be able to meet their obligations
under the reinsurance agreements.
Defaults and Claims
The claim process on private mortgage insurance begins with the
lenders notification to the insurer of a default on an
insureds loan. Default is defined in the primary master
policy as the failure by the borrower to pay, when due, an
amount at least equal to the scheduled monthly mortgage payment
under the terms of the mortgage. The master policy requires
lenders to notify the Company of default on a mortgage payment
within 10 days of either (i) the date on which the
borrower becomes four months in default or (ii) the date on
which any legal proceeding affecting the loan commences,
whichever occurs first. Notification is required within
45 days of default if it occurs when the first payment is
due. The incidence of default is affected by a variety of
factors including, but not limited to, changes in borrower
income, unemployment, divorce, illness, and the level of
interest rates. Borrowers may cure defaults by making all
delinquent loan payments or by selling the
11
property and satisfying all amounts due under the mortgage.
Defaults that are not cured generally result in a claim to the
Company. Refer to the Managements Discussion and Analysis
of Financial Condition and Results of Operations section of this
document for default statistics at December 31 for the last
two years.
Claims result from defaults that are not cured. During the
default period, the Company works with the insured as well as
the borrower in an effort to reduce its losses through the loss
mitigation efforts described below. The frequency of claims does
not directly correlate to the frequency of defaults due, in
part, to the Companys loss mitigation efforts and the
borrowers ability to overcome temporary financial
setbacks. The likelihood that a claim will result from a
default, and the amount of such claim, principally depend on the
borrowers equity at the time of default and the
borrowers (or the lenders) ability to sell the home
for an amount sufficient to satisfy all amounts due under the
mortgage, as well as the effectiveness of loss mitigation
efforts. The time frame from when the Company first receives a
notice of default and when the ultimate claim is paid generally
ranges from six to eighteen months. Changes in various
macroeconomic conditions such as house price appreciation,
employment, and other market conditions over that time frame
also positively or negatively impact the amount of the ultimate
claim paid.
The payment of claims is not evenly spread through the coverage
period. For flow business, relatively few claims are paid during
the first two years following issuance of insurance. A period of
rising claim payments follows, which, based on industry
experience, has historically reached its highest level in the
third through sixth years after loan origination. Thereafter,
the number of claim payments made has historically declined at a
gradual rate, although the rate of decline can be affected by
local economic conditions. For our structured bulk business, the
claim pattern develops earlier, with the highest claim payment
levels reached in the second through fourth years. There can be
no assurance that the historical pattern of claims will continue
in the future.
Generally, the Company does not pay a claim for loss under the
master policy if the application for insurance for the loan in
question contains fraudulent information, material omissions, or
misrepresentations that increase the risk characteristics of the
loan. The Companys master policy also excludes any cost or
expense related to the repair or remedy of any physical damage
(other than normal wear and tear) to the property
collateralizing an insured mortgage loan. Such physical damage
may be caused by accident, natural occurrence, or other
conditions.
Under the terms of the master policy, the lender is required to
file a claim with the Company no later than 60 days after
it has acquired borrowers title to the underlying property
through foreclosure, a negotiated short sale, or a deed-in-lieu
of foreclosure. A primary insurance claim amount includes
(i) the amount of unpaid principal due under the loan;
(ii) the amount of accumulated delinquent interest due on
the loan (excluding late charges) to the date of claim filing;
(iii) expenses advanced by the insured under the terms of
the master policy, such as hazard insurance premiums, property
maintenance expenses and property taxes prorated to the date of
claim filing; and (iv) certain foreclosure and other
expenses, including attorneys fees. Such claim amount is subject
to review and possible adjustment by the Company. The
Companys experience indicates that the claim amount on a
policy generally ranges from 110% to 115% of the unpaid
principal amount of a foreclosed loan.
Within 60 days after the claim has been filed, the Company
has the option of either (i) paying the coverage percentage
specified on the certificate of insurance (usually 12% to 40% of
the claim), with the insured retaining title to the underlying
property and receiving all proceeds from the eventual sale of
the property, or (ii) paying 100% of the claim amount in
exchange for the lenders conveyance of good and marketable
title to the property to the Company, with the Company selling
the property for its own account. The Company chooses the claim
settlement option believed to cost the least. In most cases, the
Company settles claims by paying the coverage percentage of the
claim amount. At December 31, 2004, the Company held two
properties with a combined net realizable value of approximately
$211,000 that were acquired by electing to pay 100% of the claim
amount.
12
Loss Mitigation
Once a default notice is received, the Company attempts to
mitigate its loss. Through proactive intervention with insured
lenders and borrowers, the Company has been successful in
reducing the number and severity of its claims for loss. Loss
mitigation techniques include preforeclosure sales,
property sales after foreclosure, advances to assist distressed
borrowers who have suffered a temporary economic setback, and
the use of repayment schedules, refinances, loan modifications,
forbearance agreements, and deedsinlieu of
foreclosure. Such mitigation efforts typically result in a
savings to the Company over the percentage coverage amount
payable under the certificate of insurance. As a result of loss
mitigation efforts, the Company paid out only approximately 60%
and 66% of its potential exposure on claims in 2004 and 2003,
respectively.
Loss Reserves
The Company establishes reserves to provide for the estimated
costs of settling claims on loans reported in default and loans
in default that are in the process of being reported to the
Company. Consistent with industry practices, the Company does
not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans
that are not currently in default. The Companys reserving
process is based upon the assumption that long-term historical
experience, adjusted for current economic events that the
Company believes will significantly impact the long-term loss
development, provides a reasonable basis for estimating future
events. See the Financial Position section of Managements
Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations for a more detailed discussion of the loss reserving
process, and see Note 4 to the Consolidated Financial
Statements for a detailed analysis of the activity in this
account for the year.
Analysis of Direct Risk in Force
A foundation of the Companys business strategy is
proactive risk selection. The Company analyzes its portfolio in
a number of ways to identify any concentrations of risk or
imbalances in risk dispersion. The Company believes that the
quality of its insurance portfolio is affected predominantly by
(i) the quality of loan originations (including the
strength of the borrower and the marketability of the property);
(ii) the attributes of loans insured (including LTV ratio,
purpose of the loan, type of loan instrument, and type of
underlying property securing the loan); (iii) the seasoning
of the loans insured; (iv) the geographic dispersion of the
underlying properties subject to mortgage insurance; and
(v) the quality, integrity and past performance of lenders
from which the Company receives loans to insure.
|
|
|
Lender and Product Characteristics |
The Company reported $7.6 billion of direct risk in force
as of December 31, 2004. Direct risk in force includes risk
from both flow mortgage insurance as well as structured bulk
transactions, adjusted for applicable stop loss limits.
The following table provides information on risk in force (as
determined on the basis of information available on the date of
mortgage origination) by the categories indicated on
December 31, 2004 and 2003.
Risk in Force(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Direct Risk in Force (dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow
|
|
$ |
6,915 |
|
|
$ |
6,411 |
|
Bulk
|
|
|
712 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
7,627 |
|
|
$ |
7,024 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net Risk in Force (dollars in millions)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow
|
|
$ |
6,337 |
|
|
$ |
5,977 |
|
Bulk
|
|
|
712 |
|
|
|
613 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
7,049 |
|
|
$ |
6,590 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Lender concentration (excludes bulk):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top 10 lenders (by original applicant)
|
|
|
68.4 |
% |
|
|
67.4 |
% |
LTV:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.01% and above
|
|
|
9.5 |
% |
|
|
8.2 |
% |
90.01% to 95.00%
|
|
|
32.0 |
% |
|
|
37.0 |
% |
90.00% and below
|
|
|
58.5 |
% |
|
|
54.8 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loan Type:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed
|
|
|
72.3 |
% |
|
|
80.8 |
% |
ARM (positive amortization)(2)
|
|
|
27.7 |
% |
|
|
19.2 |
% |
ARM (potential negative amortization)(3)
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
ARM (scheduled amortization)(3)
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
Other
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Term:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
15 years and under
|
|
|
6.0 |
% |
|
|
7.2 |
% |
Over 15 years
|
|
|
94.0 |
% |
|
|
92.8 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Property Type:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Non-condominium (principally single-family detached)
|
|
|
94.5 |
% |
|
|
94.3 |
% |
Condominium
|
|
|
5.5 |
% |
|
|
5.7 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Occupancy Status:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Primary residence
|
|
|
88.7 |
% |
|
|
92.1 |
% |
Secondary home
|
|
|
3.7 |
% |
|
|
2.6 |
% |
Non-owner occupied
|
|
|
7.6 |
% |
|
|
5.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgage Amount:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$200,000 or less
|
|
|
66.0 |
% |
|
|
69.5 |
% |
Over $200,000
|
|
|
34.0 |
% |
|
|
30.5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) |
Percentages represent distribution of direct risk in force on a
per policy basis and does not account for applicable stop-loss
amounts. |
|
(2) |
Refers to loans where payment adjustments are the same as
mortgage interest rate adjustments. |
|
(3) |
Scheduled negative amortization is defined by the Company as the
increase in loan balance that will occur if interest rates do
not change. Loans with potential negative amortization will not
have increasing principal balances unless interest rates
increase. |
An important determinant of claim incidence is the relative
amount of borrowers equity in the home. For the industry
as a whole, historical evidence indicates that, in general,
claim incidence on loans with a higher LTV is greater than a
loan with a lower LTV, all else being equal. The Company
believes the higher premium rates charged on high LTV loans
adequately reflect the additional risk.
14
At December 31, 2004, approximately 9.5% of the
Companys risk in force is comprised of loans with an LTV
greater than 95%. These high LTV loans are offered primarily to
low and moderate-income borrowers. The Company believes that
these loans have higher risks than loans with lower LTVs and
have often attracted borrowers with weak credit histories,
generally resulting in higher loss ratios. In keeping with the
Companys established risk strategy, the Company has not
aggressively solicited this segment of the industry. The Company
does not routinely delegate the underwriting of high LTV loans.
In 2000, the State of Illinois Insurance Department, as well as
the insurance departments of several other states, began to
permit mortgage insurers to write coverage on loans with LTVs in
excess of 97% up to 100% and, in certain instances, up to 103%.
This determination was made in response to the development by
certain entities in the mortgage securitization market,
including Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, of programs that allowed
LTVs in excess of 97%. These programs are designed to
accommodate the creditworthy borrower who lacks the
ability or otherwise chooses not to provide a down payment on a
home. The Company accepts loans with LTVs greater than 97% on a
limited basis.
The Company actively pursues only positively amortizing ARMs
with industry standard caps. Payments on these loans adjust
fully with interest rate adjustments. To date, the performance
of the Companys ARM loans has been consistent with that of
its fixed rate portfolio. However, since historical claim
frequency data on ARMs has not yet been tested during a
prolonged period of economic stress, there can be no assurance
that claim frequency on ARMs may not eventually be higher,
particularly during a period of rising interest rates combined
with decreasing housing prices. In its normal course of
operations, the Companys existing underwriting policy does
not permit coverage of ARMs with scheduled negative
amortization. ARMs with potential negative
amortization characteristics, because of possible interest rate
increases and borrower payment option changes, are accepted
under limited conditions for approved lenders.
The Company believes that 15year mortgages present a lower
level of risk than 30year mortgages, primarily as a result
of the faster amortization and the more rapid accumulation of
borrower equity in the property. Accordingly, the Company
charges lower premium rates on these loans than on comparable
30year mortgages.
The Company believes that the risk of claim is also affected by
the type of property securing the insured loan. In
managements opinion, loans on singlefamily detached
housing are subject to less risk of claim incidence than loans
on other types of properties. The Company believes that attached
housing types, particularly condominiums and cooperatives, are a
higher risk because, in most areas, condominiums and
cooperatives tend to be more susceptible to downward
fluctuations in value than singlefamily detached dwellings
in the same market.
Loans on primary residences that were owner occupied at the time
of loan origination constituted approximately 89% of the
Companys risk in force at December 31, 2004. Because
management believes that loans on nonowner occupied
properties represent a substantially higher risk of claim
incidence and are subject to greater value declines than loans
on primary homes, the Company does not actively pursue these
loans.
Historical evidence indicates that higherpriced properties
experience wider fluctuations in value than moderately priced
residences. These fluctuations exist primarily because there is
a smaller pool of qualified buyers for higherpriced homes,
which, in turn, reduces the likelihood of achieving a quick sale
at fair market value when necessary to avoid a default. The
majority of the Companys direct risk in force is on
mortgages of $200,000 or below.
The Companys book of business is relatively unseasoned,
having a weighted average life of 2.2 years at
December 31, 2004, and 1.9 years at December 31,
2003.
15
The following table shows the percentage of direct risk in force
as of December 31, 2004, for policies written from 1990
through 2004 and the cumulative loss ratios (calculated as
direct losses paid divided by direct premiums received, in each
case for a particular policy year) that have developed through
December 31, 2004 and 2003. It excludes the effects of
reinsurance.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cumulative Loss Ratios | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
as of December 31 | |
Certificate |
|
Direct Risk | |
|
Percent | |
|
| |
Year |
|
in Force | |
|
of Total | |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In millions) | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
1994 and before
|
|
$ |
27.1 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1995
|
|
|
17.4 |
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
|
|
12.7 |
|
|
|
12.5 |
|
1996
|
|
|
24.2 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
|
|
|
13.6 |
|
|
|
13.1 |
|
1997
|
|
|
41.5 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
|
9.6 |
|
|
|
9.0 |
|
1998
|
|
|
106.3 |
|
|
|
1.4 |
|
|
|
6.0 |
|
|
|
5.4 |
|
1999
|
|
|
88.7 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
7.8 |
|
|
|
6.1 |
|
2000
|
|
|
78.0 |
|
|
|
1.0 |
|
|
|
27.8 |
|
|
|
19.6 |
|
2001
|
|
|
488.4 |
|
|
|
6.4 |
|
|
|
15.9 |
|
|
|
7.7 |
|
2002
|
|
|
1,088.5 |
|
|
|
14.3 |
|
|
|
10.2 |
|
|
|
2.9 |
|
2003
|
|
|
3,038.2 |
|
|
|
39.8 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
2004
|
|
|
2,628.6 |
|
|
|
34.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
7,626.9 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The table above reflects a relatively higher cumulative ratio of
losses paid to premium received for the 2000 policy year at this
stage of development. This is due, in part, to a large portion
of this business refinancing in recent years and the resulting
lower aggregate level of premium received for this policy year.
Most of the Companys structured bulk production in the
last two years has been classified as Alt-A, and a small but
increasing share of the Companys flow business also is
classified as Alt-A. The following table shows the percentage of
the Companys insurance in force that was classified as
Alt-A at December 31, 2004 and 2003:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow
|
|
|
6.5 |
% |
|
|
4.5 |
% |
Structured bulk
|
|
|
96.1 |
% |
|
|
87.3 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
27.5 |
% |
|
|
17.1 |
% |
16
The following tables reflect the percentage of direct risk in
force on the Companys book of business (by location of
property) for the top ten states and the top ten metropolitan
statistical areas (MSAs) as of December 31,
2004.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Top Ten States |
|
|
|
Top Ten MSAs |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
California
|
|
|
10.2 |
% |
|
Chicago, IL
|
|
|
4.1 |
% |
Florida
|
|
|
8.2 |
|
|
Atlanta, GA
|
|
|
2.8 |
|
Texas
|
|
|
8.1 |
|
|
Phoenix/Mesa, AZ
|
|
|
2.7 |
|
Illinois
|
|
|
4.6 |
|
|
Los Angeles/Long Beach, CA
|
|
|
2.5 |
|
Georgia
|
|
|
4.5 |
|
|
Houston, TX
|
|
|
2.2 |
|
North Carolina
|
|
|
4.3 |
|
|
New York, NY
|
|
|
2.1 |
|
Arizona
|
|
|
4.0 |
|
|
Riverside/San Bernardino, CA
|
|
|
1.9 |
|
New York
|
|
|
3.9 |
|
|
Dallas, TX
|
|
|
1.6 |
|
New Jersey
|
|
|
3.8 |
|
|
Las Vegas, NV
|
|
|
1.5 |
|
Pennsylvania
|
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
Boston, MA
|
|
|
1.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
54.9 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
22.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
While the Company continues to diversify its risk in force
geographically, a prolonged regional recession, particularly in
its high concentration areas, or a prolonged national economic
recession could significantly increase loss development.
Investment Portfolio
See a complete discussion of the investment portfolio in the
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations section of this document.
Regulation
The Companys insurance subsidiaries are subject to
comprehensive, detailed regulation, principally for the
protection of policyholders rather than for the benefit of
investors, by the insurance departments of the various states in
which each insurer is licensed to transact business. Although
their scope varies, state insurance laws, in general, grant
broad powers to supervisory agencies or officials to examine
companies and to enforce rules or exercise discretion touching
almost every significant aspect of the insurance business. These
include the licensing of companies to transact business and
varying degrees of control over claims handling practices,
reinsurance requirements, premium rates, the forms and policies
offered to customers, financial statements, periodic financial
reporting, permissible investments, and adherence to financial
standards relating to statutory surplus, dividends, and other
criteria of solvency intended to assure the satisfaction of
obligations to policyholders.
All states have enacted legislation that requires each insurance
company in a holding company system to register with the
insurance regulatory authority of its state of domicile and
furnish to the regulator financial and other information
concerning the operations of companies within the holding
company system that may materially affect the operations,
management, or financial condition of the insurers within the
system. Generally, all transactions within a holding company
system between an insurer and its affiliates must be fair and
reasonable and the insurers statutory policyholders
surplus following any transaction with an affiliate must be both
reasonable in relation to its outstanding liabilities and
adequate for its needs. Most states also regulate transactions
between insurance companies and their parents and/or affiliates.
There can be no assurance that state regulatory requirements
will not become more stringent in the future and have an adverse
effect on the Company.
17
Because the Company is an insurance holding company and Triad is
an Illinois domiciled insurance company, the Illinois insurance
laws regulate, among other things, certain transactions in the
Companys Common Stock and certain transactions between
Triad and the Company or affiliates. Specifically, no person
may, directly or indirectly, offer to acquire or acquire
beneficial ownership of more than 10% of any class of
outstanding securities of the Company or its subsidiaries unless
such person files a statement and other documents with the
Illinois Director of Insurance and obtains the Directors
prior approval. These restrictions generally apply to all
persons controlling or under common control with the insurance
companies. Control is presumed to exist if 10% or
more of Triads voting securities is owned or controlled,
directly or indirectly, by a person, although the Illinois
Director may find that control, in fact, does or
does not exist where a person owns or controls either a lesser
or greater amount of securities. Other states in addition to
Illinois may regulate affiliated transactions and the
acquisition of control of the Company or its insurance
subsidiaries.
Triad is required by Illinois insurance laws to provide for a
contingency reserve in an amount equal to at least 50% of earned
premiums in its statutory financial statements. Such reserves
must be maintained for a period of 10 years except in
circumstances where high levels of losses exceed regulatory
thresholds. The contingency reserve, designed to provide a
cushion against the effect of adverse economic cycles, has the
effect of reducing statutory surplus and restricting dividends
and other distributions by Triad. At December 31, 2004,
Triad had statutory policyholders surplus of
$135.7 million and a statutory contingency reserve of
$369.5 million. At December 31, 2003, Triad had
statutory policyholders surplus of $128.2 million and
a statutory contingency reserve of $302.7 million.
Triads statutory earned surplus was $51.9 million at
December 31, 2004, and $44.5 million at
December 31, 2003, reflecting growth in statutory net
income greater than the increase in the statutory contingency
reserve.
The insurance laws of Illinois provide that Triad may pay
dividends only out of statutory earned surplus and further
establish standards limiting the maximum amount of dividends
that may be paid without prior approval by the Illinois
Director. Under such standards, Triad may pay dividends during
any 12month period equal to the greater of (i) 10% of
the preceding yearend statutory policyholders
surplus or (ii) the preceding years net income. In
addition, insurance regulatory authorities have broad discretion
to limit the payment of dividends by insurance companies. Triad
has never paid dividends to the Company.
Although not subject to a rating law in Illinois, premium rates
for mortgage insurance are subject to regulation in most states
to protect policyholders against the adverse effects of
excessive, inadequate, or unfairly discriminatory rates and to
encourage competition in the insurance marketplace. Any increase
in premium rates must be justified, generally on the basis of
the insurers loss experience, expenses, and future trend
analysis. The general mortgage default experience also may be
considered.
TGAC, organized as a subsidiary of Triad under the insurance
laws of the state of Illinois in December 1994 and as an
Illinois domiciled insurer, is subject to all Illinois insurance
regulatory requirements applicable to Triad.
Triad Re, organized as a subsidiary of Triad under the insurance
laws of the state of Vermont in November 1999 and as a Vermont
domiciled insurer, is subject to all Vermont insurance
regulatory requirements applicable to Triad.
Triad, TGAC, and Triad Re are each subject to examination of
their affairs by the insurance departments of every state in
which they are licensed to transact business. The Illinois
Insurance Director and Vermont Insurance Commissioner
periodically conduct financial condition examinations of
insurance companies domiciled in their states. The most recent
examinations of Triad and TGAC were issued by the Illinois
Insurance Department on February 3, 2000, and covered the
period January 1, 1995, through December 31, 1998. No
material recommendations were made as a result of these
examinations. The Illinois Insurance Department has begun its
customary examination for the years 1999 through 2003 for Triad
and TGAC. The examination is in the final stages and there have
been no significant findings as a result of this examination.
The Insurance Division of the State of Vermont has begun its
customary examination for the years 1999 through 2003 for Triad
Re. This examination is also in the final stages and there have
been no significant findings as a result of this examination.
18
A number of states generally limit the amount of insurance risk
that may be written by a private mortgage insurer to 25 times
the insurers total policyholders surplus. This
restriction is commonly known as the risktocapital
requirement.
State insurance laws and regulations generally restrict mortgage
insurers to writing residential mortgage guaranty insurance
business only. This restriction generally prohibits Triad from
using its capital resources in support of other types of
insurance and restricts its noninsurance business. However,
noninsurance businesses of the Company would not be subject to
regulation under state insurance laws.
Regulation of reinsurance varies by state. Except for Illinois,
Wisconsin, New York, Ohio, and California, most states have no
special restrictions on reinsurance that would apply to private
mortgage insurers other than standard reinsurance requirements
applicable to property and casualty insurance companies. Certain
restrictions, including reinsurance trust fund or letter of
credit requirements, apply under Illinois law to domestic
companies and under the laws of several other states to any
licensed company ceding business to unlicensed reinsurers. If a
reinsurer is not admitted or approved, the company doing
business with the reinsurer cannot take credit in its statutory
financial statements for the risk ceded to such reinsurer absent
compliance with the reinsurance security requirements. In
addition, some states in which Triad does business have limited
private mortgage insurers to a maximum policy coverage limit of
25% of the insureds claim amount and require coverages in
excess of 25% to be reinsured through another licensed mortgage
insurer.
The National Association of Insurance Commissioners
(NAIC) adopted a riskbased capital
(RBC) formula designed to help regulators identify
property and casualty insurers in need of additional capital.
The RBC formula establishes minimum capital needs based upon
risks applicable to individual insurers, including asset risks,
offbalance sheet risks (such as guarantees for affiliates
and contingent liabilities), and credit risks (such as
reinsurance ceded and receivables). The NAIC and the Illinois
Department of Insurance currently do not require mortgage
guaranty insurers to file RBC analysis in their annual
statements.
As the dominant purchasers and sellers of conventional mortgage
loans and beneficiaries of private mortgage guaranty insurance,
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac impose requirements on private
mortgage insurers in order for such insurers to be eligible to
insure loans sold to them. Freddie Macs current
eligibility requirements impose limitations on the types of risk
insured, standards for geographic and customer diversification
of risk, procedures for claims handling, acceptable underwriting
practices, and generally mirror the financial requirements of
statutory insurance regulations. These requirements are subject
to change from time to time. Freddie Mac most recently modified
its eligibility guidelines in March 2002.
Fannie Mae has recently completed the process of revising its
approval requirements for mortgage insurers. The new
requirements require prior approval by Fannie Mae for many of
Triads activities and new products, allow for other
approved types of mortgage insurers rated less than
AA, and give Fannie Mae increased rights to revise
the eligibility standards of mortgage insurers. While continuing
to study the final requirements, we do not see any material
impact on our current or future operations as a result of the
new rules, although a material impact could still occur if our
interpretation is incorrect.
While Triad is an approved mortgage insurer for both Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac and meets all existing eligibility requirements,
there can be no assurance that such requirements or the
interpretation of the requirements will not change or that Triad
will continue to meet such requirements. In addition, to the
extent Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac assumes default risk for itself
that would otherwise be insured, changes current guarantee fee
arrangements, allows alternative credit enhancements, alters or
liberalizes underwriting guidelines on low down payment
mortgages it purchases, or otherwise changes its business
practices or processes with respect to such mortgages, private
mortgage insurers may be affected. Triad could be particularly
adversely affected if changes in eligibility requirements
regarding captive arrangements that permit premium cessions
greater than 25% were to impede Triads ability to offer
this form of captive reinsurance.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both accept reduced mortgage
insurance coverage from lenders that deliver loans approved by
their automated underwriting services. Generally, Fannie
Maes and Freddie Macs reduced
19
mortgage insurance coverage options provide for
(i) acrosstheboard reductions in required MI
coverage on 30year fixedrate loans recommended for
approval by their automated underwriting services to the levels
in effect in 1994; (ii) a reduction in required MI coverage
for loans with only a 5% down payment (a 95% LTV) from 30% to
25% of the mortgage loan covered by MI; and (iii) a
reduction in required MI coverage for loans with a 10% down
payment (a 90% LTV loan) from 25% to 17% of the mortgage loan
covered by MI. In addition, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have
implemented other programs that further reduce MI coverage upon
the payment of an additional fee by the lender. Under this
option, a 95% LTV loan will require 18% of the mortgage loan to
have mortgage insurance coverage. Similarly, a 90% LTV loan will
require 12% of the mortgage loan to have mortgage insurance
coverage. In order for the homebuyer to have MI at these levels,
such loans would require a payment at closing or a higher note
rate.
Certain national mortgage lenders and a large segment of the
mortgage securitization market, including Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, generally will not purchase mortgages or
mortgagebacked securities unless the private mortgage
insurance on the mortgages has been issued by an insurer with a
financial strength rating of at least AA from
S&P or Fitch or a rating of at least Aa3 from
Moodys. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac require mortgage
guaranty insurers to maintain two ratings of
AA or better. Triad has a financial strength
rating of AA from S&P and Fitch and a rating of
Aa3 from Moodys. S&P, Fitch, and
Moodys consider Triads consolidated operations and
financial position in determining the rating. There can be no
assurance that Triads ratings, the methods by which the
ratings are determined, or the eligibility requirements of
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac will not change.
The Real Estate Settlement and Procedures Act of 1974
(RESPA) applies to most residential mortgages
insured by Triad, and related regulations provide that the
provision of services involving mortgage insurance is a
settlement service for purposes of loans subject to
RESPA. Subject to limited exceptions, RESPA prohibits persons
from accepting anything of value for referring real estate
settlement services to any provider of such services. Although
many states prohibit mortgage insurers from giving rebates,
RESPA has been interpreted to cover many nonfee services
as well.
Most originators of mortgage loans are required to collect and
report data relating to a mortgage loan applicants race,
nationality, gender, marital status, and census tract to HUD or
the Federal Reserve under the Home Mortgage Disclosure Act of
1975 (HMDA). The purpose of HMDA is to detect
possible discrimination in home lending and, through disclosure,
to discourage such discrimination. Mortgage insurers are not
required pursuant to any law or regulation to report HMDA data,
although under the laws of several states, mortgage insurers are
currently prohibited from discriminating on the basis of certain
classifications. All but two of the active mortgage insurers,
through their trade association, the Mortgage Insurance
Companies of America (MICA), have entered into an
agreement with the Federal Financial Institutions Examinations
Council (FFIEC) to report the same data on loans
submitted for insurance as is required for most mortgage lenders
under HMDA.
The Homeowners Protection Act of 1998 provides for certain
termination and cancellation requirements for borrowerpaid
mortgage insurance and requires mortgage lenders to periodically
update borrowers about their private mortgage insurance. Under
the legislation, borrowers may generally request termination of
mortgage insurance once the LTV reaches 80%, provided that
certain conditions are met. The legislation further requires
lenders to automatically cancel borrowerpaid private
mortgage insurance when home equity reaches 78% if certain
conditions are met. The legislation also requires lenders to
notify borrowers that they have private mortgage insurance and
requires certain disclosures to borrowers of their rights under
the law. Because most mortgage borrowers who obtain private
mortgage insurance do not achieve 20% equity in their homes
before the homes are sold or the mortgages are refinanced, the
Company has not lost and does not expect to lose a significant
amount of its insurance in force due to the enactment of this
legislation.
The Company, Triad, and Triads subsidiaries are also
indirectly, but significantly, impacted by regulations affecting
purchasers of mortgage loans, such as Fannie Mae and Freddie
Mac, and regulations affecting governmental insurers, such as
the FHA and the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA),
as well as
20
regulation affecting lenders. Private mortgage insurers,
including Triad, are highly dependent upon federal housing
legislation and other laws and regulations that affect the
demand for private mortgage insurance and the housing market.
FHA loan limits are adjusted in response to changes in the
Freddie Mac/ Fannie Mae conforming loan limits. Currently, the
maximum single-family home mortgage that the FHA can insure is
$312,895. The maximum FHA loan amount is subject to adjustment
and may increase in the future. Any future legislation that
increases the number of persons eligible for FHA or VA mortgages
could have an adverse effect on Triads ability to compete
with the FHA or VA.
Pursuant to the Financial Institutions Reform, Recovery, and
Enforcement Act of 1989 (FIRREA), the Office of
Thrift Supervision (OTS) issued riskbased
capital rules for savings institutions. These rules establish a
lower capital requirement for a low down payment loan that is
insured with private mortgage insurance, as opposed to remaining
uninsured. Furthermore, the guidelines for real estate lending
policies applicable to savings institutions and commercial banks
provide that such institutions should require appropriate credit
enhancement in the form of either mortgage insurance or readily
marketable collateral for any high LTV mortgage. Future changes,
if any, to FIRREAs riskbased capital rules or the
guidelines for real estate lending policies applicable to
savings institutions and commercial banks could affect demand
for private mortgage insurance products.
In the first quarter of 2002, the Office of Federal Housing
Enterprise Oversight (OFHEO) released its risk-based
capital rules for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. The regulation
provides capital guidelines for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in
connection with their use of various types of credit protection
counterparties including a more preferential capital credit for
insurance from a AAA rated private mortgage insurer
than for insurance from a AA rated private mortgage
insurer. The phase-in period for the new rule is ten years. The
Company does not believe the new rules had an adverse impact on
it when issued or that the new rules will have a significant
adverse impact on the Company in the future. However, if the new
capital guidelines result in future changes to the preferences
of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac regarding their use of the various
types of credit enhancements or their choice of mortgage
insurers based on credit rating, the Companys financial
condition could be significantly harmed.
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac each provide their own automated
underwriting system to be used by mortgage originators selling
mortgages to them. These systems, which are provided by Triad as
a service to the Companys contract underwriting customers,
streamline the mortgage process and reduce costs. The increased
acceptance of these products is driving the automation of the
process by which mortgage originators sell loans to Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac, a trend that is expected to continue. As a
result, Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac could develop the capability
to become the decision maker regarding selection of a private
mortgage insurer for loans sold to them, a decision
traditionally made by the mortgage originator. The Company,
however, is not aware of any plans to do so. The concentration
of purchasing power that would be attained if such development,
in fact, occurred could adversely affect, from the
Companys perspective, the terms on which mortgage
insurance is written on loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.
Additionally, proposals have been advanced which would allow
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac additional flexibility in determining
the amount and nature of alternative recourse arrangements or
other credit enhancements that could be utilized as substitutes
for private mortgage insurance. The Company cannot predict if or
when any of the foregoing legislation or proposals will be
adopted, but if adopted, and depending upon the nature and
extent of revisions made, demand for private mortgage insurance
may be adversely affected. There can be no assurance that other
federal laws affecting such institutions and entities will not
change, or that new legislation or regulation will not be
adopted.
In 1996, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency
(OCC) granted permission to national banks to have a
reinsurance company as a whollyowned operating subsidiary
for the purpose of reinsuring mortgage insurance written on
loans originated, purchased, or serviced by such banks. Several
subsequent applications by banks to offer reinsurance have been
approved by the OCC including at least one request to engage in
quota share reinsurance. The OTS, which regulates thrifts and
savings institutions, has approved applications for such captive
arrangements as well. The reinsurance subsidiaries of national
banks or savings institutions could become significant
competitors of the Company in the future.
21
In November 1999, the GrammLeachBliley Act, also
known as the Financial Services Modernization Act of 1999,
became effective and allows holding companies of banks also to
own a company that underwrites insurance. As a result of this
Act, banking organizations that previously were not allowed to
be affiliated with insurance companies may now do so. This
legislation has had very little impact on the Company to date.
However, the evolution of federal law making it easier for banks
to engage in the mortgage guaranty business through affiliates
may subject mortgage guaranty insurers to more intense
competition and risksharing with bank lender customers in
the future.
Web Site Access to Company Reports
The Company makes available, free of charge, through its Web
site, its Annual Report on Form 10-K, quarterly reports on
Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K, and amendments
to those reports as soon as reasonably practicable after this
material is electronically filed with or furnished to the
Securities and Exchange Commission. This material may be
accessed by visiting the Investors/ Financial Information/ SEC
Filing Information section of the Companys web site at
www.triadguaranty.com.
Employees
As of December 31, 2004, the Company employed approximately
225 persons. Employees are not covered by any collective
bargaining agreement. The Company considers its employee
relations to be satisfactory.
Executive Officers
The executive officers of the Company are as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Name |
|
Position |
|
Age | |
|
|
|
|
| |
William T. Ratliff, III
|
|
Chairman of the Board of the Company and Triad |
|
|
51 |
|
|
Darryl W. Thompson
|
|
President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director of the Company
and Triad |
|
|
64 |
|
|
Ron D. Kessinger
|
|
Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer and
Acting Chief Financial Officer of the Company and Triad |
|
|
50 |
|
|
Kenneth N. Lard
|
|
Executive Vice President of the Company and Executive Vice
President, Sales and Operations of Triad |
|
|
46 |
|
|
Earl F. Wall
|
|
Senior Vice President, Secretary, and General Counsel of the
Company and Triad |
|
|
47 |
|
|
Kenneth C. Foster
|
|
Senior Vice President, Risk Management of Triad |
|
|
56 |
|
William T. Ratliff, III has been the Chairman of the
Board of the Company since 1993. Mr. Ratliff has also been
Chairman of the Board of Triad since 1989, President of CIC
since 1990 and was President and General Partner of CML from
1987 to 1995. Since 1995, he has served as President of Collat,
Inc., CMLs corporate general partner. Mr. Ratliff has
been Chairman of New South Federal Savings Bank (New
South) since 1986 and President and Director of New South
Bancshares, Inc., New Souths parent company, since 1994.
From March 1994 until December 1996, Mr. Ratliff served as
President of Southwide Life Insurance Corp., of which he had
been Executive Vice President since 1993. Mr. Ratliff
joined CML in 1981 after completing his doctoral degree with a
study of planning processes in an insurance company. Previously,
he worked as an educator, counselor, and organizational
consultant.
Darryl W. Thompson has been the President, Chief
Executive Officer, and a Director of the Company since 1993.
Mr. Thompson has also been President, Chief Executive
Officer, and a Director of Triad since its inception in 1987.
From 1986 to 1989, Mr. Thompson also served as President
and Chief Executive Officer of Triad Life Insurance Company,
which sold mortgage insurance products. From 1976 to 1985,
Mr. Thompson served as Senior Vice President/ Southeast
Division Manager of MGIC. Mr. Thompson joined MGIC in 1972.
22
Ron D. Kessinger has been Senior Executive Vice President
and Chief Operating Officer of the Company since October 2004.
Mr. Kessinger has been Chief Financial Officer of the
Company since December 1999 and of Triad since November 1999.
Prior to this, he was the Executive Vice President of Insurance
Operations of Triad since June 1996. Mr. Kessinger was Vice
President of Claims and Administration of Triad from January
1991 to June 1996. From 1985 to 1991, Mr. Kessinger was
employed by Integon Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation,
most recently serving as Senior Vice President of Operations.
Prior to joining Integon Mortgage Guaranty Insurance
Corporation, Mr. Kessinger was employed by the parent
company of Integon Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation.
Kenneth N. Lard has been Executive Vice President of the
Company and Executive Vice President, Sales and Operations of
Triad since October 2004. Mr. Lard was Senior Vice
President, Sales and Marketing of Triad from June 2002 to
January 2003. From November 1997 to May 2002, Mr. Lard was
Senior Vice President, National Sales Director of Triad. From
November 1995 to September 1996 Mr. Lard was Vice
President, National Accounts of Triad. Prior to joining Triad,
Mr. Lard was employed by Signet Bank from 1987 to 1995 as
Vice President, Capital Markets Division and most recently as
Vice President, Secondary Marketing. Mr. Lard has been with
Triad for 9 years and has over 20 years experience in
the mortgage industry.
Earl F. Wall has been Senior Vice President of Triad
since November 1999, General Counsel of Triad since January
1996, and Secretary since June 1996. Mr. Wall was Vice
President of Triad from 1996 till 1999. Mr. Wall has been
Senior Vice President of the Company since December 1999, and
Secretary and General Counsel of the Company since September
1996. Mr. Wall was Vice President of the Company from 1996
to 1999. From 1982 to 1995, Mr. Wall was employed by
Integon in a number of capacities including Vice President,
Associate General Counsel, and Director of Integon Life
Insurance Corporation and Georgia International Life Insurance
Corporation, Vice President, and General Counsel of Integon
Mortgage Guaranty Insurance Corporation, and Vice President,
General Counsel, and Director of Marketing One, Inc.
Kenneth C. Foster has been Senior Vice President, Risk
Management of Triad since April 2002. From June 2001 to April
2002 Mr. Foster was Senior Vice President, Product
Development of Triad. Prior to joining Triad, Mr. Foster
was Principal of Applied Mortgage Solutions from 1994 to 2001.
Previously Mr. Foster was employed by MGIC from 1980 to
1994, most recently as Vice President of Business/ Information
Development. Mr. Foster has been associated with Triad for
9 years and in the insurance/mortgage industry for over
30 years.
Officers of the Company serve at the discretion of the Board of
Directors of the Company.
The Company leases office space in its WinstonSalem
headquarters and its thirteen underwriting offices located
throughout the country under leases expiring between 2005 and
2012 and which require annual lease payments of approximately
$2.0 million in 2005. With respect to all facilities, the
Company either has renewal options or believes it will be able
to obtain lease renewals on satisfactory terms. The Company
believes its existing properties are well utilized and are
suitable and adequate for its present circumstances.
The Company maintains midrange and microcomputer
systems from its corporate data center located in its
headquarters building to support its data processing
requirements for accounting, claims, marketing, risk management,
and underwriting. The Company has in place backup
procedures in the event of emergency situations.
|
|
Item 3. |
Legal Proceedings. |
The Company is involved in litigation in the ordinary course of
business including the named cases below. No pending litigation
is expected to have a material adverse affect on the financial
position of the Company.
Triad was a defendant in Patton v. Triad. The complaint
alleged that Triad violated the Real Estate Settlement
Procedures Act by entering into transactions with lenders
(including captive mortgage reinsurance
23
and contract underwriting) that were not properly priced, in
return for the referral of mortgage insurance. This case was
settled during 2004 for a nominal amount.
Triad is a defendant in Broessel v. Triad. This
action was commenced on January 15, 2004 with a filing in
Federal District Court for the Western District of Kentucky
seeking class action status on behalf of a nationwide class of
home mortgage borrowers. The complaint alleges that Triad
violated the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) by
failing to provide notices to certain borrowers when mortgage
insurance was offered to lenders with respect to those
borrowers mortgage loans at a rate in excess of
Triads lowest available rate. Triad has filed a motion for
summary judgment. Discovery is currently underway with respect
to this motion. While the ultimate outcome of the FCRA
litigation is uncertain, the litigation is not expected to have
a material adverse effect on the financial position of the
Company.
|
|
Item 4. |
Submission of Matters to a Vote of Security
Holders. |
None.
PART II
|
|
Item 5. |
Market for Registrants Common Equity and Related
Stockholder Matters. |
The Companys Common Stock trades on The NASDAQ Stock
Market®under the symbol TGIC. At
December 31, 2004, 14,631,678 shares were issued and
outstanding. The following table sets forth the highest and
lowest closing prices of the Companys Common Stock,
$0.01 par value, as reported by NASDAQ during the periods
indicated.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
High | |
|
Low | |
|
High | |
|
Low | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
First Quarter
|
|
$ |
55.87 |
|
|
$ |
49.50 |
|
|
$ |
40.17 |
|
|
$ |
31.13 |
|
Second Quarter
|
|
$ |
59.37 |
|
|
$ |
52.53 |
|
|
$ |
39.90 |
|
|
$ |
34.80 |
|
Third Quarter
|
|
$ |
59.09 |
|
|
$ |
51.01 |
|
|
$ |
49.00 |
|
|
$ |
39.26 |
|
Fourth Quarter
|
|
$ |
60.80 |
|
|
$ |
51.55 |
|
|
$ |
51.22 |
|
|
$ |
46.11 |
|
As of March 4, 2005, the number of stockholders of record
of the Companys Common Stock was approximately 200. In
addition, there were an estimated 7,700 beneficial owners of
shares held by brokers and fiduciaries.
Payments of future dividends are subject to declaration by the
Companys Board of Directors. The dividend policy is
dependent also on the ability of Triad to pay dividends to the
parent company. Because of Triads need to maintain capital
levels required by rating agencies, there are no present
intentions to pay dividends.
24
|
|
Item 6. |
Selected Financial Data. |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2001 | |
|
2000 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(Dollars in thousands, except per share amounts) | |
Income Statement Data (for period ended):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums written:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct
|
|
$ |
176,696 |
|
|
$ |
154,046 |
|
|
$ |
124,214 |
|
|
$ |
95,551 |
|
|
$ |
76,867 |
|
|
Ceded
|
|
|
(35,365 |
) |
|
|
(27,310 |
) |
|
|
(18,345 |
) |
|
|
(10,553 |
) |
|
|
(4,985 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
141,331 |
|
|
$ |
126,736 |
|
|
$ |
105,869 |
|
|
$ |
84,998 |
|
|
$ |
71,882 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums
|
|
$ |
140,992 |
|
|
$ |
119,732 |
|
|
$ |
105,067 |
|
|
$ |
84,356 |
|
|
$ |
71,843 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
19,754 |
|
|
|
17,082 |
|
|
|
16,099 |
|
|
|
14,765 |
|
|
|
12,645 |
|
Net realized gains (losses)
|
|
|
504 |
|
|
|
3,029 |
|
|
|
(2,519 |
) |
|
|
297 |
|
|
|
286 |
|
Other income
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
72 |
|
|
|
1,892 |
|
|
|
37 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues
|
|
|
161,266 |
|
|
|
139,867 |
|
|
|
118,719 |
|
|
|
101,310 |
|
|
|
84,811 |
|
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
35,864 |
|
|
|
23,833 |
|
|
|
14,063 |
|
|
|
9,019 |
|
|
|
7,587 |
|
Interest expense on debt
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,771 |
|
|
|
2,771 |
|
|
|
2,770 |
|
Amortization of deferred acquisition cost
|
|
|
14,256 |
|
|
|
18,112 |
|
|
|
13,742 |
|
|
|
11,712 |
|
|
|
8,211 |
|
Other operating expenses (net of acquisition cost deferred)
|
|
|
26,483 |
|
|
|
22,776 |
|
|
|
22,900 |
|
|
|
18,136 |
|
|
|
16,008 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income taxes
|
|
|
81,891 |
|
|
|
72,374 |
|
|
|
65,243 |
|
|
|
59,672 |
|
|
|
50,235 |
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
23,474 |
|
|
|
21,283 |
|
|
|
20,140 |
|
|
|
18,413 |
|
|
|
15,237 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
|
$ |
41,259 |
|
|
$ |
34,998 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings per share
|
|
$ |
4.04 |
|
|
$ |
3.57 |
|
|
$ |
3.21 |
|
|
$ |
3.05 |
|
|
$ |
2.63 |
|
Diluted earnings per share
|
|
$ |
3.98 |
|
|
$ |
3.52 |
|
|
$ |
3.15 |
|
|
$ |
2.95 |
|
|
$ |
2.55 |
|
Weighted average common and common share equivalents outstanding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
14,458,453 |
|
|
|
14,322,216 |
|
|
|
14,060,420 |
|
|
|
13,545,725 |
|
|
|
13,321,901 |
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
14,681,228 |
|
|
|
14,509,538 |
|
|
|
14,331,581 |
|
|
|
13,977,435 |
|
|
|
13,726,088 |
|
Balance Sheet Data (at year end):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets
|
|
$ |
672,035 |
|
|
$ |
575,579 |
|
|
$ |
482,886 |
|
|
$ |
396,455 |
|
|
$ |
328,377 |
|
|
Total invested assets
|
|
$ |
480,488 |
|
|
$ |
413,527 |
|
|
$ |
344,581 |
|
|
$ |
277,200 |
|
|
$ |
232,025 |
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$ |
34,042 |
|
|
$ |
27,186 |
|
|
$ |
21,360 |
|
|
$ |
17,991 |
|
|
$ |
14,987 |
|
|
Unearned premiums
|
|
$ |
15,942 |
|
|
$ |
15,630 |
|
|
$ |
8,539 |
|
|
$ |
7,650 |
|
|
$ |
6,933 |
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
$ |
34,493 |
|
|
$ |
34,486 |
|
|
$ |
34,479 |
|
|
$ |
34,473 |
|
|
$ |
34,467 |
|
|
Stockholders equity
|
|
$ |
437,343 |
|
|
$ |
369,930 |
|
|
$ |
309,407 |
|
|
$ |
246,070 |
|
|
$ |
199,831 |
|
Statutory Ratios(1):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
19.9 |
% |
|
|
13.4 |
% |
|
|
10.7 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
29.4 |
% |
|
|
33.0 |
% |
|
|
38.0 |
% |
|
|
39.9 |
% |
|
|
37.4 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
54.8 |
% |
|
|
52.9 |
% |
|
|
51.4 |
% |
|
|
50.6 |
% |
|
|
48.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
GAAP Ratios:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss ratio
|
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
19.9 |
% |
|
|
13.4 |
% |
|
|
10.7 |
% |
|
|
10.6 |
% |
|
Expense ratio
|
|
|
28.8 |
% |
|
|
32.3 |
% |
|
|
34.6 |
% |
|
|
35.1 |
% |
|
|
33.7 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Combined ratio
|
|
|
54.2 |
% |
|
|
52.2 |
% |
|
|
48.0 |
% |
|
|
45.8 |
% |
|
|
44.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other Statutory Data (dollars in millions)(1):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct insurance in force
|
|
$ |
36,827.0 |
|
|
$ |
31,747.8 |
|
|
$ |
25,379.1 |
|
|
$ |
21,726.0 |
|
|
$ |
15,123.5 |
|
|
Direct risk in force (gross)
|
|
$ |
7,627.0 |
|
|
$ |
7,024.0 |
|
|
$ |
5,790.9 |
|
|
$ |
4,581.5 |
|
|
$ |
3,760.0 |
|
|
Risk-to-capital
|
|
|
14.0:1 |
|
|
|
15.3:1 |
|
|
|
15.5:1 |
|
|
|
15.0:1 |
|
|
|
14.8:1 |
|
|
|
(1) |
Based on statutory accounting practices and derived from
consolidated statutory financial statements of Triad. |
25
|
|
Item 7. |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial
Condition and Results of Operations. |
Managements Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition
and Results of Operations analyzes the consolidated financial
condition, changes in financial position, and results of
operations for the three years ended December 31, 2004, of
Triad Guaranty Inc. and its consolidated subsidiaries,
collectively the Company. The discussion should be read in
conjunction with the Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes.
Certain of the statements contained herein, other than
statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements.
These statements are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions
of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and
include estimates and assumptions related to economic,
competitive, and legislative developments. These forward-looking
statements are subject to change and uncertainty, which are, in
many instances, beyond our control and have been made based upon
our expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and
their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their
results could differ materially from those expected by us,
depending on the outcome of certain factors, including the
possibility of general economic and business conditions that are
different than anticipated, legislative developments, changes in
interest rates or the stock markets, stronger than anticipated
competitive activity, and the factors described in the
forward-looking statements.
Critical Accounting Estimates
The preparation of financial statements, in conformity with
accounting principles generally accepted in the United States,
requires management to make estimates and assumptions that
affect the reported amounts of assets, liabilities, disclosure
of contingent assets and liabilities at the date of the
financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and
expenses during the reporting period. The ultimate outcome could
differ from those estimates and assumptions utilized in the
preparation of the financial statements.
We have identified the following as critical accounting
estimates in that they involve a higher degree of judgment and
are subject to a significant degree of variability: reserves for
losses and loss adjustment expenses, the timely identification
of potentially impaired securities and valuation of those
securities, and deferred policy acquisition costs. In developing
these estimates, we make subjective and complex judgments that
are inherently uncertain and subject to material change as facts
and circumstances develop. Although variability is inherent in
these estimates, we believe the amounts provided are appropriate
based on the facts available upon compilation of the financial
statements.
|
|
|
Reserves for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses |
We calculate our best estimate of reserves to provide for the
estimated costs of settling claims on loans reported in default
and loans in default that are in the process of being reported
to us. Our reserving process incorporates various components in
a formula that gives effect to current economic conditions and
profiles delinquencies by such factors as policy year,
geography, chronic late payment characteristics, the number of
months the policy has been in default, as well as whether the
defaults were underwritten as flow business or as part of a
structured bulk transaction. The process is based upon the
assumption that long-term historical experience, taking into
consideration the above factors and adjusted for current
economic events that we believe will significantly impact the
long-term loss development, provides a reasonable basis for
estimating projected claim rates (frequency) and claim
amounts (severity). We consider severity and frequency to be the
most significant assumptions in the establishment of our loss
reserves. Estimation of loss reserves is a difficult and inexact
process and there are inherent risks and uncertainties involved
in making these assumptions. Economic conditions that have
affected the development of loss reserves in the past may not
necessarily affect development patterns in the future in either
a similar manner or degree. Due to the inherent uncertainty in
estimating reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses,
there can be no assurance that reserves will be adequate to
cover ultimate loss developments on loans in default, currently
or in the future. The Companys profitability and financial
condition could be adversely affected to the extent that the
Companys estimated reserves are insufficient to cover
losses on loans in default.
Because the estimate for loss reserves is sensitive to the
estimates of claims frequency and severity, we perform analyses
to test the reasonableness of the best estimate generated by the
loss reserve process. The loss
26
reserve estimation process and the analyses support the
reasonableness of the best estimate of loss reserves recorded in
our financial statements. See the Financial Position section
below for a more detailed discussion of the reserves for losses
and loss adjustment expenses.
Valuing our investment portfolio involves a variety of
assumptions and estimates, particularly for investments that are
not actively traded. We rely on external pricing sources for
highly liquid, publicly traded securities and use an internal
pricing matrix for privately placed securities. This matrix
relies on our judgment concerning a) the discount rate we
use in calculating expected future cash flows, b) credit
quality and c) expected maturity.
We regularly monitor our investment portfolio to ensure that
investments that may be other-than-temporarily impaired are
identified in a timely fashion, properly valued, and any
other-than-temporary impairments are charged against earnings in
the proper period. Our methodology to identify potential
impairments is further described in the Investments section
below.
The timely identification and valuation of potentially impaired
securities involves many judgments. Inherently, there are risks
and uncertainties involved in making these judgments. Changes in
circumstances and critical assumptions such as unforeseen events
which affect our investments in one or more companies, political
subdivisions, or industries could result in additional
write-downs in future periods for impairments that are deemed to
be other-than-temporary. See further discussion of the valuation
of our investment portfolio under the Investment section below.
|
|
|
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs |
The costs of acquiring new business, principally commissions and
certain policy underwriting and issue costs which vary with and
are primarily related to the production of new business, are
capitalized as deferred policy acquisition costs (DAC).
Amortization of such policy acquisition costs is charged to
expense in proportion to premium recognized over the estimated
policy life. We make judgments in the identification of
deferrable acquisition costs and the determination of estimated
policy life utilized in the amortization assumptions. See
further discussion of DAC under the Financial Position section
below.
Overview
Through our subsidiaries, we provide mortgage guaranty insurance
coverage to residential mortgage lenders and investors as a
credit-enhancement vehicle, typically when individual borrowers
have less than 20% equity in the property. Business originated
by lenders and submitted to us on a loan-by-loan basis is
referred to as flow business. Mortgage guaranty insurance
facilitates the sale of individual low down payment loans in the
secondary market and provides protection to lenders who choose
to keep the loans in their own portfolios. Additionally, we
provide mortgage insurance to lenders and investors who seek
additional default protection, capital relief, and
credit-enhancement on groups of loans that are sold in the
secondary market. This business is referred to as structured
bulk transactions.
Our revenues principally consist of a) initial and renewal
earned premiums from flow business (net of reinsurance premiums
ceded as part of our risk management strategies),
b) initial and renewal earned premiums from structured bulk
transactions, and c) investment income on invested assets.
We also realize investment gains, net of investment losses,
periodically as a source of revenue when the opportunity
presents itself within the context of our overall investment
strategy.
Our expenses essentially consist of a) amounts ultimately
paid on claims submitted, b) increases in reserves for
estimated future claim payments, c) general and
administrative costs of acquiring new business and servicing
existing policies, d) other general business expenses, and
e) income taxes.
Our profitability depends largely on a) the adequacy of our
product pricing and underwriting discipline relative to the
risks insured, b) persistency levels, c) operating
efficiencies, and d) the level of investment yield,
including realized gains and losses, on our investment
portfolio. We define persistency as the percentage
27
of insurance in force remaining from twelve months prior.
Cancellations of policies originated during the past twelve
months are not considered in our calculation of persistency.
This method of calculating persistency may vary from that of
other mortgage insurers. We believe that our calculation
presents an accurate measure of the percentage of insurance in
force remaining from twelve months prior. Cancellations result
primarily from the borrower refinancing or selling mortgaged
residential properties and, to a lesser degree, from the
borrower achieving prescribed equity levels at which the lender
no longer requires mortgage guaranty insurance.
Consolidated Results of Operations
Following is a summary of our results for the last three years
(in thousands except per share information):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Favorable/(Unfavorable) | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
% | |
|
% | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change 2004 | |
|
Change 2003 | |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
vs 2003 | |
|
vs 2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Earned premiums
|
|
$ |
140,992 |
|
|
$ |
119,732 |
|
|
$ |
105,067 |
|
|
|
17.8 |
% |
|
|
14.0 |
% |
Net investment income
|
|
|
19,754 |
|
|
|
17,082 |
|
|
|
16,099 |
|
|
|
15.6 |
|
|
|
6.1 |
|
Net realized investment gains (losses)
|
|
|
504 |
|
|
|
3,029 |
|
|
|
(2,519 |
) |
|
|
(83.4 |
) |
|
|
220.2 |
|
Other income
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
72 |
|
|
|
(33.3 |
) |
|
|
(66.7 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total revenues
|
|
|
161,266 |
|
|
|
139,867 |
|
|
|
118,719 |
|
|
|
15.3 |
|
|
|
17.8 |
|
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
35,864 |
|
|
|
23,833 |
|
|
|
14,063 |
|
|
|
(50.5 |
) |
|
|
(69.5 |
) |
Interest expense on debt
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,771 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
|
|
|
14,256 |
|
|
|
18,112 |
|
|
|
13,742 |
|
|
|
21.3 |
|
|
|
(31.8 |
) |
Other operating expenses (net of acquisition costs deferred)
|
|
|
26,483 |
|
|
|
22,776 |
|
|
|
22,900 |
|
|
|
(16.3 |
) |
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income taxes
|
|
|
81,891 |
|
|
|
72,374 |
|
|
|
65,243 |
|
|
|
13.1 |
|
|
|
10.9 |
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
23,474 |
|
|
|
21,283 |
|
|
|
20,140 |
|
|
|
(10.3 |
) |
|
|
(5.7 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
|
|
14.3 |
% |
|
|
13.3 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted earnings per share
|
|
$ |
3.98 |
|
|
$ |
3.52 |
|
|
$ |
3.15 |
|
|
|
13.1 |
% |
|
|
11.7 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
A primary driver of our results is persistency, due to its
impact on both renewal earned premiums and the amortization of
DAC. Increased persistency means that more of our business is
being retained and renewal earned premiums increase as a result.
Further, amortization of DAC is based on assumed persistency
levels. When actual persistency levels are lower than that
assumed in our DAC models, we accelerate the amortization of DAC
expense. Annual persistency levels increased throughout 2004 as
refinanced activity slowed from levels experienced in 2003,
which reduced DAC amortization expense in the current year from
that of 2003.
Two other important drivers of our results have been an increase
in bulk production and the development of losses and loss
adjustment expenses. We describe our results in greater detail
in the discussions that follow. The information is presented in
three categories in each of the year-to-year comparisons that
follow: Production and In Force, Revenues, and Losses and
Expenses.
2004 Compared to 2003
Net income for 2004 increased 14.3% over 2003 driven by a 17.8%
increase in earned premiums and a 21.3% decline in DAC
amortization. Net loss and loss adjustment expense increased
50.5%, partially offsetting these favorable impacts. Net income
per share on a diluted basis increased 13.1% over 2003. Net
realized
28
investment gains, after taxes, contributed income of
$0.02 per share on a diluted basis in 2004 compared to
$0.13 per share for 2003. Diluted realized gains and losses
per share is a non-GAAP measure. We believe this is relevant and
useful information to investors because, except for write-downs
on other-than-temporarily impaired securities, it shows the
effect that our discretionary sales of investments had on
earnings.
Total insurance written in 2004 was $17.2 billion compared
to $20.5 billion in 2003, a decrease of 16.1%. Total
insurance written includes insurance written from flow
production and structured bulk transactions.
Flow insurance written for 2004 decreased 36.7% to
$10.5 billion from $16.6 billion in 2003. We
experienced record levels of production in 2003 due to the lower
interest rate environment in that year that contributed to a
very strong refinance market. Refinances comprised 29.9% of our
flow insurance written in 2004 compared to 51.5% in 2003. Loan
originations for the entire industry declined approximately 27%
in 2004, primarily due to this drop in refinancing activity. The
Mortgage Bankers Association anticipates an even smaller loan
origination market for 2005 compared to 2004. This is due in
part to the continued decline in refinancing activity, as
borrowers have previously locked in lower rates and terms than
are expected to be available in 2005. Further, the continued
expansion of alternative credit enhancements such as 80/10/10
structures (a combination of an 80% first mortgage loan, a 10%
second mortgage loan usually issued by the same lender, and a
10% down payment) continues to erode the mortgage insurance
industrys overall penetration into the mortgage
marketplace. We believe that the increasing use of these
alternative credit enhancements will moderate new flow business
in 2005. However, should interest rates rise, these types of
arrangements will become less attractive to borrowers.
Insurance written in 2004 attributable to structured bulk
transactions totaled $6.7 billion compared to
$3.9 billion in 2003 as we continued our strategic
commitment to that market. Insurance written attributed to
structured bulk transactions is likely to vary significantly
from period to period due to: a) the limited number of
transactions (but with larger size) occurring in this market,
b) the level of competition from other mortgage insurers,
c) the relative attractiveness in the marketplace of
mortgage insurance versus other forms of credit enhancement, and
d) the changing loan composition and underwriting criteria
of the market.
Although terms vary, the structured bulk market can be broadly
categorized into three different segments, or tiers, depending
on the risk characteristics of the loans comprising a
transaction. The loan characteristics of the three segments are
a) predominantly high credit quality, low loan to value
(LTV), fully underwritten loans that may have niche
characteristics such as non-conforming loan balances and risk
concentrations related to geography, transaction purpose, or
occupancy type; b) loans that generally have high credit
quality and low to moderate LTVs that have been underwritten
with reduced, streamlined, or no documentation; and
c) generally fully underwritten loans with credit impaired
borrowers (FICO credit score less than 575). In general, we
believe that structured bulk business originated in segments
b) and c) will report a higher default rate than our
flow business. However, we also believe that the lower LTVs
associated with the structured bulk business originated in
segments a) and b) will ultimately generate lower
claim rates as a proportion of the reported defaults and lower
levels of severity than flow business. We have entered into
structured bulk transactions primarily in the first two segments
mentioned above. At December 31, 2004, only approximately
1% of our insurance in force attributable to structured bulk
transactions is categorized in segment c) above.
The following table provides estimates of our national market
share of net new primary insurance written based on information
available from the industry association and other public sources:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended | |
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow business
|
|
|
4.8 |
% |
|
|
5.0 |
% |
Structured bulk transactions
|
|
|
11.3 |
% |
|
|
4.4 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
6.0 |
% |
|
|
4.9 |
% |
29
Our market share of flow business declined slightly in 2004 from
2003 due to the decline in production of a product driven
primarily by the refinance segment. The increase in our
structured bulk transactions market share shown above was the
result of the greater availability of transactions that met our
credit quality and pricing benchmarks on which we were able to
successfully bid.
Periodically we enter into structured bulk transactions
involving loans that have insurance effective dates within the
current reporting period but for which detailed loan information
regarding the insured loans is not provided by the issuer of the
transaction until later. When this situation occurs, we accrue
premiums that are due but not yet paid based upon the estimated
commitment amount of the transaction in the reporting period
with respect to each loans insurance effective date.
However, the policies are not reflected in our in force,
insurance written, or related industry data totals until the
loan level detail is reported to us. At December 31, 2004,
we had approximately $0.7 billion of structured
transactions with effective dates within the fourth quarter for
which loan level detail had not been received and, therefore,
are not included in our own data or industry totals. These
amounts will be reported as new production and insurance in
force totals in 2005 when the issuer of the transactions
provides loan level detail to us. We have properly included in
premium written and premium earned the respective estimated
amounts due and earned during 2004 related to this insurance.
Total direct insurance in force reached $36.8 billion at
December 31, 2004, compared to $31.7 billion at
December 31, 2003 as a result of continued production and
an improvement in persistency. The following table shows our
persistency rates for our flow and structured bulk business at
December 31, 2004 and 2003:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow
|
|
|
69.0 |
% |
|
|
52.3 |
% |
Structured bulk
|
|
|
61.0 |
% |
|
|
38.7 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
67.6 |
% |
|
|
50.7 |
% |
The increase in persistency rates over the 2003 levels was
primarily due to the decline in refinance activity described
above. If current interest rate levels persist or increase
further, we anticipate continuing, although slowing,
improvements in persistency in 2005. However, persistency will
be adversely affected if rates decline significantly from
current levels.
Our direct insurance in force grew 16.1% from December 31,
2003 to December 31, 2004, and the credit quality of our in
force portfolio has remained relatively consistent. As shown
below, the credit quality of our structured bulk business at
December 31, 2004 has improved over December 31, 2003
as we have focused our efforts on transactions consisting of
higher quality loans. FICO credit scores are one of the major
factors used in assessing credit risk. The following table
presents the FICO credit score distribution of our risk in force
for both flow and structured bulk business at December 31,
2004 and 2003.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Structured | |
|
|
Flow | |
|
Bulk | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Credit score less than 575
|
|
|
0.7 |
% |
|
|
0.8 |
% |
|
|
1.4 |
% |
|
|
4.1 |
% |
Credit score between 575 and 619
|
|
|
4.7 |
% |
|
|
4.6 |
% |
|
|
3.9 |
% |
|
|
8.5 |
% |
Credit score greater than 619
|
|
|
94.6 |
% |
|
|
94.6 |
% |
|
|
94.7 |
% |
|
|
87.4 |
% |
As the table shows, we insure some loans that have FICO credit
scores below 575. We believe that these loans have a higher
probability of loss than a loan with a FICO credit score of 575
or greater. We do not expect loans with FICO scores less than
575 to become a significant portion of our insurance in force.
Total direct premiums written were $176.7 million for 2004,
an increase of 14.7% compared to $154.0 million for 2003.
This increase was driven by a $31.3 million increase in
direct renewal premiums written, partially offset by a
$8.6 million decline in direct initial premiums. As
mentioned earlier, increased persistency was the primary factor
that caused the increase in renewal premiums in 2004. Lower
mortgage
30
originations for the industry caused by lower levels of
refinancings and the increased popularity of the alternative
credit enhancements described earlier caused the decline in
direct initial premiums.
Net premiums written increased 11.5% to $141.3 million in
2004 over $126.7 million in 2003. The difference between
direct premiums written and net premiums written is ceded
premium. Ceded premium is comprised of premiums written under
excess of loss reinsurance treaties with captive as well as
non-captive reinsurance companies. Driven by an increase in the
amount of premium subject to captive reinsurance arrangements,
ceded premiums written increased 29.5% to $35.4 million in
2004 from $27.3 million in 2003. The following table
provides further data on ceded premiums for the years ended
December 31, 2004 and 2003:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Premium cede rate (ceded premiums written as a percentage of
direct premiums written)
|
|
|
20.0 |
% |
|
|
17.7 |
% |
Captive reinsurance premium cede rate (ceded premiums written
under captive reinsurance arrangements as a percentage of direct
premiums written)
|
|
|
18.0 |
% |
|
|
15.4 |
% |
Average captive premium cede rate (ceded premiums written under
captive reinsurance arrangements as a percentage of direct
premiums written under captive reinsurance arrangements)
|
|
|
36.9 |
% |
|
|
35.2 |
% |
During 2004, 55.8% of flow insurance written and 33.9% of total
insurance written was subject to captive reinsurance
arrangements, compared to 46.1% of flow insurance written and
37.3% of total insurance written in 2003. The increase in the
percentage of flow insurance written subject to captive
reinsurance arrangements is primarily a result of decreased
production in our lender-paid mortgage insurance program that is
generally not subject to captive reinsurance arrangements.
Additionally, none of our insurance written in 2004 and 2003
attributable to structured bulk transactions was subject to
captive reinsurance arrangements.
At December 31, 2004, 56.6% of direct flow insurance in
force and 43.3% of total direct insurance in force was subject
to captive reinsurance arrangements, compared to 51.5% and 43.6%
of total insurance in force at December 31, 2003. None of
our insurance in force under structured bulk transactions is
subject to captive reinsurance arrangements.
We believe captive reinsurance arrangements are an effective
risk management tool as selected lenders share in the risk under
such arrangements. Additionally, captive reinsurance
arrangements are structured so that Triad receives capital
relief in certain risk-based capital models utilized by rating
agencies. We remain committed to the concept of captive
reinsurance arrangements, including deep ceded arrangements
where the net premium cede rate is greater than 25%, on a
lender-by-lender basis as we deem it to be prudent. We will
continue to be an active participant with our lender partners in
structures utilizing alternative attachment points, risk bands,
cede rates, and ceding commissions.
Earned premiums increased 17.8% to $141.0 million for 2004
from $119.7 million for 2003. The difference between net
written premiums and earned premiums is the change in the
unearned premium reserve. Our unearned premium liability
increased $0.3 million from December 31, 2003 to
December 31, 2004 compared to an increase of
$7.1 million from December 31, 2002 to
December 31, 2003. The growth in 2003 was the result of
growth in sales of products with premiums paid on an annual
basis during that year. Direct written premium from the annual
premium product represented 15.5% of direct premium written in
both 2004 and 2003.
As mentioned earlier, assuming interest rates do not decline, we
anticipate our persistency will continue to improve. This
improvement should have a positive effect on renewal earned
premiums and total earned premiums in 2005.
Net investment income for 2004 grew 15.6% over 2003 primarily
due to the growth in average invested assets, partially offset
by a decline in portfolio yields. Average invested assets at
cost or amortized cost grew by 17.7% in 2004 over 2003 as a
result of the investment of cash flows from operations
throughout the year. Our
31
investment portfolio tax-equivalent yield declined to 6.99% at
December 31, 2004 from 7.13% at December 31, 2003.
Net realized investment gains/(losses), except for write-downs
on other-than-temporarily impaired securities, are the result of
our discretionary dispositions of investment securities in the
context of our overall portfolio management strategies and are
likely to vary significantly from period to period. Write-downs
on other-than-temporarily securities were approximately
$0.5 million in 2004 compared to $0.8 million in 2003.
See further discussion of impairment write-downs in the Realized
Gains, Losses and Impairments section below.
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses (net of reinsurance
recoveries) increased 50.5% in 2004 over 2003. This increase was
due to the growth in the number of delinquencies and paid losses
and is reflective of our overall growth of insurance in force
and the seasoning of our in force business. Net paid losses,
excluding loss adjustment expenses, increased to
$28.3 million for 2004 from $17.5 million for 2003, an
increase of 61.7%. Average severity (direct paid losses divided
by number of claims paid) for all loans combined was
approximately $24,200 for 2004 compared to $24,100 for 2003.
However, the average severity on structured bulk loans was
$23,800 for 2004 compared to $21,100 for 2003. The following
table provides detail on direct paid losses for our flow
business and structured bulk business for the years ended
December 31, 2004 and 2003 (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Direct Losses Paid:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow business
|
|
$ |
23,533 |
|
|
$ |
15,496 |
|
|
Structured bulk business
|
|
|
4,802 |
|
|
|
2,045 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
28,335 |
|
|
$ |
17,541 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The increase in paid losses is consistent with our expectations
as a greater amount of our insurance in force reaches its
anticipated highest claim frequency years. Due to the growth of
our inforce business, we believe direct paid losses for both
flow and structured bulk business will continue to increase in
2005, although somewhat less than the 2004 growth rate.
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses also includes the change
in reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses. The
following table shows further detail about the Companys
loss reserves at December 31, 2004 and 2003 broken out by
flow business and structured bulk business (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves for reported defaults
|
|
$ |
26,031 |
|
|
$ |
20,247 |
|
|
Reserves for defaults incurred but not reported
|
|
|
3,418 |
|
|
|
2,960 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total flow
|
|
|
29,449 |
|
|
|
23,207 |
|
Structured bulk business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves for reported defaults
|
|
|
4,185 |
|
|
|
3,521 |
|
|
Reserves for defaults incurred but not reported
|
|
|
311 |
|
|
|
360 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total structured bulk transactions
|
|
|
4,496 |
|
|
|
3,881 |
|
Reserve for loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
97 |
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$ |
34,042 |
|
|
$ |
27,186 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In 2004 and 2003, 81% and 60%, respectively, of our structured
bulk production was structured with deductibles that put us in
the second loss position, which we expect to moderate the loss
development in the bulk portfolio. Prior to the fourth quarter
of 2004, there was only a small amount of reported defaults on
the
32
structured bulk production that included deductibles. Beginning
in fourth quarter 2004 as the loss development pattern began to
emerge on these books with deductibles, we began taking these
deductibles into consideration when calculating our reserves and
did not establish reserves for those claims on which we were in
the second loss position.
The following table shows our loss ratios (the ratio of incurred
losses and loss adjustment expense to premiums earned) for our
flow business and our structured bulk business for the years
ended December 31, 2004 and 2003:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Loss Ratio:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow business
|
|
|
27.1 |
% |
|
|
18.9 |
% |
|
Structured bulk business
|
|
|
18.9 |
% |
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
19.9 |
% |
The increase in the loss ratio for the flow business shown above
is consistent with our expectations, again, as a greater amount
of our insurance in force reaches its anticipated highest claim
frequency years. For our structured bulk business, the
deductible structures put in place over the past two years have
caused the decline in the loss ratio.
As of December 31, 2004 and 2003, approximately 91% and 92%
of our insurance in force was originated in the previous
36 months. Based upon our experience and industry data, we
believe that claims incidence for flow business is generally
highest in the third through sixth years after loan origination.
We believe that the period of highest claims incidence for
structured bulk transactions is generally highest in the second
through fourth years after loan origination. Changes in the
economic environment could accelerate paid and incurred loss
development. Due to the inherent uncertainty of future premium
levels, losses, economic conditions, and other factors that
affect earnings, it is difficult to predict with any degree of
certainty the impact of such higher claim frequencies on future
earnings. The factors most significant to our loss development
will continue to be the level of new delinquent loans and their
subsequent cure performance. Because of the growth of our
inforce business, we believe the number of loans in default for
both flow and structured bulk business will increase, although
moderating from the 2004 growth level. The following table
indicates the growth of the number of loans in default at
December 31:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Loans in Default
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow business
|
|
|
3,739 |
|
|
|
3,053 |
|
|
Structured bulk business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
With deductibles
|
|
|
410 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
Without deductibles
|
|
|
1,296 |
|
|
|
1,172 |
|
|
Total structured bulk
|
|
|
1,706 |
|
|
|
1,189 |
|
|
Total
|
|
|
5,445 |
|
|
|
4,242 |
|
Amortization of DAC decreased by 21.3% in 2004 from 2003 and is
reflective of the increase in persistency experienced in 2004. A
full discussion of the impact of persistency on DAC amortization
is included in the Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs section
below.
The increase in other operating expenses in 2004 over 2003 of
16.3% is relatively consistent with our growth in the insurance
in force. Further, we experienced increased expenses in 2004
related to compliance with the Sarbanes-Oxley requirements and
other compliance oriented expenses that we do not expect to
repeat at the same level in 2005. We have made substantial
investments in technology that allow for growth in both our flow
and structured bulk business without proportional increases in
operating expenses. The expense ratio (ratio of the amortization
of deferred policy acquisition costs and other operating
expenses to net premiums written) for 2004 was 28.8% compared to
32.3% for 2003. The improvement in the expense ratio for 2004
was due primarily to the decrease in DAC amortization expense
mentioned above.
33
Our effective tax rate was 28.7% for 2004 and 29.4% for 2003.
The decrease in the effective tax rate is due primarily to an
increase in tax-exempt interest resulting from a higher
percentage of assets being invested in tax-preferred municipal
securities. We expect our effective tax rate to remain near
current levels or increase slightly as we expect earned premium
to grow faster than tax-preferred income.
2003 Compared to 2002
Net income for 2003 increased 13.3% over 2002 to
$51.1 million. Net income per share on a diluted basis
increased 11.9% to $3.52 for 2003 from $3.15 per share for
2002. This improvement in net income was driven by a 14.0%
increase in earned premiums and a 6.1% increase in net
investment income. Net income for 2003 included after-tax net
realized investment gains of $2.0 million, while net income
for 2002 included after tax net realized investment losses of
$1.6 million.
Total insurance written in 2003 was $20.5 billion compared
to $13.4 billion in 2002, an increase of 52.5%. Flow
insurance written for 2003 increased 36.0% to $16.6 billion
from $12.2 billion in 2002. This increase was primarily the
result of expanding relationships with national lenders, strong
demand for risk-sharing arrangements and other product
offerings, and a lower interest rate environment that
contributed to a very strong refinance market. Insurance written
in 2003 attributable to structured bulk transactions totaled
$3.9 billion compared to $1.2 billion in 2002. The
jump in structured bulk transactions written was driven by a
robust growth in the overall bulk marketplace in 2003 coupled
with our renewed strategic commitment to that market. As
described above, insurance written attributed to structured bulk
transactions is likely to vary significantly from period to
period.
The following table provides estimates of our national market
share of net new primary insurance written based on information
available from the industry association and other public sources:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended | |
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow business
|
|
|
5.0 |
% |
|
|
4.3 |
% |
Structured bulk transactions
|
|
|
4.4 |
% |
|
|
0.3 |
% |
Total
|
|
|
4.9 |
% |
|
|
3.7 |
% |
Total direct insurance in force reached $31.7 billion at
December 31, 2003, compared to $25.4 billion at
December 31, 2002. Significant refinance activity in 2003
and 2002 resulted in a high level of policy cancellations that
substantially offset the impact that the high level of insurance
written had on in force growth. As a result, insurance in force
increased by only $6.3 billion in 2003, even though
insurance written during 2003 was $20.5 billion. The
following table shows our persistency rates for our flow and
structured bulk business at December 31, 2003 and 2002:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow
|
|
|
52.3 |
% |
|
|
64.3 |
% |
Structured bulk
|
|
|
38.7 |
% |
|
|
44.9 |
% |
Total
|
|
|
50.7 |
% |
|
|
60.9 |
% |
Refinance activity was 52.1% of insurance written in 2003
compared to 40.1% in 2002. The high level of refinance activity
and the resulting decrease in persistency was reflective of the
low interest rate environment that was in place during 2003.
34
The following table presents the FICO credit score distribution
of our risk in force for both flow and structured bulk business
at December 31, 2003 and 2002.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Structured | |
|
|
Flow | |
|
Bulk | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Credit score less than 575
|
|
|
0.8 |
% |
|
|
0.7 |
% |
|
|
4.1 |
% |
|
|
3.2 |
% |
Credit score between 575 and 619
|
|
|
4.6 |
% |
|
|
4.4 |
% |
|
|
8.5 |
% |
|
|
10.0 |
% |
Credit score greater than 619
|
|
|
94.6 |
% |
|
|
94.9 |
% |
|
|
87.4 |
% |
|
|
86.8 |
% |
Total direct premiums written were $154.0 million for 2003,
an increase of 24.0% compared to $124.2 million for 2002.
Net premiums written increased by 19.7% to $126.7 million
in 2003 from $105.9 million for 2002. Contributing to the
increase in premiums written for 2003 were significant writings
under our annual premium payment plan. During 2003, 34% of total
insurance written was under the annual premium payment plan
compared to 18% of total insurance written during 2002.
Driven by an increase in the amount of premium subject to
captive reinsurance arrangements, ceded premiums written
increased 48.9% to $27.3 million in 2003 from
$18.3 million in 2002. The following table provides further
data on ceded premiums for the years ended December 31,
2003 and 2002:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Premium cede rate (ceded premiums written as a percentage of
direct premiums written)
|
|
|
17.7 |
% |
|
|
14.8 |
% |
Captive reinsurance premium cede rate (ceded premiums written
under captive reinsurance arrangements as a percentage of direct
premiums written)
|
|
|
15.4 |
% |
|
|
12.7 |
% |
Average captive premium cede rate (ceded premiums written under
captive reinsurance arrangements as a percentage of direct
premiums written under captive reinsurance arrangements)
|
|
|
35.2 |
% |
|
|
35.8 |
% |
During 2003, 46.1% of flow insurance written and 37% of total
insurance written was subject to captive reinsurance
arrangements compared to 51% of flow insurance written and 46%
of total insurance written in 2002. The decline in the
percentage of flow insurance written subject to captive
reinsurance arrangements from 2002 to 2003 was primarily a
result of increased production in our lender-paid mortgage
insurance program that was not subject to captive reinsurance
arrangements.
Approximately 54.2% of direct flow insurance in force (43.6% of
total insurance in force) was subject to captive reinsurance
arrangements at December 31, 2003, compared to 51.6% (45.7%
of total insurance in force) at December 31, 2002. This
increase was due primarily to the increased market penetration
of our captive reinsurance arrangements and the high level of
refinance activity in 2003, as policies that were previously not
subject to captive reinsurance arrangements refinanced and new
policies issued were subject to captive reinsurance arrangements.
Earned premiums increased 14.0% to $119.7 million for 2003
from $105.1 million for 2002. The difference between net
written premiums and earned premiums in 2003 was due to the
significant writings of our annual premium product and the
related increase in the unearned premium reserve. Our unearned
premium liability increased to $15.6 million at
December 31, 2003, from $8.5 million at
December 31, 2002. Direct written premium from the annual
premium product represented 15.5% of direct premium written in
2003 compared to 7.0% of direct premium written in 2002. The
growth in written and earned premiums resulted from strong
levels of new insurance written offset by the impact of a low
level of persistency and by the increase in ceded premiums.
Net investment income for 2003 was $17.1 million, a 6.1%
increase over $16.1 million in 2002. Average invested
assets at cost or amortized cost grew by $60 million to
$364 million for the year ended December 31, 2003, an
increase of 19.9% from $304 million for 2002. The increase
in average invested assets was attributable
35
to the investment of funds derived from cash flows from
operations in 2003. The percentage increase in net investment
income was much lower than the percentage increase in invested
assets primarily due to a decrease in investment yields.
We reported $3.0 million of net realized investment gains
during 2003 and $2.5 million of net realized investment
losses during 2002. Net realized gains during 2003 included
approximately $0.8 million of impairment writedowns. The
writedowns primarily involved securities in the automotive,
energy, and pharmaceutical sectors as well as a commercial
mortgage-backed security.
Net incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses (net of
reinsurance recoveries) increased by 69.5% in 2003 to
$23.8 million from $14.1 million in 2002. The increase
in losses and loss adjustment expenses was reflective of our
overall growth of insurance in force, relative growth of our
participation in the bulk market, and the seasoning of our in
force business. Net paid losses, excluding loss adjustment
expenses, increased to $17.5 million during 2003 from
$10.3 million during 2002, an increase of 70.3%. Average
severity was approximately $24,100 for 2003 compared to $21,400
for 2002. The following table provides detail on direct paid
losses from flow business and structured bulk business for the
years ended December 31, 2003 and 2002 (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct Losses Paid | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow business
|
|
$ |
15,496 |
|
|
$ |
10,229 |
|
Structured bulk business
|
|
|
2,045 |
|
|
|
74 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
17,541 |
|
|
$ |
10,303 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table showing further detail about the
Companys loss reserves at December 31, 2003 and 2002
broken out by flow business and structured bulk business (in
thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Flow business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves for reported defaults
|
|
$ |
20,247 |
|
|
$ |
17,362 |
|
|
Reserves for defaults incurred but not reported
|
|
|
2,960 |
|
|
|
2,602 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total flow
|
|
|
23,207 |
|
|
|
19,964 |
|
Structured bulk business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserves for reported defaults
|
|
|
3,521 |
|
|
|
970 |
|
|
Reserves for defaults incurred but not reported
|
|
|
360 |
|
|
|
327 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total structured bulk transactions
|
|
|
3,881 |
|
|
|
1,297 |
|
Reserve for loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
98 |
|
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total reserves for losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$ |
27,186 |
|
|
$ |
21,360 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The following table shows our loss ratios for our flow business
and our structured bulk business for the years ended
December 31, 2003 and 2002:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Loss Ratio:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Flow business
|
|
|
18.9 |
% |
|
|
13.9 |
% |
|
Structured bulk business
|
|
|
25.4 |
% |
|
|
9.8 |
% |
|
Total
|
|
|
19.9 |
% |
|
|
13.4 |
% |
36
The increases in the loss ratios shown above were consistent
with the growth of our overall insurance in force, relative
growth of our participation in the structured bulk market and
the seasoning of our in force business.
Amortization of DAC increased by 31.8% to $18.1 million in
2003 from $13.7 million for 2002. The increase reflects
growth in DAC related to the expansion of our insurance in force
and accelerated amortization due to higher cancellations from
refinance activity in 2003. Low persistency levels during 2003
and 2002 resulted in additional amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs through dynamic adjustments totaling
$5.5 million in 2003 and $2.6 million in 2002.
Other operating expenses decreased 0.5% to $22.8 million
for 2003 from $22.9 million for 2002. The expense ratio for
2003 was 32.3% compared to 34.6% for 2002. The expense ratio for
2003 improved because other operating expenses decreased and net
written premium increased, offset somewhat by the accelerated
amortization of DAC.
Our effective tax rate was 29.4% for 2003 and 30.9% for 2002.
The decrease in the effective tax rate was due primarily to an
increase in tax-exempt interest resulting from a higher
percentage of assets being invested in tax-preferred municipal
securities.
Significant Customers
Our objective is controlled, profitable growth in both the flow
and bulk arenas while adhering to our risk management
strategies. Our strategy is to continue our focus on national
lenders while maintaining the productive relationships that we
have built with regional lenders. Our ten largest customers were
responsible for 71%, 74%, and 73% of flow insurance written
during 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively. Our two largest
customers were responsible for 55%, 58%, and 53% of flow
insurance written during 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively. The
loss of one or more of these significant customers could have an
adverse effect on our business.
Financial Position
Total assets increased to $672 million at December 31,
2004, a 17% growth over the same date in 2003, primarily the
result of growth in invested assets. Total liabilities increased
to $235 million at December 31, 2004, from
$206 million in 2003, primarily driven by an increase in
deferred tax liabilities. This section identifies several items
on our balance sheet that are important in the overall
understanding of our financial position. These items include
deferred policy acquisition costs, prepaid federal income tax
and related deferred income taxes, and loss and loss adjustment
expense reserves. Our mortgage insurance operations and reserves
are primarily supported by our investment portfolio. The
majority of our assets are contained in the investment
portfolio. A separate Investments section follows the Financial
Position section and reviews our investment portfolio, key
portfolio management strategies, and methodologies by which we
manage credit risk.
|
|
|
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs |
Costs expended to acquire new business are capitalized as DAC
and recognized as expense over the anticipated premium paying
life of the policy. We employ a dynamic model that calculates
amortization of DAC separately for each book year of business.
The model relies on assumptions that we make based upon
historical industry experience and our own unique experience
regarding the annual persistency development of each book year.
Persistency is the most important assumption utilized in
determining the timing of reported amortization expense
reflected in the income statement and the carrying value of DAC
on the balance sheet. A change in the assumed persistency can
impact the current and future amortization expense as well as
the carrying value on the balance sheet. Our model accelerates
DAC amortization through a dynamic adjustment when actual
persistency for a book year is lower than the estimated
persistency originally utilized in the model. This dynamic
adjustment is capped at the levels assumed in the models, and we
do not decrease DAC amortization below the levels assumed in the
model when persistency increases above those levels. The dynamic
adjustment effectively adjusts the estimated policy life
originally utilized in the model to a revised policy life based
upon the current actual persistency.
37
In 2003 as the amount of structured bulk transactions grew, we
revised our DAC models to separate the costs capitalized and the
amortization streams between transactions arising from
structured bulk and the flow business. Generally, structured
bulk transactions have significantly less acquisition costs
associated with the production of the business and they also
have a shorter original estimated policy life. We apply the
dynamic adjustment utilizing the same methodology to the
separate structured bulk DAC models. At December 31, 2004
and 2003, net unamortized DAC relating to structured bulk
transactions amounted to 5.4% and 4.8% of the total DAC on the
balance sheet.
The following table shows the DAC asset for the previous three
years and the effect of persistency on amortization (dollar
amounts in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
DAC Asset | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Balance beginning of year
|
|
$ |
29,363 |
|
|
$ |
28,997 |
|
|
$ |
25,943 |
|
Costs capitalized
|
|
|
17,346 |
|
|
|
18,478 |
|
|
|
16,795 |
|
Amortization normal
|
|
|
(12,194 |
) |
|
|
(12,569 |
) |
|
|
(11,115 |
) |
Amortization dynamic adjustment
|
|
|
(2,062 |
) |
|
|
(5,543 |
) |
|
|
(2,626 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total amortization
|
|
|
(14,256 |
) |
|
|
(18,112 |
) |
|
|
(13,741 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance end of year
|
|
$ |
32,453 |
|
|
$ |
29,363 |
|
|
$ |
28,997 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Annual Persistency
|
|
|
67.6 |
% |
|
|
50.7 |
% |
|
|
60.9 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Low persistency levels during the past three years have caused
accelerated DAC amortization. If persistency continues to
improve in 2005, we would expect the accelerated DAC
amortization to continue to moderate, depending on the level of
improvement. Otherwise, we will continue to experience increased
DAC amortization through the dynamic adjustment. Differences in
persistency in the flow and structured bulk portfolios will not
have the same impact on their respective DAC amortization
because of the lower balance and the shorter estimated policy
life on structured bulk transactions. See further information on
the accounting for DAC in Note 1 in the Notes to
Consolidated Financial Statements.
|
|
|
Prepaid Federal Income Taxes and Deferred Income
Taxes |
We purchase ten-year non-interest bearing United States Mortgage
Guaranty Tax and Loss Bonds (Tax and Loss Bonds) in
lieu of paying current federal income taxes to take advantage of
a special contingency reserve deduction for mortgage guaranty
companies. We record these bonds on our balance sheet as prepaid
federal income taxes. Purchases of Tax and Loss Bonds are
essentially a prepayment of federal income taxes that will
become due in ten years when the contingency reserve is
released, and the Tax and Loss Bonds mature. Prepaid income
taxes were $119.1 million and $98.1 million at
December 31, 2004 and 2003. The change from year to year
approximates the change in deferred income tax liability for the
year.
Deferred income taxes are provided for the differences in
reporting taxable income in the financial statements and on the
tax return. These cumulative differences are enumerated in
Note 6 in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements.
The largest cumulative difference is the special contingency
reserve deduction for mortgage insurers mentioned above. The
remainder of the deferred tax liability has primarily arisen
from book and tax reporting differences related to deferred
policy acquisition costs and unrealized investment gains.
|
|
|
Reserve for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses |
We calculate our best estimate of reserves to provide for the
estimated costs of settling claims on loans reported in default
and loans in default that are in the process of being reported
to us, utilizing various factors that have been developed and
tested over time. With respect to loans reported in default,
loss and loss adjustment expense reserves are established when
notices of default are received. Consistent with industry
practices, we do not establish loss reserves for future claims
on insured loans that are not currently in default.
38
Our reserving methodology focuses on the determination of a loss
severity factor and a projected claim rate (frequency factor)
for each reported delinquent loan category at the valuation date.
We analyze various components in determining the loss severity
factor, including the baseline severity, policy year, geography
and salvage recoverable. In determining the frequency factor, we
focus our analysis on the policy year/policy age, the number of
previous reported defaults to identify chronic late payers, and
the number of months that the payment is past due. We utilize
historical long-term performance in our reserving methodology
and adjust our factors for current economic events when we
believe the events will significantly impact the long-term loss
development. For these reasons, there may be fluctuations in the
reserve factors utilized from year to year. Further, we analyze
individual defaults within structured bulk transactions to
determine whether the business was written with a deductible
that would put us in a second loss position. Until the projected
loss reserve for the aggregate defaults within a transaction
structured with a deductible exceed a pre-established threshold,
no reserves are established. Because the estimate for loss
reserves is sensitive to the estimates of claims frequency and
severity, we perform analyses to test the reasonableness of the
best estimate generated by the loss reserve process. Adjustments
to reserve estimates are reflected in the financial statements
in the periods in which the adjustments are made.
Our loss and loss adjustment expense reserves increased to
$34.0 million at December 31, 2004 from
$27.2 million at December 31, 2003. Note 4 in the
Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements contains a roll
forward of these amounts for the last three years showing the
incurred losses and the actual payments for the current and
prior years. During the fourth quarter of 2003, claim severity
had increased, particularly on paid claims related to structured
bulk transactions from the 2001 and 2002 book years. At that
time, we concluded that these extremely limited amount of actual
claim payments related to the 2001 and 2002 bulk book years did
not constitute a long-term trend and we did not adjust the
severity factors during 2003. During of the first half of 2004,
we continued to experience adverse severity trends on claims
paid, particularly on the 2001 and 2002 structured bulk book
years. Additionally, during the first half of 2004, we settled
some flow claims with extended delinquency periods at amounts
that exceeded our expectations based upon the factors in place
at the end of 2003.. As a result of these two factors reflecting
both prior structured bulk and flow books, we increased our
severity factors utilized in our reserve calculations in 2004.
This action also contributed to the recognized deficiency in
2004. A redundancy in reserves is shown for 2003 and 2002. These
redundancies resulted principally from settling case-basis
reserves on default notices occurring in prior years for amounts
less than expected. Over 81% of our insurance in force was
written within the last two years.
Experience indicates that years three through six have the
highest incidence of defaults. Because of this fact, we expect
loss reserves to continue to grow, reflecting the growth and
aging of our insurance in force. However, we anticipate the
increase in the loss reserves to be moderated somewhat as the
number of structured bulk transactions with deductibles
incorporated into the risk structure continues to increase.
Based upon the current and reasonable estimates of future
economic conditions, we expect cash flows from operations to be
sufficient to cover the anticipated increase in expected claim
payments.
39
The following table shows default statistics as of
December 31, 2004, and 2003.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Total business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of insured loans in force
|
|
|
266,574 |
|
|
|
236,234 |
|
|
Number of loans in default
|
|
|
5,445 |
|
|
|
4,242 |
|
|
Percentage of loans in default (default rate)
|
|
|
2.04 |
% |
|
|
1.80 |
% |
Flow business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of insured loans in force
|
|
|
212,596 |
|
|
|
205,033 |
|
|
Number of loans in default
|
|
|
3,739 |
|
|
|
3,053 |
|
|
Percentage of loans in default
|
|
|
1.76 |
% |
|
|
1.49 |
% |
Structured bulk business:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of insured loans in force
|
|
|
53,978 |
|
|
|
31,201 |
|
|
Number of loans in default
|
|
|
1,706 |
|
|
|
1,189 |
|
|
|
With deductibles
|
|
|
410 |
|
|
|
17 |
|
|
|
Without deductibles
|
|
|
1,296 |
|
|
|
1,172 |
|
|
Percentage of loans in default*
|
|
|
3.16 |
% |
|
|
3.81 |
% |
Alt-A business**:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Number of insured loans in force
|
|
|
62,944 |
|
|
|
35,328 |
|
|
Number of loans in default
|
|
|
1,920 |
|
|
|
1,335 |
|
|
Percentage of loans in default
|
|
|
3.05 |
% |
|
|
3.78 |
% |
|
|
* |
Calculated based on total number of loans in default |
|
** |
Alt-A is included in flow and structured bulk business amounts
above |
The number of loans in default reported above includes all
reported delinquencies that are in excess of two payments in
arrears at the reporting date and all reported delinquencies
that were previously in excess of two payments in arrears and
have not been brought current. The increase in the default rate
for flow business is attributable primarily to the maturing of
the flow portfolio for reasons consistent with the increase in
reserves explained above. The default occurrences for both flow
business and structured bulk business are consistent with
managements expectation.
Investment Portfolio
We manage our investment portfolio to meet or exceed regulatory
and rating agency requirements. We invest for the long term, and
most of our investments are held until they mature. Our
investment portfolio includes primarily fixed income securities,
and the majority of these are tax-preferred state and municipal
bonds. We have established a formal investment policy that
describes our overall quality and diversification objectives and
limits. Our investment policies and strategies are subject to
change depending upon regulatory, economic, and market
conditions as well as our existing financial condition and
operating requirements, including our tax position. While we
invest for the long term and most of our investments are held
until they mature, we classify our entire investment portfolio
as available for sale. This classification allows us the
flexibility to dispose of securities in order to meet our
investment strategies and operating requirements. All
investments are carried on our balance sheet at fair value.
40
The following schedule shows the growth and diversification of
our investment portfolio (dollars in thousands).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2004 | |
|
December 31, 2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Amount | |
|
Percent | |
|
Amount | |
|
Percent | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. government obligations
|
|
$ |
12,728 |
|
|
|
2.7 |
% |
|
$ |
15,623 |
|
|
|
3.8 |
% |
|
Mortgage-backed bonds
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
State and municipal bonds
|
|
|
415,250 |
|
|
|
86.4 |
|
|
|
330,228 |
|
|
|
79.9 |
|
|
Corporate bonds
|
|
|
26,063 |
|
|
|
5.4 |
|
|
|
29,147 |
|
|
|
7.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total fixed maturities
|
|
|
454,121 |
|
|
|
94.5 |
|
|
|
375,097 |
|
|
|
90.7 |
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
2.2 |
|
|
|
12,771 |
|
|
|
3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total available-for-sale securities
|
|
|
464,393 |
|
|
|
96.7 |
|
|
|
387,868 |
|
|
|
93.8 |
|
Short-term investments
|
|
|
16,095 |
|
|
|
3.3 |
|
|
|
25,659 |
|
|
|
6.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
480,488 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
$ |
413,527 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
We seek to provide liquidity in our investment portfolio through
cash equivalent investments and through diversification and
investment in publicly traded securities. We attempt to maintain
a level of liquidity and duration in our investment portfolio
consistent with our business outlook and the expected timing,
direction, and degree of changes in interest rates. See
Note 2 in Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements that
describes the scheduled maturity of our fixed maturity
investments. The duration to maturity of the fixed maturity
portfolio was 10.6 years at December 31, 2004 compared
to 11.2 years at December 31, 2003.
Another way that we manage risk and liquidity is to limit our
exposure on individual securities. The following table shows the
ten largest exposures to an individual creditor in our
investment portfolio as of December 31, 2004 (dollars in
thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Carrying | |
|
% of Total | |
Name of Creditor |
|
Value | |
|
Invested Assets | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Atlanta, Georgia Airport
|
|
$ |
6,948 |
|
|
|
1.50 |
% |
Federal National Mortgage Association
|
|
|
5,507 |
|
|
|
1.19 |
% |
Port of Seattle, Washington
|
|
|
5,158 |
|
|
|
1.11 |
% |
AAM/ZAZOVE Institutional Income Fund
|
|
|
5,029 |
|
|
|
1.08 |
% |
Denver, Colorado City and County Airport
|
|
|
4,285 |
|
|
|
0.92 |
% |
Cook County, Illinois
|
|
|
4,248 |
|
|
|
0.91 |
% |
Charlotte, North Carolina Airport
|
|
|
4,215 |
|
|
|
0.91 |
% |
State of Nevada Water Pollution Control
|
|
|
4,075 |
|
|
|
0.88 |
% |
University of Texas
|
|
|
4,047 |
|
|
|
0.87 |
% |
Chicago, Illinois OHare International Airport
|
|
|
3,949 |
|
|
|
0.85 |
% |
As shown above, no investment in the securities of any single
issuer exceeded 2% of our investment portfolio at
December 31, 2004.
41
The following table shows the results of our investment
portfolio for the last three years (dollars in thousands).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Average investments at cost or amortized cost
|
|
$ |
428,233 |
|
|
$ |
363,810 |
|
|
$ |
303,508 |
|
Pre-tax net investment income
|
|
$ |
19,754 |
|
|
$ |
17,082 |
|
|
$ |
16,099 |
|
Effective pre-tax yield
|
|
|
4.6 |
% |
|
|
4.7 |
% |
|
|
5.3 |
% |
Tax-equivalent yield-to-maturity
|
|
|
7.0 |
% |
|
|
7.1 |
% |
|
|
7.9 |
% |
Pre-tax realized investment gain (loss)
|
|
$ |
504 |
|
|
$ |
3,029 |
|
|
$ |
(2,519 |
) |
The drop in the effective pre-tax yield shown above reflects the
decrease in new money rates available for investment coupled
with our strategies to increase the overall credit quality of
the portfolio and increase our investment in state and municipal
bonds.
|
|
|
Unrealized Gains and Losses |
The following table summarizes by category our unrealized gains
and losses in our securities portfolio at December 31, 2004
(in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost or | |
|
Gross | |
|
Gross | |
|
|
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Fair | |
|
|
Cost | |
|
Gains | |
|
Losses | |
|
Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. government obligations
|
|
$ |
12,873 |
|
|
$ |
66 |
|
|
$ |
(211 |
) |
|
$ |
12,728 |
|
|
Mortgage-backed bonds
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
State and municipal bonds
|
|
|
399,329 |
|
|
|
16,157 |
|
|
|
(236 |
) |
|
|
415,250 |
|
|
Corporate bonds
|
|
|
23,157 |
|
|
|
2,906 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
26,063 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subtotal, fixed maturities
|
|
|
435,432 |
|
|
|
19,136 |
|
|
|
(447 |
) |
|
|
454,121 |
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
8,626 |
|
|
|
1,779 |
|
|
|
(133 |
) |
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total securities
|
|
$ |
444,058 |
|
|
$ |
20,915 |
|
|
$ |
(580 |
) |
|
$ |
464,393 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
These unrealized gains and losses do not necessarily represent
future gains or losses that we will realize. Changing conditions
related to specific securities, overall market interest rates,
or credit spreads, as well as our decisions concerning the
timing of a sale, may impact values we ultimately realize. We
monitor unrealized losses through further analysis according to
maturity date, credit quality, individual creditor exposure and
the length of time the individual security has continuously been
in an unrealized loss position. Of the gross unrealized losses
on fixed maturity securities shown above, approximately $327,000
related to bonds with a maturity date in excess of ten years.
The largest individual unrealized loss on any one security at
December 31, 2004 was approximately $105,000 on a bond with
an amortized cost of $2.0 million. Gross unrealized gains
and losses at December 31, 2003 were $18.0 million and
$(0.8) million, respectively.
Credit risk is inherent in an investment portfolio. We manage
this risk through a structured approach to internal investment
quality guidelines and diversification while assessing the
effects of the changing economic
42
landscape. One way we attempt to limit the inherent credit risk
in the portfolio is to maintain investments with high ratings.
The following table shows our investment portfolio by credit
ratings (dollars in thousands).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31, 2004 | |
|
December 31, 2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Amount | |
|
Percent | |
|
Amount | |
|
Percent | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed Maturities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. treasury and agency bonds
|
|
$ |
12,808 |
|
|
|
2.8 |
% |
|
$ |
15,722 |
|
|
|
4.2 |
% |
|
AAA
|
|
|
337,958 |
|
|
|
74.4 |
|
|
|
256,291 |
|
|
|
68.3 |
|
|
AA
|
|
|
53,285 |
|
|
|
11.7 |
|
|
|
50,428 |
|
|
|
13.4 |
|
|
A
|
|
|
33,530 |
|
|
|
7.4 |
|
|
|
35,937 |
|
|
|
9.6 |
|
|
BBB
|
|
|
12,680 |
|
|
|
2.8 |
|
|
|
10,347 |
|
|
|
2.8 |
|
|
BB
|
|
|
254 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
2,204 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
B
|
|
|
205 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
1,669 |
|
|
|
0.4 |
|
|
CCC and lower
|
|
|
215 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
525 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
Not rated
|
|
|
3,186 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
1,974 |
|
|
|
0.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total fixed maturities
|
|
$ |
454,121 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
$ |
375,097 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
AAA
|
|
$ |
0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
$ |
0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
AA
|
|
|
2,242 |
|
|
|
21.8 |
|
|
|
3,279 |
|
|
|
25.7 |
|
|
A
|
|
|
5,429 |
|
|
|
52.9 |
|
|
|
4,640 |
|
|
|
36.3 |
|
|
BBB
|
|
|
514 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
|
523 |
|
|
|
4.1 |
|
|
BB
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
B
|
|
|
1,760 |
|
|
|
17.1 |
|
|
|
2,427 |
|
|
|
19.0 |
|
|
C
|
|
|
0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
153 |
|
|
|
1.2 |
|
|
Not rated
|
|
|
327 |
|
|
|
3.2 |
|
|
|
1,749 |
|
|
|
13.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total equities
|
|
$ |
10,272 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
$ |
12,771 |
|
|
|
100.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Further, we regularly review our investment portfolio to
identify securities that may have suffered impairments in value
that will not be recovered, termed potentially distressed
securities. In identifying potentially distressed securities, we
first screen for all securities that have a fair value to cost
or amortized cost ratio of less than 80%. Additionally, as part
of this identification process, we utilize the following
information:
|
|
|
|
|
Length of time the fair value was below amortized cost |
|
|
|
Industry factors or conditions related to a geographic area
negatively affecting the security |
|
|
|
Downgrades by a rating agency |
|
|
|
Past due interest or principal payments or other violation of
covenants |
|
|
|
Deterioration of the overall financial condition of the specific
issuer |
In analyzing our potentially distressed securities list for
other-than-temporary impairments, we pay special attention to
securities that have been on the list for a period greater than
six months. Our ability and intent to retain the investment for
a sufficient time to recover its value is also considered. We
assume that, absent reliable contradictory evidence, a security
that is potentially distressed for a continuous period greater
than nine months has incurred an other-than-temporary
impairment. Such reliable contradictory evidence might include,
among other factors, a liquidation analysis performed by our
investment advisors or outside consultants, improving financial
performance of the issuer, or valuation of underlying assets
specifically pledged to support the credit.
43
When we conclude that a decline is other than temporary, the
security is written down to fair value through a charge to
realized investment gains and losses. We adjust the amortized
cost for securities that have experienced other-than-temporary
impairments to reflect fair value at the time of the impairment.
We consider factors that lead to an other-than-temporary
impairment of a particular security in order to determine
whether these conditions have impacted other similar securities.
Of the approximate $580,000 of gross unrealized losses at
December 31, 2004, no securities had a fair value to cost
or amortized cost ratio of less than 80% and none were included
in our potentially distressed securities list mentioned above.
Information about unrealized gains and losses is subject to
changing conditions. Securities with unrealized gains and losses
will fluctuate, as will those securities that we identify as
potentially distressed. Our current evaluation of
other-than-temporary impairments reflects our intent to hold
certain securities for a reasonable period of time sufficient
for a forecasted recovery of fair value. However, we may
subsequently decide to sell certain of these securities in
future periods as a result of facts and circumstances impacting
a specific security. If we make the decision to dispose of a
security with an unrealized loss, we will write down the
security to its fair value if we have not sold it by the end of
the reporting period.
|
|
|
Realized Losses and Impairments |
Realized losses include both write-downs of securities with
other-than-temporary impairments and losses from the sales of
securities. During 2004, we wrote down six securities by a total
of approximately $480,000. Further details on the significant
write-downs in 2004 are as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
Approximately $192,000 was a write-down on preferred stock in an
international airline for which the value had fluctuated below
80% of amortized cost for over a year. The write-down resulted
from our assessment that the security was other-than-temporarily
impaired because of a reduction in credit quality by rating
agencies. We later sold this security in 2004 and realized a
small gain. The circumstances surrounding this impairment did
not impact other securities in our portfolio. |
|
|
|
Approximately $176,000 was a write-down on common stock of a
pharmaceutical company for which the value had fluctuated below
80% of amortized cost after the company had to cease sales of
one of its major products due to alleged health risks. Rating
agencies then reduced the credit ratings for this company. We
sold this security in the fourth quarter following the
write-down at an amount that approximated its carrying value
after the write-down. The circumstances surrounding this
impairment did not impact other securities in our portfolio. |
During 2003, we wrote down five securities by a total of
approximately $779,000. Further details on the significant
write-downs in 2003 are as follows:
|
|
|
|
|
Approximately $216,000 was a write-down on common stock of an
automobile manufacturer for which the value had fluctuated below
85% of amortized cost for more than six months. Our assessment
deemed that the security would not significantly recover in
value over our anticipated holding period. This security was
later sold at an amount that approximated its carrying value
after the write-down. The circumstances surrounding this
impairment did not impact other securities in our portfolio. |
|
|
|
Approximately $173,000 was a write-down on common stock of an
energy provider for which the value had fluctuated below 85% of
amortized cost for more than six months. Our assessment deemed
that the security would not significantly recover in value over
our anticipated holding period. The circumstances surrounding
this impairment did not impact other securities in our portfolio. |
|
|
|
Approximately $175,000 was a write-down on a bond issue
collateralized by high-yield securities that continued to
experience excessive defaults on its underlying securities. The
circumstances surrounding this impairment did not impact other
securities in our portfolio. |
|
|
|
Approximately $165,000 was a write-down on common stock of a
pharmaceutical company for which patents on various products
were expiring. The market value of the equity had fluctuated
below 55% of its cost. We subsequently sold these securities at
an amount that approximated its carrying value after |
44
|
|
|
|
|
the write-down. The circumstances surrounding this impairment
did not impact other securities in our portfolio. |
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Our sources of operating funds consist primarily of premiums
written and investment income. Operating cash flow is applied
primarily to the payment of claims, interest, expenses, and
prepaid federal income taxes in the form of Tax and Loss Bonds.
We generated positive cash flow from operating activities of
$68.9 million in 2004 compared to $59.3 million for
2003 and $47.0 million for 2002. The increase in cash flow
from operating activities in 2004 reflects the growth in
premiums and investment income partially offset by an increase
in losses and other operating expenses paid. Our business does
not routinely require significant capital expenditures other
than for enhancements to our computer systems and technological
capabilities. Positive cash flows are invested pending future
payments of claims and expenses. Cash flow shortfalls, if any,
could be funded through sales of short-term investments and
other investment portfolio securities. We have no existing lines
of credit due to the sufficiency of the operating funds from the
sources described above.
The insurance laws of the State of Illinois impose certain
restrictions on dividends that an insurance subsidiary can pay
the parent company. These restrictions, based on statutory
accounting practices, include requirements that dividends may be
paid only out of statutory earned surplus and that limit the
amount of dividends that may be paid without prior approval of
the Illinois Insurance Department. There have been no dividends
paid by the insurance subsidiaries to the parent company.
Further, there are no restrictions or requirements for capital
support arrangements between the parent company and Triad or its
subsidiaries.
We cede business to captive reinsurance subsidiaries of certain
mortgage lenders (captives), primarily under excess
of loss reinsurance agreements. Generally, reinsurance
recoverables on loss reserves and unearned premiums ceded to
these captives are backed by trust funds or letters of credit.
Total stockholders equity increased to $437.3 million
at December 31, 2004, from $369.9 million at
December 31, 2003. This increase resulted primarily from
2004 net income of $58.4 million and additional
paid-in-capital of $5.7 million resulting from the exercise
of employee stock options and the related tax benefit.
Total statutory policyholders surplus for our insurance
subsidiaries increased to $135.7 million at
December 31, 2004, from $128.2 million at
December 31, 2003. The primary difference between statutory
policyholders surplus and equity computed under generally
accepted accounting principles is the statutory contingency
reserve. The balance in the statutory contingency reserve was
$369.4 million at December 31, 2004, compared to
$302.7 million at December 31, 2003. Statutory
capital, for the purpose of computing the net risk in force to
statutory capital ratio, includes both policyholders
surplus and the contingency reserve. Statutory capital amounted
to $505.1 million at December 31, 2004, compared to
$430.9 million at December 31, 2003.
Triads ability to write insurance depends on the
maintenance of its financial strength ratings and the adequacy
of its capital in relation to risk in force. A significant
reduction of capital or a significant increase in risk may
impair Triads ability to write additional insurance. A
number of states also generally limit Triads
risk-to-capital ratio to 25-to-1. As of December 31, 2004,
Triads risk-to-capital ratio was 14.0-to-1 as compared to
15.3-to-1 at December 31, 2003. The risk-to-capital ratio
is calculated using net risk in force, which takes into account
risk ceded under reinsurance arrangements, including captive
risk-sharing arrangements as well as any applicable stop-loss
limits, as the numerator, and statutory capital as the
denominator.
Triad is rated AA by both Standard &
Poors Ratings Services and Fitch Ratings and
Aa3 by Moodys Investors Service. S&P has
not changed its Negative rating outlook for the
U.S. private mortgage insurance industry that was issued in
July of 2003. In December 2004, Fitch maintained its
Negative rating outlook for the U.S. private
mortgage insurance industry. Currently, Fitch, S&P, and
Moodys all report a Stable ratings outlook for
Triad. A reduction in Triads rating or outlook could
adversely affect our operations.
45
Fannie Mae has revised its approval requirements for mortgage
insurers. The new rules require prior approval by Fannie Mae for
many of Triads activities and new products, allow for
other approved types of mortgage insurers rated less than
AA, and give Fannie Mae increased rights to revise
the eligibility standards of mortgage insurers. We do not see
any material impact on our current or future operations as a
result of the new rules, although a material impact could still
occur if Fannie Mae were to begin to utilize mortgage insurers
rated below AA or revise eligibility standards of
mortgage insurers in a way that would be adverse to Triad.
The Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight
(OFHEO) issued its risk-based capital rules for Fannie Mae
and Freddie Mac in the first quarter of 2002. The regulation
provides capital guidelines for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac in
connection with their use of various types of credit protection
counterparties including a more preferential capital credit for
insurance from a AAA rated private mortgage insurer
than for insurance from a AA rated private mortgage
insurer. The phase-in period for OFHEOs risk-based capital
rules is ten years. We do not believe the new risk-based capital
rules had an adverse impact on our financial condition through
2004 nor that these rules will have a significant adverse impact
on our financial condition in the future. However, if the
risk-based capital rules result in future changes to the
preferences of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac regarding their use of
the various types of credit enhancements or their choice of
mortgage insurers based on their credit rating, our financial
condition could be significantly harmed.
Off Balance Sheet Arrangements and Aggregate Contractual
Obligations
We lease office facilities, automobiles, and office equipment
under operating leases with minimum lease commitments that range
from one to ten years. We have no capitalized leases or material
purchase commitments.
Our long-term debt has a single maturity date of 2028. The
following schedule represents our aggregate contractual
obligations as of December 31, 2004 (in thousands).
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Payments Due By Period | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than | |
|
1 3 | |
|
3 5 | |
|
More Than | |
Contractual Obligations |
|
Total | |
|
1 Year | |
|
Years | |
|
Years | |
|
5 Years | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Long-term debt
|
|
$ |
35,000 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
35,000 |
|
Operating leases
|
|
|
10,618 |
|
|
|
2,015 |
|
|
|
2,924 |
|
|
|
2,265 |
|
|
|
3,414 |
|
Other long-term liabilities reflected on the Registrants
balance sheet under GAAP
|
|
|
34,042 |
|
|
|
23,829 |
|
|
|
10,213 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
79,660 |
|
|
$ |
25,844 |
|
|
$ |
13,137 |
|
|
$ |
2,265 |
|
|
$ |
38,414 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The other long-term liabilities reflected on the
Registrants balance sheet under GAAP category above is
comprised of our reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Market Risk Exposure
Fixed maturity securities represented approximately 95% of our
invested assets at December 31, 2004. While the fair value
of these fixed rate securities generally bears an inverse
relationship to changes in prevailing market interest rates, a
change in market interest rates would not immediately impact
earnings because we generally hold these securities until
maturity. However, a decrease in market interest rates generally
will have the effect of initiating an early call provision of
those securities possessing such provisions. The proceeds
relating to the early called securities in a decreasing interest
rate environment generally are invested in lower yielding
investments that would ultimately decrease earnings. Our
long-term debt matures in 2028 with no early call or put
provisions and bears interest at a fixed rate of 7.9% per
annum. The fair value of this debt is sensitive to changes in
prevailing interest rates; however, a change in rates would not
impact earnings. We believe that a 20% increase or decrease in
market interest rates is reasonable for the upcoming year. A 20%
relative increase or decrease in market interest rates that
affect our financial instruments would not have a material
impact on earnings during the next fiscal year.
46
Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation
Reform Act of 1995
Managements Discussion and Analysis and this Report
contain forward-looking statements relating to future plans,
expectations, and performance, which involve various risks and
uncertainties, including, but not limited to, the following:
|
|
|
|
|
interest rates may increase or decrease from their current
levels; |
|
|
|
housing prices may increase or decrease from their current
levels; |
|
|
|
housing transactions requiring mortgage insurance may decrease
for many reasons including changes in interest rates or economic
conditions or alternative credit enhancement products; |
|
|
|
our market share may change as a result of changes in
underwriting criteria or competitive products or rates; |
|
|
|
the amount of insurance written could be adversely affected by
changes in federal housing legislation, including changes in the
Federal Housing Administration loan limits and coverage
requirements of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae (Government Sponsored
Enterprises); |
|
|
|
our financial condition and competitive position could be
affected by legislation or regulation impacting the mortgage
guaranty industry or the Government Sponsored Entities,
specifically, and the financial services industry in general; |
|
|
|
rating agencies may revise methodologies for determining our
financial strength ratings and may revise or withdraw the
assigned ratings at any time; |
|
|
|
decreases in persistency, which are affected by loan
refinancings in periods of low interest rates, may have an
adverse effect on earnings; |
|
|
|
the amount of insurance written and the growth in insurance in
force or risk in force as well as our performance may be
adversely impacted by the competitive environment in the private
mortgage insurance industry, including the type, structure, and
pricing of our products and services and our competitors; |
|
|
|
if we fail to properly underwrite mortgage loans under contract
underwriting service agreements, we may be required to assume
the costs of repurchasing those loans; |
|
|
|
with consolidation occurring among mortgage lenders and our
concentration of insurance in force generated through
relationships with significant lender customers, our margins may
be compressed and the loss of a significant customer may have an
adverse effect on our earnings; |
|
|
|
our performance may be impacted by changes in the performance of
the financial markets and general economic conditions; |
|
|
|
economic downturns in regions where our risk is more
concentrated could have a particularly adverse effect on our
financial condition and loss development; |
|
|
|
revisions in risk-based capital rules by the Office of Federal
Housing Enterprise Oversight for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac
could severely limit our ability to compete against various
types of credit protection counterparties, including
AAA rated private mortgage insurers; |
|
|
|
changes in the eligibility guidelines of Fannie Mae or Freddie
Mac could have an adverse effect on the Company; |
|
|
|
proposed regulation by the Department of Housing and Urban
Development to exclude packages of real estate settlement
services, which may include any required mortgage insurance
premium paid at closing, from the anti-referral provisions of
the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act could adversely affect
our earnings. |
47
Accordingly, actual results may differ from those set forth in
the forward-looking statements. Attention also is directed to
other risk factors set forth in documents filed by the Company
with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
|
|
Item 7(a). |
Qualitative and Quantitative Disclosures about Market
Risks. |
See information in this report under the heading Market
Risk Exposures in Managements Discussion and
Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
|
|
Item 8. |
Financial Statements and Supplementary Data. |
The Financial Statements and Supplementary Data are presented in
a separate section of this report.
|
|
Item 9. |
Changes in and Disagreements with Accountants on
Accounting and Financial Disclosure. |
None.
|
|
Item 9(a). |
Controls and Procedures. |
Conclusions Regarding the Effectiveness of Disclosure
Controls and Procedures
Triad Guaranty Inc. maintains disclosure controls and procedures
that are designed to ensure that information required to be
disclosed in its periodic reports to the Securities and Exchange
Commission (SEC) is recorded, processed, summarized and
reported within the time periods specified in the SECs
rules and forms, and that such information is accumulated and
communicated to Triad Guaranty Inc.s management, including
its Chief Executive Officer and acting Chief Financial Officer,
as appropriate, to allow timely decisions regarding required
disclosure based upon the definition of disclosure
controls and procedures as defined under
Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e) of the Securities Exchange
Act of 1934. In designing and evaluating the disclosure controls
and procedures, management recognized that any controls and
procedures, no matter how well designed and operated, can
provide only reasonable assurance of achieving the desired
control objectives, and management necessarily was required to
apply its judgment to the cost-benefit relationship of possible
controls and procedures.
As of December 31, 2004, an evaluation was performed under
the supervision and with the participation of management,
including the Chief Executive Officer and acting Chief Financial
Officer, of the effectiveness of the design and operation of the
Companys disclosure controls and procedures. Based upon
that evaluation, management has concluded that disclosure
controls and procedures as of December 31, 2004 were
effective in ensuring that material information required to be
disclosed in this Form 10-K was recorded, processed,
summarized, and reported on a timely basis. Additionally, there
were no changes in the Companys internal controls over
financial reporting that occurred during the quarter ended
December 31, 2004 that have materially affected, or are
reasonably likely to materially affect, the Companys
internal controls over financial reporting.
Changes in Internal Control over Financial Reporting
There have been no significant changes in Triad Guaranty
Inc.s internal control over financial reporting during the
quarter ended December 31, 2004 that would have materially
affected, or are reasonably likely to materially affect, the
Companys internal control over financial reporting in an
adverse manner. There were several remediation efforts that
improved the internal control over financial reporting that
occurred in the fourth quarter of 2004, specifically in the area
of documentation of management reviews of interim financial data.
Managements Annual Report on Internal Control over
Financial Reporting
Management of Triad Guaranty Inc. is responsible for
establishing and maintaining adequate internal control over
financial reporting as defined in Rules 13a-15(f) and
15d-15(f) under the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934. Triad
Guaranty Inc.s internal control over financial reporting
is a process designed to
48
provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of
financial reporting and the preparation of financial statements
for external purposes in accordance with accounting principles
generally accepted in the United States of America. Internal
control over financial reporting includes those policies and
procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance of records
that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly reflect the
transactions and dispositions of the assets of Triad Guaranty
Inc.; (2) provide reasonable assurance that the
transactions are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of
financial statements in accordance with accounting principles
generally accepted in the United States of America;
(3) provide reasonable assurance that receipts and
expenditures of Triad Guaranty Inc. are being made in accordance
with authorization of management and directors of Triad Guaranty
Inc; and (4) provide reasonable assurance regarding the
prevention of or timely detection of unauthorized acquisition,
use or disposition of assets that could have a material effect
on the consolidated financial statements. Internal control over
financial reporting includes the controls themselves, monitoring
(including internal auditing practices) and actions taken to
correct deficiencies as identified.
Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over
financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements.
Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future
periods are subject to the risk that controls may become
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree
of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
Management assessed the effectiveness of Triad Guaranty
Inc.s internal control over financial reporting as of
December 31, 2004. Management based this assessment on
criteria for effective internal control over financial reporting
described in Internal Control Integrated
Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring
Organizations of the Treadway Commission. Based upon this
assessment, management determined that, as of December 31,
2004, Triad Guaranty Inc. maintained effective internal control
over financial reporting.
Ernst & Young, LLP, Triad Guaranty Inc.s
independent registered public accounting firm that audits the
consolidated financial statements of Triad Guaranty Inc.
included in this report has audited managements assessment
of the effectiveness of internal control over financial
reporting as of December 31, 2004 as stated in their report
which appears below.
49
Report of Independent Registered Public Accounting Firm on
Internal Control Over Financial Reporting
The Board of Directors and Stockholders of Triad Guaranty Inc.
We have audited managements assessment, included in the
accompanying Managements Annual Report on Internal
Control over Financial Reporting, that Triad Guaranty Inc.
maintained effective internal control over financial reporting
as of December 31, 2004, based on criteria established in
Internal Control Integrated Framework issued by the
Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Treadway Commission
(the COSO criteria). Triad Guaranty Inc.s management is
responsible for maintaining effective internal control over
financial reporting and for its assessment of the effectiveness
of internal control over financial reporting. Our responsibility
is to express an opinion on managements assessment and an
opinion on the effectiveness of the companys internal
control over financial reporting based on our audit.
We conducted our audit in accordance with the standards of the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those
standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain
reasonable assurance about whether effective internal control
over financial reporting was maintained in all material
respects. Our audit included obtaining an understanding of
internal control over financial reporting, evaluating
managements assessment, testing and evaluating the design
and operating effectiveness of internal control, and performing
such other procedures as we considered necessary in the
circumstances. We believe that our audit provides a reasonable
basis for our opinion.
A companys internal control over financial reporting is a
process designed to provide reasonable assurance regarding the
reliability of financial reporting and the preparation of
financial statements for external purposes in accordance with
generally accepted accounting principles. A companys
internal control over financial reporting includes those
policies and procedures that (1) pertain to the maintenance
of records that, in reasonable detail, accurately and fairly
reflect the transactions and dispositions of the assets of the
company; (2) provide reasonable assurance that transactions
are recorded as necessary to permit preparation of financial
statements in accordance with generally accepted accounting
principles, and that receipts and expenditures of the company
are being made only in accordance with authorizations of
management and directors of the company; and (3) provide
reasonable assurance regarding prevention or timely detection of
unauthorized acquisition, use, or disposition of the
companys assets that could have a material effect on the
financial statements.
Because of its inherent limitations, internal control over
financial reporting may not prevent or detect misstatements.
Also, projections of any evaluation of effectiveness to future
periods are subject to the risk that controls may become
inadequate because of changes in conditions, or that the degree
of compliance with the policies or procedures may deteriorate.
In our opinion, managements assessment that Triad Guaranty
Inc. maintained effective internal control over financial
reporting as of December 31, 2004, is fairly stated, in all
material respects, based on the COSO criteria. Also, in our
opinion, Triad Guaranty Inc. maintained, in all material
respects, effective internal control over financial reporting as
of December 31, 2004, based on the COSO criteria.
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the
consolidated balance sheets of Triad Guaranty Inc. as of
December 31, 2004 and 2003, and the related consolidated
statements of income, stockholders equity, and cash flows
for each of the three years in the period ended
December 31, 2004 of Triad Guaranty Inc. and our report
dated March 10, 2005 expressed an unqualified opinion
thereon.
Greensboro, North Carolina
March 10, 2005
50
|
|
Item 9(b). |
Other Information. |
None.
PART III
|
|
Item 10. |
Directors and Executive Officers of the Registrant. |
Information regarding our directors and nominees for directors
is included in our Proxy Statement for the 2005 Annual Meeting
of Stockholders, and is hereby incorporated by reference.
For information regarding our executive officers, reference is
made to the section entitled Executive Officers in
Part I, Item 1 of this Report.
The Board of Directors has adopted a Code of Ethics for the
Companys principal executive and senior financial
officers. This Code supplements the Companys Code of
Conduct applicable to all employees and directors and is
intended to promote honest and ethical conduct, full and
accurate reporting, and compliance with laws as well as other
matters. Both of these documents can be found on the
Companys website at http://www.triadguaranty.com under the
Corporate Governance page.
|
|
Item 11. |
Executive Compensation. |
This information is included in our Proxy Statement for the 2005
Annual Meeting of Stockholders, and is hereby incorporated by
reference.
|
|
Item 12. |
Security Ownership of Certain Beneficial Owners and
Management. |
This information is included in our Proxy Statement for the 2005
Annual Meeting of Stockholders, and is hereby incorporated by
reference.
|
|
Item 13. |
Certain Relationships and Related Transactions. |
This information is included in our Proxy Statement for the 2005
Annual Meeting of Stockholders, and is hereby incorporated by
reference.
|
|
Item 14. |
Principal Accountant Fees and Services. |
This information is included in our Proxy Statement for the 2005
Annual Meeting of Stockholders, and is hereby incorporated by
reference.
PART IV
|
|
Item 15. |
Exhibits, Financial Statement Schedules, and Reports on
Form 8-K. |
(a) (1) and (2) The response to this portion of
Item 15 is submitted as a separate section of this report.
(a) (3) Listing of Exhibits The response
to this portion of Item 15 is submitted as a separate
section of this report.
(b) Reports on Form 8-K filed or furnished during the
fourth quarter of 2004 and through the date of this
Form 10-K filing.
October 29, 2004 Triad Guaranty Inc. issued a
news release announcing its financial results for the
three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2004.
December 14, 2004 Triad Guaranty Inc.
terminated its investment advisory agreement (formerly
Exhibit 10.4) and entered into a new consulting agreement
for advice and counsel during the transition to Conning Asset
Management Company.
December 23, 2004 Triad Guaranty Inc.
terminated its administrative services agreement (formerly
Exhibit 10.3) and entered into a new agreement for
administrative and support services.
January 27, 2005 Triad Guaranty Inc. issued a
news release announcing its financial results for the fourth
quarter and the fiscal year ended December 31, 2004.
(c) Exhibits The response to this portion of
Item 15 is submitted as a separate section of this report.
(d) Financial Statement Schedules The response
to this portion of Item 15 is submitted as a separate
section of this report.
51
SIGNATURES
Pursuant to the requirements of Section 13 or 15(d) of the
Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the Registrant has duly caused
this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned,
thereunto duly authorized on the 11th day of March 2005.
|
|
|
|
By |
/s/ Darryl W. Thompson |
|
|
|
|
|
Darryl W. Thompson |
|
President and Chief Executive Officer |
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of
1934, this report has been signed below on the 11th day of
March, 2005 by the following persons on behalf of the Registrant
in the capacities indicated.
|
|
|
|
|
Signature |
|
Title |
|
|
|
|
/s/ William T Ratliff, III
William
T Ratliff, III |
|
Chairman of the Board |
|
/s/ Darryl W. Thompson
Darryl
W. Thompson |
|
President, Chief Executive Officer, and Director |
|
/s/ Ron D. Kessinger
Ron
D. Kessinger |
|
Senior Executive Vice President, Chief Operating Officer and
Acting Chief Financial Officer |
|
/s/ Kenneth S. Dwyer
Kenneth
S. Dwyer |
|
Vice President, and Chief Accounting Officer |
|
/s/ David W. Whitehurst
David
W. Whitehurst |
|
Director |
|
/s/ Robert T. David
Robert
T. David |
|
Director |
|
/s/ Michael A. F. Roberts
Michael
A. F. Roberts |
|
Director |
|
/s/ Richard S. Swanson
Richard
S. Swanson |
|
Director |
|
/s/ Glenn T. Austin, Jr.
Glenn
T. Austin, Jr. |
|
Director |
52
ANNUAL REPORT ON FORM 10-K
ITEM 8, ITEM 15(a)(1) and (2), (3), (c), and (d)
INDEX TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS AND SCHEDULES
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES
CERTAIN EXHIBITS
YEAR ENDED DECEMBER 31, 2004
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
WINSTONSALEM, NORTH CAROLINA
53
INDEX TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
AND FINANCIAL STATEMENT SCHEDULES
(Item 15(a) 1 and 2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Page | |
|
|
| |
Consolidated Financial Statements
|
|
|
|
|
Report of Independent Auditors
|
|
|
57 |
|
Consolidated Balance Sheets at December 31, 2004 and 2003
|
|
|
58 |
|
Consolidated Statements of Income for each of the three years in
the period ended December 31, 2004
|
|
|
59 |
|
Consolidated Statements of Changes in Stockholders Equity
for each of the three years in the period ended
December 31, 2004
|
|
|
60 |
|
Consolidated Statements of Cash Flows for each of the three
years in the period ended December 31, 2004
|
|
|
61 |
|
Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements
|
|
|
62 |
|
Financial Statement Schedules
|
|
|
|
|
Schedules at and for each of the three years in the period ended
December 31, 2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
Schedule I Summary of Investments
Other Than Investments in Related Parties
|
|
|
77 |
|
|
Schedule II Condensed Financial Information of
Registrant
|
|
|
78 |
|
|
Schedule IV Reinsurance
|
|
|
83 |
|
All other schedules are omitted since the required information
is not present or is not present in amounts sufficient to
require submission of the schedules, or because the information
required is included in the consolidated financial statements
and notes thereto.
54
INDEX TO EXHIBITS
(Item 15(a) 3)
|
|
|
|
|
Exhibit |
|
|
Number |
|
Description of Exhibit |
|
|
|
|
3 |
.1 |
|
Certificate of Incorporation of the Registrant, as amended(5)
(Exhibit 3.1) |
|
3 |
.2 |
|
By-Laws of the Registrant as amended March 21, 2003
(Exhibit 3.2(c)) (10) |
|
4 |
.1 |
|
Form of Common Stock certificate(1) (Exhibit 4(a)) |
|
4 |
.2 |
|
Indenture Between Triad Guaranty Inc. and Bankers
Trust Co.(6) (Exhibit 4.2) |
|
10 |
.1 |
|
1993 Long-Term Stock Incentive Plan(1)(3) (Exhibit 10(a)) |
|
10 |
.6 |
|
Registration Agreement among the Registrant, Collateral
Investment Corp. and Collateral Mortgage, Ltd.(2)
(Exhibit 10.6) |
|
10 |
.7 |
|
Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Darryl W.
Thompson(2)(3) (Exhibit 10.7) |
|
10 |
.11 |
|
Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Ron D.
Kessinger(2)(3) (Exhibit 10.11) |
|
10 |
.16 |
|
Economic Value Added Incentive Bonus Program (Senior
Management)(4) (Exhibit 10.16) |
|
10 |
.17 |
|
Amendment to Employment Agreement between the Registrant and
Darryl W. Thompson(3)(4) (Exhibit 10.17) |
|
10 |
.20 |
|
Amendment to Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Ron
D. Kessinger(3)(4) (Exhibit 10.20) |
|
10 |
.21 |
|
Excess of Loss Reinsurance Agreement between Triad Guaranty
Insurance Corporation, Capital Mortgage Reinsurance Company, and
Federal Insurance Company.(7) (Exhibit 10.21) |
|
10 |
.22 |
|
Excess of Loss Reinsurance Agreement between Triad Guaranty
Insurance Corporation and Ace Capital Mortgage Reinsurance
Company.(8) (Exhibit 10.22) |
|
10 |
.23 |
|
Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Earl F.
Wall(3)(9) (Exhibit 10.23) |
|
10 |
.25 |
|
Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Kenneth N.
Lard(3) (Exhibit 10.25) |
|
10 |
.26 |
|
Employment Agreement between the Registrant and Kenneth C.
Foster(3) (Exhibit 10.26) |
|
*10 |
.27 |
|
Consulting Agreement between the Registrant, Triad Guaranty
Insurance Corporation, Triad Guaranty Assurance Company and
Collateral Mortgage, Ltd. Providing advice and counsel regarding
the investment strategy and tactics of Conning Asset Management
Company, the Registrants new investment advisor. (Exhibit
10.27) |
|
*10 |
.28 |
|
Administrative Services Agreement between the Registrant, Triad
Guaranty Insurance Corporation, Collateral Mortgage, Ltd.,
Collat, Inc., and New South Federal Savings Bank (Exhibit 10.28) |
|
21 |
.1 |
|
Subsidiaries of the Registrant(7) (Exhibit 21.1) |
|
*23 |
.1 |
|
Consent of Ernst & Young LLP (Exhibit 23.1) |
|
*31 |
.1 |
|
Chief Executive Officer Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 302
Certification dated March 11, 2005, for the Triad Guaranty
Inc.s Annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2004 |
|
*31 |
.2 |
|
Acting Chief Financial Officer Sarbanes-Oxley Act
Section 302 Certification dated March 11, 2005, for
the Triad Guaranty Inc.s Annual report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2004 |
|
*32 |
.1 |
|
Chief Executive Officer Sarbanes-Oxley Act Section 906
Certification dated March 11, 2005, for the Triad Guaranty
Inc.s Annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended
December 31, 2004 |
|
*32 |
.2 |
|
Acting Chief Financial Officer Sarbanes-Oxley Act
Section 906 Certification dated March 11, 2005, for
the Triad Guaranty Inc.s Annual report on Form 10-K
for the year ended December 31, 2004 |
55
|
|
|
|
(1) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the Registrants
Registration Statement on Form S1 filed
October 22, 1993 and amendments thereto. |
|
|
(2) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 1993 Form 10K. |
|
|
(3) |
Denotes management contract or compensatory plan of arrangement
required to be filed as an exhibit to this report pursuant to
Item 601 of Regulation SK. |
|
|
(4) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 1996 Form 10K. |
|
|
(5) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the June 30, 1997
Form 10Q. |
|
|
(6) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 1997 Form 10K. |
|
|
(7) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 1999 Form 10K. |
|
|
(8) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 2000 Form 10K. |
|
|
(9) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the June 30, 2002
Form 10Q. |
|
|
(10) |
Incorporated by reference to the exhibit identified in
parentheses, filed as an exhibit in the 2002 Form 10K. |
56
REPORT OF INDEPENDENT REGISTERED PUBLIC ACCOUNTING FIRM
The Board of Directors and Stockholders
of Triad Guaranty Inc.
We have audited the accompanying consolidated balance sheets of
Triad Guaranty Inc. as of December 31, 2004 and 2003, and
the related consolidated statements of income,
stockholders equity, and cash flows for each of the three
years in the period ended December 31, 2004. Our audits
also included the financial statement schedules listed in the
Index at item 15(a). These financial statements and
schedules are the responsibility of the Companys
management. Our responsibility is to express an opinion on these
financial statements and schedules based on our audits.
We conducted our audits in accordance with the standards of the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States). Those
standards require that we plan and perform the audit to obtain
reasonable assurance about whether the financial statements are
free of material misstatement. An audit includes examining, on a
test basis, evidence supporting the amounts and disclosures in
the financial statements. An audit also includes assessing the
accounting principles used and significant estimates made by
management, as well as evaluating the overall financial
statement presentation. We believe that our audits provide a
reasonable basis for our opinion.
In our opinion, the financial statements referred to above
present fairly, in all material respects, the consolidated
financial position of Triad Guaranty Inc. at December 31,
2004 and 2003, and the consolidated results of its operations
and its cash flows for each of the three years in the period
ended December 31, 2004 in conformity with
U.S. generally accepted accounting principles. Also, in our
opinion, the related financial statement schedules, when
considered in relation to the basic financial statements taken
as a whole, present fairly in all material respects the
information set forth therein.
We also have audited, in accordance with the standards of the
Public Company Accounting Oversight Board (United States), the
effectiveness of Triad Guaranty Inc.s internal control
over financial reporting as of December 31, 2004, based on
criteria established in Internal Control Integrated
Framework issued by the Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of
the Treadway Commission and our report dated March 10, 2005
expressed an unqualified opinion thereon.
Greensboro, North Carolina
March 10, 2005
57
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
CONSOLIDATED BALANCE SHEETS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands, except | |
|
|
share data) | |
ASSETS |
Invested assets:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale, at fair value:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities (amortized cost: 2004 $435,432;
2003 $359,885)
|
|
$ |
454,121 |
|
|
$ |
375,097 |
|
|
|
Equity securities (cost: 2004 $8,626;
2003 $10,769)
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
12,771 |
|
|
Short-term investments
|
|
|
16,095 |
|
|
|
25,659 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
480,488 |
|
|
|
413,527 |
|
Cash
|
|
|
6,865 |
|
|
|
973 |
|
Real estate
|
|
|
211 |
|
|
|
146 |
|
Accrued investment income
|
|
|
6,229 |
|
|
|
4,575 |
|
Deferred policy acquisition costs
|
|
|
32,453 |
|
|
|
29,363 |
|
Property and equipment, at cost less accumulated depreciation
(2004 $15,172; 2003 $11,867)
|
|
|
8,945 |
|
|
|
9,369 |
|
Prepaid federal income tax
|
|
|
119,132 |
|
|
|
98,124 |
|
Income taxes recoverable
|
|
|
977 |
|
|
|
|
|
Reinsurance recoverable
|
|
|
1,164 |
|
|
|
881 |
|
Other assets
|
|
|
15,571 |
|
|
|
18,621 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets
|
|
$ |
672,035 |
|
|
$ |
575,579 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY |
Liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
$ |
34,042 |
|
|
$ |
27,186 |
|
|
Unearned premiums
|
|
|
15,942 |
|
|
|
15,629 |
|
|
Amounts payable to reinsurer
|
|
|
4,467 |
|
|
|
3,243 |
|
|
Current taxes payable
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
Deferred income taxes
|
|
|
137,925 |
|
|
|
115,459 |
|
|
Unearned ceding commission
|
|
|
200 |
|
|
|
669 |
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
34,493 |
|
|
|
34,486 |
|
|
Accrued interest on debt
|
|
|
1,275 |
|
|
|
1,275 |
|
|
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
|
|
|
6,348 |
|
|
|
7,696 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
234,692 |
|
|
|
205,649 |
|
Commitments and contingencies (Notes 5, 7, and
14)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Stockholders equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preferred stock, par value $.01 per share
authorized 1,000,000 shares, no shares issued and
outstanding
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common stock, par value $.01 per share
authorized 32,000,000 shares, issued and outstanding
14,631,678 shares at December 31, 2004, and 14,438,637
at December 31, 2003
|
|
|
146 |
|
|
|
144 |
|
|
Additional paid-in capital
|
|
|
94,852 |
|
|
|
87,513 |
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of income tax
liability of $7,117 at December 31, 2004, and $6,025 at
December 31, 2003
|
|
|
13,218 |
|
|
|
11,190 |
|
|
Deferred compensation
|
|
|
(1,501 |
) |
|
|
(1,128 |
) |
|
Retained earnings
|
|
|
330,628 |
|
|
|
272,211 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total stockholders equity
|
|
|
437,343 |
|
|
|
369,930 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
|
$ |
672,035 |
|
|
$ |
575,579 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes.
58
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands, except share data) | |
Revenue:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Premiums written:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct
|
|
$ |
176,696 |
|
|
$ |
154,046 |
|
|
$ |
124,214 |
|
|
|
Ceded
|
|
|
(35,365 |
) |
|
|
(27,310 |
) |
|
|
(18,345 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premiums written
|
|
|
141,331 |
|
|
|
126,736 |
|
|
|
105,869 |
|
|
Change in unearned premiums
|
|
|
(339 |
) |
|
|
(7,004 |
) |
|
|
(802 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earned premiums
|
|
|
140,992 |
|
|
|
119,732 |
|
|
|
105,067 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
19,754 |
|
|
|
17,082 |
|
|
|
16,099 |
|
Net realized investment gains (losses)
|
|
|
504 |
|
|
|
3,029 |
|
|
|
(2,519 |
) |
Other income
|
|
|
16 |
|
|
|
24 |
|
|
|
72 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
161,266 |
|
|
|
139,867 |
|
|
|
118,719 |
|
Losses and expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
35,864 |
|
|
|
23,833 |
|
|
|
14,063 |
|
|
Interest expense on debt
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,771 |
|
|
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs
|
|
|
14,256 |
|
|
|
18,112 |
|
|
|
13,742 |
|
|
Other operating expenses (net of acquisition costs deferred)
|
|
|
26,483 |
|
|
|
22,776 |
|
|
|
22,900 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
79,375 |
|
|
|
67,493 |
|
|
|
53,476 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income before income taxes
|
|
|
81,891 |
|
|
|
72,374 |
|
|
|
65,243 |
|
Income taxes:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current
|
|
|
2,295 |
|
|
|
716 |
|
|
|
667 |
|
|
Deferred
|
|
|
21,179 |
|
|
|
20,567 |
|
|
|
19,473 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
23,474 |
|
|
|
21,283 |
|
|
|
20,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Earnings per common and common equivalent share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$ |
4.04 |
|
|
$ |
3.57 |
|
|
$ |
3.21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted
|
|
$ |
3.98 |
|
|
$ |
3.52 |
|
|
$ |
3.15 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Shares used in computing earnings per common and common
equivalent share:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
|
14,458,453 |
|
|
|
14,322,216 |
|
|
|
14,060,420 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Diluted
|
|
|
14,681,228 |
|
|
|
14,509,538 |
|
|
|
14,331,581 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes.
59
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CHANGES IN STOCKHOLDERS
EQUITY
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accumulated | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Additional | |
|
Other | |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common | |
|
Paid-In | |
|
Comprehensive | |
|
Deferred | |
|
Retained | |
|
|
|
|
Stock | |
|
Capital | |
|
Income | |
|
Compensation | |
|
Earnings | |
|
Total | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands, except share data) | |
Balance at December 31, 2001
|
|
$ |
137 |
|
|
$ |
69,058 |
|
|
$ |
975 |
|
|
$ |
(117 |
) |
|
$ |
176,017 |
|
|
$ |
246,070 |
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
45,103 |
|
|
|
45,103 |
|
|
Other comprehensive income net of tax:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized gain
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,659 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,659 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
52,762 |
|
|
Issuance of common stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
5,684 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5,689 |
|
|
Tax effect of exercise of non-qualified stock options
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,494 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,494 |
|
|
Net issuance of restricted stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
933 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(933 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred compensation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
392 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
392 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2002
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
80,169 |
|
|
|
8,634 |
|
|
|
(658 |
) |
|
|
221,120 |
|
|
|
309,407 |
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51,091 |
|
|
|
51,091 |
|
|
Other comprehensive income net of tax:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized gain
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,556 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53,647 |
|
|
Issuance of common stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
4,051 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,053 |
|
|
Tax effect of exercise of non-qualified stock options
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,133 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,133 |
|
|
Net issuance of restricted stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,160 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,160 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred compensation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
690 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
690 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2003
|
|
|
144 |
|
|
|
87,513 |
|
|
|
11,190 |
|
|
|
(1,128 |
) |
|
|
272,211 |
|
|
|
369,930 |
|
|
Net income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
58,417 |
|
|
|
58,417 |
|
|
Other comprehensive income net of tax:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Change in unrealized gain
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,028 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,028 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Comprehensive income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
60,445 |
|
|
Issuance of common stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
3,739 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,741 |
|
|
Tax effect of exercise of non-qualified stock options
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,995 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,995 |
|
|
Net issuance of restricted stock under stock incentive plan
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,605 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1,605 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amortization of deferred compensation
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,232 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,232 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at December 31, 2004
|
|
$ |
146 |
|
|
$ |
94,852 |
|
|
$ |
13,218 |
|
|
$ |
(1,501 |
) |
|
$ |
330,628 |
|
|
$ |
437,343 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See accompanying notes.
60
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
CONSOLIDATED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
Operating activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by
operating activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss and unearned premium reserves
|
|
|
7,169 |
|
|
|
12,916 |
|
|
|
4,258 |
|
|
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
|
|
|
(1,348 |
) |
|
|
215 |
|
|
|
(2,624 |
) |
|
Current taxes payable
|
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
|
(592 |
) |
|
|
558 |
|
|
Income taxes recoverable
|
|
|
(977 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Amounts due to/from reinsurer
|
|
|
941 |
|
|
|
(743 |
) |
|
|
492 |
|
|
Accrued investment income
|
|
|
(1,654 |
) |
|
|
(1,487 |
) |
|
|
108 |
|
|
Policy acquisition costs deferred
|
|
|
(17,346 |
) |
|
|
(18,478 |
) |
|
|
(16,795 |
) |
|
Amortization of policy acquisition costs
|
|
|
14,256 |
|
|
|
18,112 |
|
|
|
13,742 |
|
|
Net realized investment (gains) losses
|
|
|
(504 |
) |
|
|
(3,029 |
) |
|
|
2,519 |
|
|
Provision for depreciation
|
|
|
3,319 |
|
|
|
2,941 |
|
|
|
2,778 |
|
|
Accretion of discount on investments
|
|
|
(836 |
) |
|
|
(3,212 |
) |
|
|
(4,601 |
) |
|
Deferred income taxes
|
|
|
21,179 |
|
|
|
20,567 |
|
|
|
19,473 |
|
|
Prepaid federal income taxes
|
|
|
(21,008 |
) |
|
|
(20,338 |
) |
|
|
(15,167 |
) |
|
Unearned ceding commission
|
|
|
(469 |
) |
|
|
(717 |
) |
|
|
(938 |
) |
|
Other assets
|
|
|
3,050 |
|
|
|
(1,450 |
) |
|
|
(1,318 |
) |
|
Other operating activities
|
|
|
4,735 |
|
|
|
3,518 |
|
|
|
(636 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by operating activities
|
|
|
68,918 |
|
|
|
59,314 |
|
|
|
46,952 |
|
Investing activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Securities available-for-sale:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases fixed maturities
|
|
|
(153,262 |
) |
|
|
(186,509 |
) |
|
|
(94,889 |
) |
|
Sales and maturities fixed maturities
|
|
|
77,961 |
|
|
|
117,908 |
|
|
|
59,696 |
|
|
Purchases equities
|
|
|
(809 |
) |
|
|
(2,044 |
) |
|
|
(2,160 |
) |
|
Sales and maturities equities
|
|
|
2,674 |
|
|
|
1,525 |
|
|
|
1,797 |
|
Net change in short-term investments
|
|
|
9,564 |
|
|
|
9,644 |
|
|
|
(16,564 |
) |
Purchases of property and equipment
|
|
|
(2,895 |
) |
|
|
(3,151 |
) |
|
|
(1,141 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
|
|
(66,767 |
) |
|
|
(62,627 |
) |
|
|
(53,261 |
) |
Financing activities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds from exercise of stock options
|
|
|
3,741 |
|
|
|
4,053 |
|
|
|
5,689 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by financing activities
|
|
|
3,741 |
|
|
|
4,053 |
|
|
|
5,689 |
|
Net change in cash
|
|
|
5,892 |
|
|
|
740 |
|
|
|
(620 |
) |
Cash at beginning of year
|
|
|
973 |
|
|
|
233 |
|
|
|
853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash at end of year
|
|
$ |
6,865 |
|
|
$ |
973 |
|
|
$ |
233 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Supplemental schedule of cash flow information
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash paid during the period for:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income taxes and United States Mortgage Guaranty Tax and Loss
Bonds
|
|
$ |
23,692 |
|
|
$ |
21,588 |
|
|
$ |
16,024 |
|
|
Interest
|
|
$ |
2,765 |
|
|
$ |
2,765 |
|
|
|
2,765 |
|
See accompanying notes.
61
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL STATEMENTS
December 31, 2004
Triad Guaranty Inc. (the Company) is a holding
company which, through its wholly-owned subsidiary, Triad
Guaranty Insurance Corporation (Triad), provides
private mortgage insurance coverage in the United States to
mortgage lenders or investors to protect the lender or investor
against loss from defaults on low down payment residential
mortgage loans.
The accompanying consolidated financial statements have been
prepared in conformity with accounting principles generally
accepted in the United States of America, which vary in some
respects from statutory accounting practices which are
prescribed or permitted by the various state insurance
departments.
The consolidated financial statements include the amounts of
Triad Guaranty Inc. and its wholly-owned subsidiary, Triad
Guaranty Insurance Corporation (Triad) and
Triads wholly-owned subsidiaries, Triad Guaranty Assurance
Corporation (TGAC) and Triad Re Insurance
Corporation (Triad Re). All significant intercompany
accounts and transactions have been eliminated.
The preparation of the consolidated financial statements in
conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles requires management to make estimates and assumptions
that affect the amounts reported in the consolidated financial
statements and accompanying notes. Actual results could differ
from those estimates.
All fixed maturity and equity securities are classified as
available-for-sale and are carried at fair value.
Unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale securities,
net of tax, are reported as a separate component of accumulated
other comprehensive income.
Fair value generally represents quoted market value prices for
securities traded in the public market or prices analytically
determined using bid or closing prices for securities not traded
in the public marketplace. Realized investment gains or losses
are determined on a specific identification basis. The Company
evaluates its investments regularly to determine whether there
are declines in value that are other-than-temporary. When the
Company determines that a security has experienced an
other-than-temporary impairment, the impairment loss is
recognized as a realized investment loss. Short-term investments
are defined as short-term, highly liquid investments both
readily convertible to known amounts of cash and having
maturities of twelve months or less upon acquisition by the
Company.
|
|
|
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs |
The costs of acquiring new business, principally commissions and
certain policy underwriting and issue costs, which vary with and
are primarily related to the production of new business, are
deferred. Amortization of such policy acquisition costs is
charged to expense in proportion to premium revenue recognized
over the estimated policy life.
The Company reviews the persistency of policies in force and
makes appropriate adjustments to the amortization of deferred
policy acquisition costs to reflect policy cancellations. In
addition, the recoverability
62
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
of deferred costs is tested by calculating an estimated gross
profit for each book year and comparing that to the unamortized
asset balance by book year. If this comparison indicates a
premium deficiency for a given book year, any unamortized
acquisition cost to the extent of that deficiency is charged to
expense.
Property and equipment is recorded at cost and is depreciated
principally on a straight-line basis over the estimated useful
lives, generally three to five years, of the depreciable assets.
Property and equipment primarily consists of computer hardware,
software, furniture, and equipment.
|
|
|
Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves |
Reserves are provided for the estimated costs of settling claims
in respect of loans reported to be in default and estimates of
loans in default which have not been reported to the Company.
Consistent with industry accounting practices, the Company does
not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans
that are not currently in default. Amounts for salvage
recoverable are considered in the determination of the reserve
estimates. Loss reserves are established by management using
historical experience and by making various assumptions and
judgments about claim rates (frequency) and claim amounts
(severity) to estimate ultimate losses to be paid on loans
in default. The Companys reserving methodology gives
effect to current economic conditions and profiles delinquencies
by such factors as age, policy year, geography, and chronic late
payment characteristics. The estimates are continually reviewed
and, as adjustments to these liabilities become necessary, such
adjustments are reflected in current operations.
Certain premiums and losses are assumed from and ceded to other
insurance companies under various reinsurance agreements.
Reinsurance premiums, loss reimbursement, and reserves related
to reinsurance business are accounted for on a basis consistent
with that used in accounting for the original policies issued
and the terms of the reinsurance contracts. The Company may
receive a ceding commission in connection with ceded
reinsurance. If so, the ceding commission is earned on a monthly
pro rata basis in the same manner as the premium and is recorded
as a reduction of other operating expenses.
The Company uses the asset and liability method of accounting
for income taxes. Under the asset and liability method, deferred
tax assets and deferred tax liabilities are recognized for the
future tax consequences attributable to differences between the
financial statement carrying amounts of existing assets and
liabilities and their respective tax bases. Deferred tax assets
and liabilities are measured using enacted tax rates expected to
apply to taxable income in the years in which those temporary
differences are expected to be recovered or settled. The effect
on deferred tax assets and liabilities of a change in tax rates
is recognized in income in the period that includes the
enactment date.
Federal tax law permits mortgage guaranty insurance companies to
deduct from taxable income, subject to certain limitations, the
amounts added to contingency loss reserves. Generally, the
amounts so deducted must be included in taxable income in the
tenth subsequent year. This deduction is allowed only to the
extent that non-interest bearing United States Mortgage Guaranty
Tax and Loss Bonds are purchased and held in an amount equal to
the tax benefit attributable to such deduction. The Company
accounts for these purchases as a prepayment of federal income
taxes. Current income tax expense is primarily associated with
the addition to taxable income in the current year of the
contingency reserve deduction from ten years prior.
63
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
The Company writes policies that are guaranteed renewable
contracts at the policyholders option on single premium,
annual premium, and monthly premium bases. The Company does not
have the option to re-underwrite these contracts. Premiums
written on a monthly basis are earned in the month coverage is
provided. Premiums written on annual policies are earned on a
monthly pro rata basis. Single premium policies covering more
than one year are amortized over the estimated policy life in
accordance with the expiration of risk.
Cancellation of a policy generally results in the unearned
portion of the premium paid being refunded to the policyholder.
However, many of the annual paying policies are paid by the
lender and are non-refundable. The cancellation of one of these
policies would impact earned premium through the release of the
unearned premium reserve at the time of the cancellation. The
amounts earned through the cancellation of annual paying
policies are not significant to earned premium.
During 2004, one customer accounted for approximately 16% and
another customer accounted for approximately 14% of total
revenue. In 2003, these same two customers accounted for
approximately 14% each of the Companys revenue while one
customer accounted for approximately 11% of the Companys
revenue in 2002.
The Company grants stock options to employees and directors for
a fixed number of shares with an exercise price equal to or
greater than the fair value of the shares at the date of grant.
The Company accounts for stock option grants using the intrinsic
value method prescribed in Accounting Principles Board Opinion
No. 25, Accounting for Stock Issued to Employees,
and accordingly, recognizes no compensation expense for the
stock option grants.
For purposes of pro forma disclosures, the estimated fair value
of the options is amortized to expense over the options
vesting period. Had compensation expense for stock options been
recognized using the fair value method on the grant date, net
income and earnings per share on a pro forma basis would have
been (in thousands, except for earnings per share data):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Net income as reported
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
Net income pro forma
|
|
$ |
57,915 |
|
|
$ |
50,434 |
|
|
$ |
44,261 |
|
Earnings per share as reported:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$ |
4.04 |
|
|
$ |
3.57 |
|
|
$ |
3.21 |
|
|
Diluted
|
|
$ |
3.98 |
|
|
$ |
3.52 |
|
|
$ |
3.15 |
|
Earnings per share pro forma:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic
|
|
$ |
4.01 |
|
|
$ |
3.52 |
|
|
$ |
3.15 |
|
|
Diluted
|
|
$ |
3.94 |
|
|
$ |
3.48 |
|
|
$ |
3.09 |
|
Basic and diluted earnings per share are based on the
weighted-average daily number of shares outstanding. For diluted
earnings per share, the denominator includes the dilutive effect
on the weighted-average shares outstanding of employee stock
options and nonvested restricted stock. There are no other
reconciling items between the denominator used in basic earnings
per share and diluted earnings per share.
64
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
The numerator used in basic earnings per share and diluted
earnings per share is the same for all periods presented.
The only element of other comprehensive income applicable to the
Company is changes in unrealized gains and losses on securities
classified as available-for-sale, which is displayed in the
following table, along with related tax effects (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Unrealized gains arising during the period, before taxes
|
|
$ |
3,624 |
|
|
$ |
6,964 |
|
|
$ |
9,265 |
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
(1,268 |
) |
|
|
(2,439 |
) |
|
|
(3,243 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unrealized gains arising during the period, net of taxes
|
|
|
2,356 |
|
|
|
4,525 |
|
|
|
6,022 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less reclassification adjustment:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gains (losses) realized in net income
|
|
|
504 |
|
|
|
3,029 |
|
|
|
(2,519 |
) |
|
Income taxes
|
|
|
(176 |
) |
|
|
(1,060 |
) |
|
|
882 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reclassification adjustment for gains (losses) realized in net
income
|
|
|
328 |
|
|
|
1,969 |
|
|
|
(1,637 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other comprehensive income
|
|
$ |
2,028 |
|
|
$ |
2,556 |
|
|
$ |
7,659 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Recent Accounting Pronouncements |
In December 2004, the Financial Accounting Standards Board
issued Statement of Financial Standards (SFAS) No. 123
(revised 2004), Share-Based Payment
(SFAS 123R). SFAS 123R requires the compensation cost
relating to stock-based payment transactions to be recognized in
financial statements. That cost will be measured based on the
fair value of the equity instruments issued on the grant date of
such instruments, and will be recognized over the period during
which an individual is required to provide service in exchange
for the award (typically the vesting period). SFAS 123R
covers a wide range of stock-based compensation arrangements
including stock options, restricted stock plans,
performance-based awards, stock appreciation rights, and
employee stock purchase plans. SFAS 123R replaces
SFAS 123 and supersedes APB Opinion 25. SFAS 123R must
be adopted no later than July 1, 2005. Early adoption will
be permitted in periods in which financial statements have not
yet been issued. The Company tentatively plans to adopt
SFAS 123R in the first quarter of 2005, although a final
decision has not been made.
SFAS 123R permits public companies to adopt its requirement
using one of two methods: 1) A modified
prospective method in which compensation cost is
recognized beginning with the effective date (a) based on
the requirements of SFAS 123R for all share-based payments
granted after the effective date and (b) based on the
requirements of SFAS 123R for all awards granted to
employees prior to the effective date of SFAS 123R that
remain unvested on the effective date; or 2) A
modified retrospective method which includes the
requirements of the modified prospective method described above,
but also permits entities to restate based on the amounts
previously recognized under SFAS 123R for purposes of pro
forma disclosures either (a) all prior periods presented or
(b) prior interim periods of the year of adoption. The
Company plans to adopt SFAS 123R using the modified
prospective method.
As permitted by SFAS 123, the Company currently accounts
for share-based payments to employees using APB Opinion
25s intrinsic value method and, as such, generally
recognizes no compensation cost for employee stock options.
Accordingly, the adoption of SFAS 123Rs fair value
method will have a slight impact on the Companys results
of operations, although it will have no impact on our overall
financial position. The impact of adoption of SFAS 123R
cannot be predicted at this time because it will depend on
levels of share-based payments granted in the future. However,
had the Company adopted SFAS 123R in prior periods, the
65
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
impact of that standard would have approximated the impact of
SFAS 123 as described in the disclosure of pro forma net
loss and loss per share in Note 1 to our consolidated
financial statements. SFAS 123R also requires the benefits
of tax deductions in excess of recognized compensation cost to
be reported as a financing cash flow, rather than as an
operating cash flow as required under current literature. This
requirement will reduce net operating cash flows and increase
net financing cash flows in periods after adoption. The Company
cannot estimate what those amounts will be in the future
(because they depend on, among other things, when employees
exercise stock options, and whether the Company will be in a
taxable position).
Certain amounts in prior years have been reclassified to conform
with the current year presentation.
The cost or amortized cost and the fair value of investments are
as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost or | |
|
Gross | |
|
Gross | |
|
|
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
|
|
|
Cost | |
|
Gains | |
|
Losses | |
|
Fair Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
At December 31, 2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available-for-sale securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate
|
|
$ |
23,157 |
|
|
$ |
2,906 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
26,063 |
|
|
|
U.S. Government
|
|
|
12,873 |
|
|
|
67 |
|
|
|
212 |
|
|
|
12,728 |
|
|
|
Mortgage-backed
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
State and municipal
|
|
|
399,329 |
|
|
|
16,157 |
|
|
|
236 |
|
|
|
415,250 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
435,432 |
|
|
|
19,137 |
|
|
|
448 |
|
|
|
454,121 |
|
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
8,626 |
|
|
|
1,779 |
|
|
|
133 |
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
444,058 |
|
|
$ |
20,916 |
|
|
$ |
581 |
|
|
$ |
464,393 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At December 31, 2003
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available-for-sale securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate
|
|
$ |
25,951 |
|
|
$ |
3,367 |
|
|
$ |
171 |
|
|
$ |
29,147 |
|
|
|
U.S. Government
|
|
|
15,477 |
|
|
|
238 |
|
|
|
92 |
|
|
|
15,623 |
|
|
|
Mortgage-backed
|
|
|
89 |
|
|
|
10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99 |
|
|
|
State and municipal
|
|
|
318,368 |
|
|
|
12,284 |
|
|
|
424 |
|
|
|
330,228 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
359,885 |
|
|
|
15,899 |
|
|
|
687 |
|
|
|
375,097 |
|
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
10,769 |
|
|
|
2,084 |
|
|
|
82 |
|
|
|
12,771 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
370,654 |
|
|
$ |
17,983 |
|
|
$ |
769 |
|
|
$ |
387,868 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
66
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
At December 31, 2004, the Company had 32 securities with
gross unrealized losses. The following table shows the gross
unrealized losses and fair value, aggregated by investment
category and length of time that individual securities have been
in a continuous unrealized loss position at December 31,
2004 (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less Than 12 Months | |
|
12 Months or More | |
|
Total | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Fair | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Fair | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Fair | |
|
Unrealized | |
Description of Securities |
|
Value | |
|
Losses | |
|
Value | |
|
Losses | |
|
Value | |
|
Losses | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed maturities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. Government
|
|
$ |
970 |
|
|
$ |
31 |
|
|
$ |
2,815 |
|
|
$ |
181 |
|
|
$ |
3,785 |
|
|
$ |
212 |
|
|
State and municipal
|
|
|
6,539 |
|
|
|
42 |
|
|
|
7,858 |
|
|
|
194 |
|
|
|
14,397 |
|
|
|
236 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Subtotal
|
|
|
7,509 |
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
10,673 |
|
|
|
375 |
|
|
|
18,182 |
|
|
|
448 |
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
1,319 |
|
|
|
133 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,319 |
|
|
|
133 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total temporarily impaired securities
|
|
$ |
8,828 |
|
|
$ |
206 |
|
|
$ |
10,673 |
|
|
$ |
375 |
|
|
$ |
19,501 |
|
|
$ |
581 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The majority of the gross unrealized losses related to fixed
maturities that have been in a continuous loss position less
than 12 months are due to changes in interest rates. The
majority of the fixed maturities that have unrealized losses
continuously for 12 months or more are the result of thinly
traded securities that tend to have lower valuations than
actively traded securities. None of the fixed maturity
securities with unrealized losses have ever missed, or been
delinquent on, a scheduled principal or interest payment. The
unrealized losses related to equity securities are the result of
what we perceive to be temporary market fluctuations. The
Company reviews its investments quarterly to identify and
evaluate whether any investments have indications of possible
impairment. Factors considered in determining whether a loss is
temporary include the length of time and extent to which fair
value has been less than the cost basis, the financial condition
and near-term prospects of the investee, and the Companys
intent and ability to hold the investment for a period of time
sufficient to allow for any anticipated recovery in market
value. The Company believes at this point in time that the
positive evidence far outweighs the negative evidence and all of
these unrealized losses are temporary. Charges of $480,000 were
recognized in 2004 and $785,000 in 2003 related to
other-than-temporary declines in the fair values of certain
fixed maturity and equity investments.
The amortized cost and estimated fair value of investments in
fixed maturity securities, at December 31, 2004, are
summarized by stated maturity as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Available-for-Sale | |
|
|
| |
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Fair | |
|
|
Cost | |
|
Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Maturity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
One year or less
|
|
$ |
4,284 |
|
|
$ |
4,312 |
|
|
After one year through five years
|
|
|
8,940 |
|
|
|
9,406 |
|
|
After five years through ten years
|
|
|
60,899 |
|
|
|
63,401 |
|
|
After ten years
|
|
|
361,236 |
|
|
|
376,922 |
|
|
Mortgage-backed securities
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
435,432 |
|
|
$ |
454,121 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
67
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
Realized gains and losses on sales of investments are as follows
(in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Securities available-for-sale:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross realized gains
|
|
$ |
626 |
|
|
$ |
4,579 |
|
|
$ |
1,833 |
|
|
|
Gross realized losses
|
|
|
(146 |
) |
|
|
(885 |
) |
|
|
(3,948 |
) |
|
Equity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross realized gains
|
|
|
416 |
|
|
|
101 |
|
|
|
15 |
|
|
|
Gross realized losses
|
|
|
(435 |
) |
|
|
(742 |
) |
|
|
(576 |
) |
Covered call options:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Gross realized gains
|
|
|
43 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
|
|
189 |
|
|
Gross realized losses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(28 |
) |
|
|
(32 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized gains (losses)
|
|
$ |
504 |
|
|
$ |
3,029 |
|
|
$ |
(2,519 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net unrealized appreciation (depreciation) on fixed
maturity securities changed by $3,477,000, $1,479,000, and
$13,410,000 in 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively; the
corresponding amounts for equity securities were ($356,000),
$2,460,000, and ($1,626,000).
Major categories of the Companys net investment income are
summarized as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Income:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities
|
|
$ |
19,829 |
|
|
$ |
16,929 |
|
|
$ |
15,809 |
|
|
Preferred stocks
|
|
|
385 |
|
|
|
368 |
|
|
|
438 |
|
|
Common stocks
|
|
|
176 |
|
|
|
197 |
|
|
|
179 |
|
|
Cash and short-term investments
|
|
|
135 |
|
|
|
263 |
|
|
|
270 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20,525 |
|
|
|
17,757 |
|
|
|
16,696 |
|
Expenses
|
|
|
771 |
|
|
|
675 |
|
|
|
597 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
$ |
19,754 |
|
|
$ |
17,082 |
|
|
$ |
16,099 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At December 31, 2004 and 2003, investments with an
amortized cost of $6,463,000 and $6,556,000, respectively, were
on deposit with various state insurance departments to satisfy
regulatory requirements.
68
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
|
|
3. |
Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs |
An analysis of deferred policy acquisition costs is as follows
(in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Balance at beginning of year
|
|
$ |
29,363 |
|
|
$ |
28,997 |
|
|
$ |
25,944 |
|
Acquisition costs deferred:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sales compensation
|
|
|
7,340 |
|
|
|
7,038 |
|
|
|
6,291 |
|
|
Underwriting and issue expenses
|
|
|
10,006 |
|
|
|
11,440 |
|
|
|
10,504 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17,346 |
|
|
|
18,478 |
|
|
|
16,795 |
|
Amortization of acquisition expenses
|
|
|
14,256 |
|
|
|
18,112 |
|
|
|
13,742 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net increase
|
|
|
3,090 |
|
|
|
366 |
|
|
|
3,053 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Balance at end of year
|
|
$ |
32,453 |
|
|
$ |
29,363 |
|
|
$ |
28,997 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Reserve for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses |
Activity for the reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses
for 2004, 2003, and 2002 is summarized as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at
January 1, net of reinsurance recoverables
|
|
$ |
27,183 |
|
|
$ |
21,355 |
|
|
$ |
17,981 |
|
Incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses net of reinsurance
recoveries (principally in respect of default notices
received in):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
25,942 |
|
|
|
24,376 |
|
|
|
18,504 |
|
|
Deficiency (redundancy) on prior years
|
|
|
9,922 |
|
|
|
(543 |
) |
|
|
(4,441 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
35,864 |
|
|
|
23,833 |
|
|
|
14,063 |
|
Loss and loss adjustment expense payments net of reinsurance
recoveries (principally in respect of default notices
received in):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current year
|
|
|
2,033 |
|
|
|
3,652 |
|
|
|
2,053 |
|
|
Prior years
|
|
|
26,974 |
|
|
|
14,353 |
|
|
|
8,636 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total loss and loss adjustment expense payments
|
|
|
29,007 |
|
|
|
18,005 |
|
|
|
10,689 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Reserve for losses and loss adjustment expenses at
December 31, net of reinsurance recoverables of $2, $3, and
$5 in 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively
|
|
$ |
34,040 |
|
|
$ |
27,183 |
|
|
$ |
21,355 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
The classification of current and prior year amounts in the
above reconciliation is prepared based upon the date the notice
of default is received, consistent with industry practice,
rather than based upon the actual date of default as in prior
years. Prior year incurred and paid loss and loss adjustment
expense amounts have been reclassified to conform to the current
year presentation.
The foregoing reconciliation indicates a deficiency in 2004.
During the fourth quarter of 2003, claim severity had increased,
particularly on paid claims related to structured bulk
transactions from the 2001 and 2002 book years. At that time,
the Company concluded that this extremely limited number of
actual claim payments related to the 2001 and 2002 bulk book
years did not constitute a long-term trend and did not adjust
69
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
the severity factors. During of the first half of 2004, the
Company continued to experience adverse severity trends on
claims paid, particularly on the 2001 and 2002 bulk book years.
Additionally, during the first half of 2004, the Company settled
some flow claims with extended delinquency periods from the 2000
and 2001 flow book years at amounts that exceeded expectations.
As a result of these two factors reflecting prior structured
bulk and flow books, the Company increased its severity factors
utilized in its reserve calculations in 2004. This action also
contributed to the recognized deficiency in 2004. A redundancy
in reserves is shown for 2003 and 2002. These redundancies
resulted principally from settling case-basis reserves on
default notices occurring in prior years for amounts less than
expected.
The Company leases certain office facilities, autos, and
equipment under operating leases. Rental expense for all leases
was $2,061,000, $1,950,000, and $1,792,000 for 2004, 2003, and
2002, respectively. Future minimum payments under noncancellable
operating leases at December 31, 2004, are as follows (in
thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
2005
|
|
$ |
2,015 |
|
2006
|
|
|
1,616 |
|
2007
|
|
|
1,308 |
|
2008
|
|
|
1,144 |
|
2009
|
|
|
1,121 |
|
Thereafter
|
|
|
3,414 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
$ |
10,618 |
|
|
|
|
|
The Company leases facilities for its corporate headquarters
under an operating lease that is to expire in 2012. The Company
has options to renew this lease for up to ten additional years
at the fair market rental rate at the time of the renewal.
Income tax expense differed from the amounts computed by
applying the Federal statutory income tax rate to income before
taxes as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Income tax computed at statutory rate
|
|
$ |
28,662 |
|
|
$ |
25,331 |
|
|
$ |
22,835 |
|
(Decrease) increase in taxes resulting from:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Tax-exempt interest
|
|
|
(6,048 |
) |
|
|
(4,730 |
) |
|
|
(3,933 |
) |
|
Other
|
|
|
860 |
|
|
|
682 |
|
|
|
1,238 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income tax expense
|
|
$ |
23,474 |
|
|
$ |
21,283 |
|
|
$ |
20,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
70
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
The tax effects of temporary differences that give rise to
significant portions of deferred tax assets and deferred tax
liabilities at December 31, 2004 and 2003, are presented
below (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Deferred tax liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Contingency loss reserve deduction
|
|
$ |
118,903 |
|
|
$ |
98,493 |
|
|
Deferred policy acquisition costs
|
|
|
11,359 |
|
|
|
10,277 |
|
|
Unrealized investment gain
|
|
|
7,117 |
|
|
|
6,025 |
|
|
Other
|
|
|
3,144 |
|
|
|
3,078 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total deferred tax liabilities
|
|
|
140,523 |
|
|
|
117,873 |
|
Deferred tax assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Unearned premiums
|
|
|
1,216 |
|
|
|
1,202 |
|
|
Losses and loss adjustment expenses
|
|
|
820 |
|
|
|
655 |
|
|
Other
|
|
|
562 |
|
|
|
557 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total deferred tax assets
|
|
|
2,598 |
|
|
|
2,414 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net deferred tax liability
|
|
$ |
137,925 |
|
|
$ |
115,459 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At December 31, 2004, Triad had purchased $903,000 of Tax
and Loss Bonds in excess of its current obligations.
|
|
7. |
Insurance in Force, Dividend Restriction, and Statutory
Results |
At December 31, 2004, approximately 55% of Triads
direct risk in force was concentrated in 10 states, with
10% in California, 8% each in Florida and Texas, 5% each in
Georgia and Illinois, 4% each in North Carolina, Arizona, New
York, and New Jersey, and 3% in Pennsylvania. While Triad
continues to diversify its risk in force geographically, a
prolonged recession in its high concentration areas could result
in higher incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses.
Insurance regulations limit the writing of mortgage guaranty
insurance to an aggregate amount of insured risk no greater than
twenty-five times the total of statutory capital and surplus and
the statutory contingency reserve. The amount of net risk for
insurance in force at December 31, 2004 and 2003 as
presented below, was computed by applying the various percentage
settlement options to the insurance in force amounts, adjusted
by risk ceded under reinsurance agreements and by any applicable
aggregate stop-loss limits. Triads ratio is as follows (in
thousands, except ratio):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Net risk
|
|
$ |
7,049,102 |
|
|
$ |
6,590,222 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Statutory capital and surplus
|
|
$ |
135,662 |
|
|
$ |
128,212 |
|
Contingency reserve
|
|
|
369,484 |
|
|
|
302,740 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
505,146 |
|
|
$ |
430,952 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Risk-to-capital ratio
|
|
|
14.0 to 1 |
|
|
|
15.3 to 1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Triad and its wholly-owned subsidiaries, TGAC and Triad Re, are
each required under their respective domiciliary states
insurance code to maintain a minimum level of statutory capital
and surplus. Triad, an Illinois domiciled insurer, is required
under the Illinois Insurance Code (the Code) to
maintain minimum capital and surplus of $5,000,000.
71
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
The Code permits dividends to be paid only out of earned surplus
and also requires prior approval of extraordinary dividends. An
extraordinary dividend is any dividend or distribution of cash
or other property, the fair market value of which, together with
that of other dividends or distributions made within a period of
twelve consecutive months, exceeds the greater of (a) ten
percent of statutory surplus as regards policyholders or
(b) statutory net income for the calendar year preceding
the date of the dividend. Consolidated net income as determined
in accordance with statutory accounting practices was
$78,202,000, $69,848,000, and $61,787,000 for the years ended
December 31, 2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively. At
December 31, 2004, the amount of the Companys equity
that can be paid out in dividends to the stockholders is
$51,946,000, which is the earned surplus of Triad on a statutory
basis.
|
|
8. |
Related Party Transactions |
The Company pays unconsolidated affiliated companies for
management, investment, and other services. The total expense
incurred for such items was $869,000, $711,000, and $670,000 in
2004, 2003, and 2002, respectively.
Approximately 72% of eligible employees participate in the
Companys 401(k) Profit Sharing Plan. Under the plan,
employees elect to defer a portion of their wages, with the
Company matching deferrals at the rate of 50% of the first 8% of
the employees salary deferred. The Companys expense
associated with the plan totaled $463,000, $462,000, and
$374,000 for the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003, and
2002, respectively.
Certain premiums and losses are assumed from and ceded to other
insurance companies under various reinsurance agreements. The
ceding agreements principally provide Triad with increased
capacity to write business and achieve a more favorable
geographic dispersion of risk.
Reinsurance activity for the years ended December 31, 2004,
2003, and 2002, respectively, is as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Earned premiums ceded
|
|
$ |
35,392 |
|
|
$ |
27,226 |
|
|
$ |
18,260 |
|
Losses ceded
|
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
1 |
|
Earned premiums assumed
|
|
|
1 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
|
4 |
|
Losses assumed
|
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
(1 |
) |
The Company cedes business to captive reinsurance subsidiaries
or affiliates of certain mortgage lenders (captives)
primarily under excess of loss reinsurance agreements.
Reinsurance recoverables on loss reserves and unearned premiums
ceded to these captives are backed by trust funds or letters of
credit.
The Company maintains $125,000,000 of excess of loss reinsurance
through non-affiliated reinsurers. The excess of loss
reinsurance agreements are designed to protect the Company in
the event of a catastrophic level of losses.
Reinsurance contracts do not relieve Triad from its obligations
to policyholders. Failure of the reinsurer to honor its
obligation could result in losses to Triad; consequently,
allowances are established for amounts deemed uncollectible.
Triad evaluates the financial condition of its reinsurers and
monitors credit risk arising from similar geographic regions,
activities, or economic characteristics of its reinsurers to
minimize its exposure to significant losses from reinsurer
insolvency.
72
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
|
|
11. |
Long-Term Stock Incentive Plan |
Under the Companys 1993 Long-Term Stock Incentive Plan
(the Plan), certain directors, officers, and key
employees are eligible to be granted various stock-based awards.
The number of options or restricted shares of common stock
authorized to be granted or issued under the Plan is
2,600,000 shares. The options issued under the Plan in
2004, 2003, and 2002 vest over three years. Certain of the
options will immediately vest in the event of a change in
control of the Company. Options granted under the Plan terminate
no later than 10 years following the date of grant.
Information concerning the stock options under the plan is
summarized below:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted- | |
|
|
Number of | |
|
|
|
Average | |
|
|
Shares | |
|
Option Price | |
|
Exercise Price | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
2002
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, beginning of year
|
|
|
1,308,774 |
|
|
$ |
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
$ |
20.71 |
|
|
Granted
|
|
|
88,640 |
|
|
|
32.96-47.60 |
|
|
|
40.48 |
|
|
Exercised
|
|
|
444,349 |
|
|
|
4.58-41.94 |
|
|
|
12.80 |
|
|
Canceled
|
|
|
2,760 |
|
|
|
29.65-39.49 |
|
|
|
35.92 |
|
|
Outstanding, end of year
|
|
|
950,305 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
25.94 |
|
|
Exercisable, end of year
|
|
|
804,652 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
23.91 |
|
2003
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, beginning of year
|
|
|
950,305 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
25.94 |
|
|
Granted
|
|
|
73,500 |
|
|
|
33.18-47.01 |
|
|
|
34.57 |
|
|
Exercised
|
|
|
244,156 |
|
|
|
5.33-39.49 |
|
|
|
16.60 |
|
|
Canceled
|
|
|
20,939 |
|
|
|
28.00-39.49 |
|
|
|
33.03 |
|
|
Outstanding, end of year
|
|
|
758,710 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
29.58 |
|
|
Exercisable, end of year
|
|
|
657,748 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
28.44 |
|
2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding, beginning of year
|
|
|
758,710 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
29.58 |
|
|
Granted
|
|
|
29,750 |
|
|
|
53.61-73.74 |
|
|
|
55.67 |
|
|
Exercised
|
|
|
163,342 |
|
|
|
4.58-49.08 |
|
|
|
22.90 |
|
|
Canceled
|
|
|
6,336 |
|
|
|
29.65-53.61 |
|
|
|
41.24 |
|
|
Outstanding, end of year
|
|
|
618,782 |
|
|
|
5.96-73.74 |
|
|
|
32.48 |
|
|
Exercisable, end of year
|
|
|
558,074 |
|
|
|
5.96-53.61 |
|
|
|
31.20 |
|
73
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
Information concerning stock options outstanding and exercisable
at December 31, 2004, is summarized below:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Outstanding | |
|
Exercisable | |
| |
|
| |
|
|
Weighted- | |
|
Weighted- | |
|
|
|
Weighted- | |
|
|
Average | |
|
Average | |
|
|
|
Average | |
Number of | |
|
Exercise | |
|
Remaining | |
|
Number of | |
|
Exercisable | |
Shares | |
|
Exercise Price | |
|
Price | |
|
Life | |
|
Shares | |
|
Price | |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
41,646 |
|
|
$ |
5.96 - 14.81 |
|
|
$ |
9.13 |
|
|
|
0.7 |
|
|
|
41,646 |
|
|
$ |
9.13 |
|
|
62,084 |
|
|
|
17.00 - 22.50 |
|
|
|
19.74 |
|
|
|
2.5 |
|
|
|
62,084 |
|
|
|
19.74 |
|
|
179,984 |
|
|
|
23.24 - 29.65 |
|
|
|
25.99 |
|
|
|
4.7 |
|
|
|
179,984 |
|
|
|
25.99 |
|
|
76,427 |
|
|
|
30.00 - 37.75 |
|
|
|
33.59 |
|
|
|
7.5 |
|
|
|
57,594 |
|
|
|
33.65 |
|
|
165,566 |
|
|
|
39.00 - 41.94 |
|
|
|
39.40 |
|
|
|
5.7 |
|
|
|
151,363 |
|
|
|
39.38 |
|
|
87,575 |
|
|
|
47.01 - 53.61 |
|
|
|
49.90 |
|
|
|
5.5 |
|
|
|
65,403 |
|
|
|
49.36 |
|
|
5,500 |
|
|
|
57.30 - 73.74 |
|
|
|
64.77 |
|
|
|
9.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
618,782 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.48 |
|
|
|
5.0 |
|
|
|
558,074 |
|
|
|
31.20 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
At December 31, 2004, 950,095 shares of the
Companys common stock were reserved and
331,313 shares were available for issuance under the Plan.
Pro forma information required by Financial Accounting Standards
Board Statement No. 123, Accounting for Stock-Based
Compensation, has been estimated as if the Company had
accounted for stock-based awards under the fair value method of
that Statement. The fair value of options granted in 2004, 2003,
and 2002 was estimated at the date of the grant using a
Black-Scholes option pricing model with the following
weighted-average input assumptions: risk-free interest rate of
3.62% for 2004, 3.34% for 2003 and 3.63% for 2002; dividend
yield of 0.0%; expected volatility of 0.40 for 2004, 0.38 for
2003, and 0.39 for 2002; and a weighted-average expected life of
the option of seven years.
The Black-Scholes option valuation model was developed for use
in estimating the fair value of traded options that have no
vesting restrictions and are fully transferable. In addition,
option valuation models require the input of highly subjective
assumptions including the expected stock price volatility.
Because the Companys stock options have characteristics
significantly different from those of traded options and because
changes in the subjective input assumptions can materially
affect the fair value estimate, in managements opinion,
the existing models do not necessarily provide a reliable single
measure of the fair value of its employee stock options. The
following table summarizes the fair value of options granted in
2004, 2003, and 2002:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Weighted-Average | |
|
Weighted-Average | |
|
|
Exercise Price | |
|
Fair Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
Type of Option |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Stock Price = Exercise Price
|
|
$ |
54.02 |
|
|
$ |
34.57 |
|
|
$ |
40.48 |
|
|
$ |
25.89 |
|
|
$ |
15.77 |
|
|
$ |
13.21 |
|
Stock Price < Exercise Price
|
|
$ |
73.74 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
21.84 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
|
|
Information about restricted stock granted under the plan for
the years ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002 is as
follows:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Number of shares granted
|
|
|
30,100 |
|
|
|
35,160 |
|
|
|
23,580 |
|
Weighted-average fair value
|
|
$ |
53.88 |
|
|
$ |
33.33 |
|
|
$ |
39.57 |
|
74
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
The majority of these restricted stock grants vest over three
years. Total compensation cost for these stock-based awards
recognized in the accompanying consolidated statements of income
was approximately $1,232,000 in 2004, $690,000 in 2003 and
$392,000 in 2002.
In 1998, the Company completed a $35,000,000 private offering of
notes due January 15, 2028. Proceeds from the offering, net
of debt issue costs, totaled $34,453,000. The notes, which
represent unsecured obligations of the Company, bear interest at
a rate of 7.9% per annum and are non-callable.
|
|
13. |
Fair Value of Financial Instruments |
The carrying values and fair values of financial instruments as
of December 31, 2004 and 2003 are summarized below (in
thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Carrying | |
|
|
|
Carrying | |
|
|
|
|
Value | |
|
Fair Value | |
|
Value | |
|
Fair Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Financial Assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturity securities available-for-sale
|
|
$ |
454,121 |
|
|
$ |
454,121 |
|
|
$ |
375,097 |
|
|
$ |
375,097 |
|
Equity securities available-for-sale
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
12,771 |
|
|
|
12,771 |
|
Financial Liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
|
34,493 |
|
|
|
39,315 |
|
|
|
34,486 |
|
|
|
38,037 |
|
The fair values of cash and short-term investments approximate
their carrying values due to their short-term maturity or
availability.
The fair values of fixed maturity securities and equity
securities have been determined using quoted market prices for
securities traded in the public market or prices using bid or
closing prices for securities not traded in the public
marketplace.
The fair value of the Companys long-term debt is estimated
using discounted cash flow analysis based on the Companys
current incremental borrowing rates for similar types of
borrowing arrangements.
A lawsuit has been filed against the Company in the ordinary
course of the Companys business. In the opinion of
management, the ultimate resolution of the pending litigation
will not have a material adverse effect on the financial
position or results of operations of the Company.
|
|
15. |
Unaudited Quarterly Financial Data |
The following is a summary of the unaudited quarterly results of
operations for the years ended December 31, 2004 and 2003.
(The sum of the quarterly basic earnings per share does not
equal the amount
75
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
NOTES TO CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL
STATEMENTS (Continued)
for the year as the basis for calculating average outstanding
number of shares differs.) (dollars in thousands except per
share data):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2004 Quarter | |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
First | |
|
Second | |
|
Third | |
|
Fourth | |
|
Year | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Net premiums written
|
|
$ |
32,346 |
|
|
$ |
34,277 |
|
|
$ |
36,316 |
|
|
$ |
38,392 |
|
|
$ |
141,331 |
|
Earned premiums
|
|
|
33,812 |
|
|
|
34,183 |
|
|
|
35,819 |
|
|
|
37,178 |
|
|
|
140,992 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
4,586 |
|
|
|
4,598 |
|
|
|
5,255 |
|
|
|
5,315 |
|
|
|
19,754 |
|
Net losses incurred
|
|
|
8,883 |
|
|
|
7,701 |
|
|
|
9,234 |
|
|
|
10,046 |
|
|
|
35,864 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses
|
|
|
10,218 |
|
|
|
10,872 |
|
|
|
11,062 |
|
|
|
11,359 |
|
|
|
43,511 |
|
Net income
|
|
|
14,044 |
|
|
|
14,375 |
|
|
|
14,796 |
|
|
|
15,202 |
|
|
|
58,417 |
|
Basic earnings per share
|
|
|
0.97 |
|
|
|
0.99 |
|
|
|
1.02 |
|
|
|
1.05 |
|
|
|
4.04 |
|
Diluted earnings per share
|
|
|
0.96 |
|
|
|
0.98 |
|
|
|
1.00 |
|
|
|
1.03 |
|
|
|
3.98 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003 Quarter | |
|
|
|
|
| |
|
|
|
|
First | |
|
Second | |
|
Third | |
|
Fourth | |
|
Year | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Net premiums written
|
|
$ |
28,140 |
|
|
$ |
31,381 |
|
|
$ |
33,119 |
|
|
$ |
34,096 |
|
|
$ |
126,736 |
|
Earned premiums
|
|
|
28,132 |
|
|
|
28,266 |
|
|
|
30,323 |
|
|
|
33,011 |
|
|
|
119,732 |
|
Net investment income
|
|
|
4,333 |
|
|
|
4,333 |
|
|
|
4,230 |
|
|
|
4,186 |
|
|
|
17,082 |
|
Net losses incurred
|
|
|
5,265 |
|
|
|
5,380 |
|
|
|
6,053 |
|
|
|
7,135 |
|
|
|
23,833 |
|
Underwriting and other expenses
|
|
|
9,952 |
|
|
|
9,886 |
|
|
|
11,535 |
|
|
|
12,287 |
|
|
|
43,660 |
|
Net income
|
|
|
12,352 |
|
|
|
12,631 |
|
|
|
12,547 |
|
|
|
13,561 |
|
|
|
51,091 |
|
Basic earnings per share
|
|
|
0.87 |
|
|
|
0.88 |
|
|
|
0.87 |
|
|
|
0.94 |
|
|
|
3.57 |
|
Diluted earnings per share
|
|
|
0.86 |
|
|
|
0.87 |
|
|
|
0.86 |
|
|
|
0.93 |
|
|
|
3.52 |
|
76
SCHEDULE I
SUMMARY OF INVESTMENTS OTHER THAN INVESTMENTS IN
RELATED PARTIES
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
December 31, 2004
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost or | |
|
|
|
Amount at | |
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Fair | |
|
Which Shown | |
Type of Investment |
|
Cost | |
|
Value | |
|
in Balance Sheet | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
Fixed maturity securities, availableforsale:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bonds:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. Government obligations
|
|
$ |
12,873 |
|
|
$ |
12,728 |
|
|
$ |
12,728 |
|
|
|
Mortgagebacked securities
|
|
|
73 |
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
80 |
|
|
|
State and municipal bonds
|
|
|
399,329 |
|
|
|
415,250 |
|
|
|
415,250 |
|
|
|
Corporate bonds
|
|
|
23,157 |
|
|
|
26,063 |
|
|
|
26,063 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
435,432 |
|
|
|
454,121 |
|
|
|
454,121 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity securities, availableforsale:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common stocks:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bank, trust, and insurance
|
|
|
511 |
|
|
|
903 |
|
|
|
903 |
|
|
|
Public utilities
|
|
|
175 |
|
|
|
305 |
|
|
|
305 |
|
|
|
Industrial and miscellaneous
|
|
|
2,781 |
|
|
|
3,699 |
|
|
|
3,699 |
|
|
Preferred stock
|
|
|
5,159 |
|
|
|
5,365 |
|
|
|
5,365 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
8,626 |
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
10,272 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Short-term investments
|
|
|
16,095 |
|
|
|
16,095 |
|
|
|
16,095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total investments other than investments in related parties
|
|
$ |
460,153 |
|
|
$ |
480,488 |
|
|
$ |
480,488 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
77
SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
OF REGISTRANT
CONDENSED BALANCE SHEETS
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
(Parent Company)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
ASSETS: |
|
Fixed maturities, available-for-sale
|
|
$ |
24,069 |
|
|
$ |
16,745 |
|
|
Equity securities, available-for-sale
|
|
|
513 |
|
|
|
521 |
|
|
Notes receivable from subsidiary
|
|
|
25,000 |
|
|
|
25,000 |
|
|
Investment in subsidiary
|
|
|
421,259 |
|
|
|
358,302 |
|
|
Short-term investments
|
|
|
842 |
|
|
|
2,564 |
|
|
Cash
|
|
|
1,736 |
|
|
|
1,272 |
|
|
Accrued investment income
|
|
|
1,482 |
|
|
|
1,308 |
|
|
Income taxes recoverable
|
|
|
1,139 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other assets
|
|
|
1,251 |
|
|
|
428 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total assets
|
|
$ |
477,291 |
|
|
$ |
406,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
LIABILITIES AND STOCKHOLDERS EQUITY: |
Liabilities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
$ |
34,493 |
|
|
$ |
34,486 |
|
|
Accrued interest on long-term debt
|
|
|
1,275 |
|
|
|
1,275 |
|
|
Deferred income taxes
|
|
|
4,110 |
|
|
|
449 |
|
|
Accrued expenses and other liabilities
|
|
|
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities
|
|
|
39,948 |
|
|
|
36,210 |
|
Stockholders equity:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Common stock
|
|
|
146 |
|
|
|
144 |
|
|
Additional paid-in capital
|
|
|
94,852 |
|
|
|
87,513 |
|
|
Accumulated other comprehensive income
|
|
|
13,218 |
|
|
|
11,190 |
|
|
Deferred compensation
|
|
|
(1,501 |
) |
|
|
(1,128 |
) |
|
Retained earnings
|
|
|
330,628 |
|
|
|
272,211 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total stockholders equity
|
|
|
437,343 |
|
|
|
369,930 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total liabilities and stockholders equity
|
|
$ |
477,291 |
|
|
$ |
406,140 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See supplementary notes to condensed financial statements.
78
SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
OF REGISTRANT
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF INCOME
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
(Parent Company)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
Revenues:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
$ |
3,251 |
|
|
$ |
3,120 |
|
|
$ |
3,170 |
|
|
Realized investment gains (losses)
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
486 |
|
|
|
(1,168 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,393 |
|
|
|
3,606 |
|
|
|
2,002 |
|
Expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Interest on long-term debt
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,772 |
|
|
|
2,771 |
|
|
Operating expenses
|
|
|
1,230 |
|
|
|
752 |
|
|
|
885 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,002 |
|
|
|
3,524 |
|
|
|
3,656 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (loss) before federal income taxes and equity in
undistributed income of subsidiary
|
|
|
(609 |
) |
|
|
82 |
|
|
|
(1,654 |
) |
Income taxes:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Current
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Deferred
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
(176 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
(176 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Loss before equity in undistributed income of subsidiary
|
|
|
(637 |
) |
|
|
(60 |
) |
|
|
(1,478 |
) |
Equity in undistributed income of subsidiary
|
|
|
59,054 |
|
|
|
51,151 |
|
|
|
46,581 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See supplementary notes to condensed financial statements.
79
SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
OF REGISTRANT
CONDENSED STATEMENTS OF CASH FLOWS
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
(Parent Company)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
Operating Activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income
|
|
$ |
58,417 |
|
|
$ |
51,091 |
|
|
$ |
45,103 |
|
Adjustments to reconcile net income to net cash provided by
(used in) operating activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity in undistributed income of subsidiary
|
|
|
(59,054 |
) |
|
|
(51,151 |
) |
|
|
(46,581 |
) |
|
Accrued investment income
|
|
|
(174 |
) |
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
|
(33 |
) |
|
Other assets
|
|
|
(823 |
) |
|
|
(78 |
) |
|
|
(230 |
) |
|
Deferred income taxes
|
|
|
3,596 |
|
|
|
142 |
|
|
|
(176 |
) |
|
Current taxes
|
|
|
(1,139 |
) |
|
|
(52 |
) |
|
|
(18 |
) |
|
Accretion of discount on investments
|
|
|
(61 |
) |
|
|
(91 |
) |
|
|
(98 |
) |
|
Amortization of deferred compensation
|
|
|
1,232 |
|
|
|
690 |
|
|
|
392 |
|
|
Amortization of debt issue costs
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
Realized investment (gains) losses on securities
|
|
|
(142 |
) |
|
|
(486 |
) |
|
|
1,168 |
|
|
Other liabilities
|
|
|
70 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Other operating activities
|
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
|
(2 |
) |
|
|
188 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by (used in) operating activities
|
|
|
1,928 |
|
|
|
56 |
|
|
|
(279 |
) |
Investing Activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
(10,246 |
) |
|
|
(14,468 |
) |
|
|
(8,600 |
) |
|
|
Sales and maturities
|
|
|
3,319 |
|
|
|
11,748 |
|
|
|
4,258 |
|
|
Equity Securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Purchases
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(250 |
) |
|
|
Sales
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
256 |
|
|
|
2 |
|
|
Change in short-term investments
|
|
|
1,722 |
|
|
|
(569 |
) |
|
|
(776 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash used in investing activities
|
|
|
(5,205 |
) |
|
|
(3,033 |
) |
|
|
(5,366 |
) |
Financing Activities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Proceeds from exercise of stock options
|
|
|
3,741 |
|
|
|
4,053 |
|
|
|
5,689 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net cash provided by financing activities
|
|
|
3,741 |
|
|
|
4,053 |
|
|
|
5,689 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase in cash
|
|
|
464 |
|
|
|
1,076 |
|
|
|
44 |
|
Cash at beginning of year
|
|
|
1,272 |
|
|
|
196 |
|
|
|
152 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash at end of year
|
|
$ |
1,736 |
|
|
$ |
1,272 |
|
|
$ |
196 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
See supplementary notes to condensed financial statements.
80
SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
OF REGISTRANT
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
(Parent Company)
SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
|
|
1. |
Basis of Presentation and Significant Accounting Policies |
In the parent company financial statements, the Companys
investment in its subsidiaries is stated at cost plus equity in
undistributed earnings of the subsidiaries. The Companys
share of net income of its subsidiaries is included in income
using the equity method. The accompanying Parent Company
financial statements should be read in conjunction with the
Consolidated Financial Statements and Notes to Consolidated
Financial Statements included as part of this
Form 10K.
Triad Guaranty Inc. (the Company) is a holding
company which, through its whollyowned subsidiary, Triad
Guaranty Insurance Corporation (Triad), provides
private mortgage insurance coverage in the United States to
mortgage lenders to protect the lender against loss from
defaults on mortgage loans.
The cost or amortized cost and the fair value of investments
held by the parent company are as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost or | |
|
Gross | |
|
Gross | |
|
|
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Fair | |
At December 31, 2004 |
|
Cost | |
|
Gains | |
|
Losses | |
|
Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate
|
|
$ |
1,140 |
|
|
$ |
49 |
|
|
$ |
|
|
|
$ |
1,189 |
|
|
U.S. Government
|
|
|
250 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
237 |
|
|
Municipal
|
|
|
21,767 |
|
|
|
885 |
|
|
|
9 |
|
|
|
22,643 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
23,157 |
|
|
|
934 |
|
|
|
22 |
|
|
|
24,069 |
|
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
500 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
513 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
23,657 |
|
|
$ |
947 |
|
|
$ |
22 |
|
|
$ |
24,582 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
81
SCHEDULE II CONDENSED FINANCIAL INFORMATION
OF REGISTRANT
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
(Parent Company)
SUPPLEMENTARY NOTES
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cost or | |
|
Gross | |
|
Gross | |
|
|
|
|
Amortized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Unrealized | |
|
Fair | |
At December 31, 2003 |
|
Cost | |
|
Gains | |
|
Losses | |
|
Value | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Fixed maturity securities:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Corporate
|
|
$ |
2,410 |
|
|
$ |
234 |
|
|
$ |
1 |
|
|
$ |
2,643 |
|
|
U.S. Government
|
|
|
250 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7 |
|
|
|
243 |
|
|
Municipal
|
|
|
13,365 |
|
|
|
499 |
|
|
|
5 |
|
|
|
13,859 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
16,025 |
|
|
|
733 |
|
|
|
13 |
|
|
|
16,745 |
|
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
500 |
|
|
|
21 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
521 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Total
|
|
$ |
16,525 |
|
|
$ |
754 |
|
|
$ |
13 |
|
|
$ |
17,266 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Major categories of the parent companys investment income
are summarized as follows (in thousands):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Year Ended December 31 | |
|
|
| |
|
|
2004 | |
|
2003 | |
|
2002 | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Income:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Fixed maturities
|
|
$ |
1,017 |
|
|
$ |
889 |
|
|
$ |
918 |
|
|
Equity securities
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
36 |
|
|
|
51 |
|
|
Cash and short-term investments
|
|
|
6 |
|
|
|
26 |
|
|
|
28 |
|
|
Note receivable from subsidiary
|
|
|
2,225 |
|
|
|
2,225 |
|
|
|
2,225 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,284 |
|
|
|
3,176 |
|
|
|
3,222 |
|
Expenses
|
|
|
33 |
|
|
|
56 |
|
|
|
52 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net investment income
|
|
$ |
3,251 |
|
|
$ |
3,120 |
|
|
$ |
3,170 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
In 1998, the Company completed a $35,000,000 private offering of
notes due January 15, 2028. Proceeds from the offering, net
of debt issue costs, totaled $34,453,000. The notes, which
represent unsecured obligations of the Company, bear interest at
a rate of 7.9% per annum and are non-callable.
82
SCHEDULE IV REINSURANCE
TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
MORTGAGE INSURANCE PREMIUM EARNED
Years Ended December 31, 2004, 2003 and 2002
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage | |
|
|
|
|
Ceded To | |
|
Assumed | |
|
|
|
of Amount | |
|
|
Gross | |
|
Other | |
|
From Other | |
|
Net | |
|
Assumed | |
|
|
Amount | |
|
Companies | |
|
Companies | |
|
Amount | |
|
to Net | |
|
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
(In thousands) | |
2004
|
|
$ |
176,383 |
|
|
$ |
35,392 |
|
|
$ |
1 |
|
|
$ |
140,992 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2003
|
|
$ |
146,955 |
|
|
$ |
27,226 |
|
|
$ |
3 |
|
|
$ |
119,732 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2002
|
|
$ |
123,324 |
|
|
$ |
18,261 |
|
|
$ |
4 |
|
|
$ |
105,067 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
83